| Date | Tweet |
|---|
| 2026-07-21T17:41:05 | Wow, a historic single day recovery.
$SIVEF +30.89%
$IQEF +28.6%
$AEHR +26.53%
$CIFR +17.82%
$NBIS +17.3%
$AAOI +15.6%
$LPK +14.48%
$AXTI +14.12%
$MU +12.54%
$SNDK +12.8%
$SOI +11.1%
$TSEM +10.39%
$LITE +9.25%
$INTC +8.22%
$AMD +8.11%
$MRVL +7.27% → · 4564 likes · 668,804 views |
| 2026-07-21T08:13:03 | Memory names from Kioxia finished up a whopping +17.18%. Samsung up +6.15%.
Optical networking from $SIVE, $LITE, and $AAOI are showing signs of recovery, all up 4%+.
Neoclouds from $NBIS to $IREN all up 4%+ premarket.
$INTC to $AMD to $MRVL all up 4%+.
Does the Cramer effect work on the ent… → · 2188 likes · 556,839 views |
| 2026-07-20T21:38:14 | If you’re curious why $NBIS is up after hours.
$NVDA disclosed it owns 9.3% beneficial ownership of Nebius via SEC filings.
Not exactly too new since it dates back to Nvidia’s existing share position of 1.19M shares + $2B prefunded warrant of ~21M shares.
But great for sentiment having Nvidia be … → · 2037 likes · 396,282 views |
| 2026-07-20T17:18:38 | $IREN +19.69% after revising ARR target to $4B+ from new AI cloud contracts. Its customer base now includes Microsoft, Nvidia, Perplexity, and Figure.
$HUT +10.45% off a 15Y $9.8B AI DC lease
$CIFR +16.76%
$CLSK +13.7%
$WYFI +9.18%
$NBIS and $CRWV are taking their time in the shower.
But does lo… → · 1694 likes · 417,836 views |
| 2026-07-17T17:51:55 | $META in talks to lease compute to Anthropic in a $10B dollar deal.
Seems like they saw how profitable
$SPCX $45B compute deal was.
But just goes to validate Neocloud business models like $NBIS, $IREN, and co if hyperscalers are copying their homework.
Source: NYT https://t.co/3Mu3UXQtFT → · 1240 likes · 340,118 views |
| 2026-07-14T14:57:21 | $NBIS signs $1B+ compute agreement with Reflection AI, for GB300 access through 2029.
Reflection also signed a multi-billion dollar agreement with $SPCX earlier.
Interesting to say the least, seeing Nebius drop -5% off the news today.
Also... counterparty to get this done kinda reminds me of Op… → · 1522 likes · 479,260 views |
| 2026-07-08T20:18:34 | Let’s put it this way:
Retail thinks a 30-60% drop is a “falling knife” where bagholders will never recover.
And they end up panic selling after seeing swiggly line TAs and people comparing valuable chokepoints to memes.
I see it as long term ownership over:
- the next hyperscaler with $NBIS, p… → · 2579 likes · 1,179,173 views |
| 2026-07-07T14:03:29 | Just putting it out there:
If everything crashes together from $NBIS, $MRVL, $INTC, $SNDK, $AMD, $SIVE, $MU, $LITE, and others...
Which are all down -4% to -10%+ today so far.
Probably doesn't have anything to do with individual fundamentals.
Indiscriminate selloffs from things like cascading… → · 5092 likes · 1,229,049 views |
| 2026-07-06 | @platochi Yeah, $NBIS also had a painful like 5 months of chopping after they projected something crazy like $7B ARR by Q4 2026 earnings.
Makes you doubt sometimes → · 90 likes · 21,395 views |
| 2026-07-06 | @rioferdy838 @ak_dfranco Yep $NBIS early day drawdowns were insane.
There were short sellers bear posting Nebius and neocloud models left and right.
All of those seem to have vanished together lol → · 117 likes · 20,483 views |
| 2026-07-04T07:18:16 | TIL floating DC and ocean compute exists?
Apparently it’s free cooling + optimal for places in tight geography…
It’s going to be wild taking a cruise ship, and passing by a bunch of $NBIS or Samsung floating AI DCs one day.
If this ever becomes a thing like orbital compute? https://t.co/Ki2RqNc2x… → · 1314 likes · 408,660 views |
| 2026-07-03T05:58:44 | SemiAnalysis on $META “overcapacity” and market reactions with $NBIS and others:
“We believe Meta’s datacenter and compute will accelerate”.
“Capex in 2027 will be shockingly high”.
Recent global crash, especially in the photonics sector was stupid… Off misleading narratives of Meta dropping out … → · 2038 likes · 571,418 views |
| 2026-07-02T19:12:55 | Always a fun time seeing semi markets crash from Bloomberg report framing once again…
UBS analyst on $META report: “this is not new news”.
Regardless:
$AEHR down -18.3%
$AAOI down -17.13%
$SIVEF down -15.4%
$SNDK down -14.8%
$TER down -13.8%
$GLW down -11.4%
$MRVL down -11.2%
$LITE down -10.2%
$N… → · 2150 likes · 441,474 views |
| 2026-07-02 | @DogUrineCapital This is pretty disgusting to see $MRVL down -11%, $AMAT down -11% to $NBIS down -18%
On the bright side a lot of the higher beta/smaller names like $AAOI frontran the drop.
So those are faring better https://t.co/OEyJ4YiQQr → · 143 likes · 35,851 views |
| 2026-07-01T13:42:30 | There’s a lot of disinformation going around about $META “cutting capex” because they “overbuilt”.
This is an “if” they have excess capacity.
And it looks like the opposite right now:
Hyperscalers like $GOOGL are so compute constrained that they had to cut allocations to Meta back in March.
Sinc… → · 1906 likes · 925,488 views |
| 2026-07-01T13:14:42 | Basically pre-market right now with the Neoclouds like $NBIS in simpler terms.
Costco: sells $5 chickens.
Walmart: mass buys those rotisserie chickens and sells excess as “Walmart Chickens”.
Stock Market: sells off Costco. → · 3025 likes · 794,302 views |
| 2026-07-01 | @Deebeeng10 The Neoclouds like $NBIS are probably the ones powering this offering lol. → · 231 likes · 41,489 views |
| 2026-06-30T01:10:57 | I've reached 900k followers, thank you everyone!
Just some reflection, it's actually a nightmare at higher counts...
Which is new to me, since I started at almost nothing earlier this year.
1. Threats of safety, which I don't enjoy.
- Random new accounts sending personal threats
- Mysterious for… → · 3568 likes · 541,906 views |
| 2026-06-30 | @EndicottInvests Good times, wasn’t too long ago back at 3K followers!
Discussion on $NBIS was fun back when there was a lot of debate on Neoclouds and it was still really early.
Thanks for the support, fun to see your account grow as well → · 126 likes · 19,981 views |
| 2026-06-28T07:37:26 | Guess we finally found why $META signed massive agreements with Neoclouds like $NBIS back in March...
And why Gemini got super nerfed.
$GOOGL reportedly restricted Meta's capacity in March 2026 because of compute restraints.
Google's CEO said from last earnings computing power restrictions prev… → · 2375 likes · 649,314 views |
| 2026-06-26T09:50:52 | OFC I'm aware. But I'm personally sleeping comfortably since I have conviction in my hyperscaler mapping research with $SIVE.
And yes, I still have my million+ share position.
Not sure if people realize this: but I'm only here to share my thoughts/ideas.
I don't control market volatility, what d… → · 2067 likes · 767,266 views |
| 2026-06-26 | You've been supporting me from the very start, thank you so much!
I still remember your first translation post helped me get popular.
Before I was just able to wait for my thesis to play out like $NBIS even in the drops, since I didn't have so many followers.
Now everyone's monitoring day-to-d… → · 296 likes · 30,478 views |
| 2026-06-25T16:15:27 | oh i think u misunderstand... I'm actually more bullish than ever as prices go down.
$SIVE at ~$1.9B MC you have:
- $GFS reference laser
- laser for Ayar and others in $NVDA NVLink ecosystem for CPO scale up
- $POET and others for CPO scale out
- $JBL and others for 1.6T+ pluggable optical trans… → · 2217 likes · 856,476 views |
| 2026-06-25 | @CryptoBankz_65 $NBIS has anime protagonist armor and an OpenAI hedge fund guy diamond handing the stock. → · 125 likes · 31,536 views |
| 2026-06-23T00:21:07+00:00 | I wonder how it feels to miss out on the AI supercycle run…
With photonics, memory,
and even Neoclouds like $NBIS.
Because you’re busy bagholding into the endless $6,000,000,000 active ATMs with $IREN. https://t.co/AFEr84Dezd → · 2169 likes · 697,605 views |
| 2026-06-23 | @JJJJJ_66666 Because I’m comparing thesis timeframes when I said $IREN was dogsht after endless dilution and a GPU pivot from Colo.
I had $IREN last year and sold it for $NBIS and others.
Turns out that was the correct idea, but IREN bagholders can’t admit it → · 203 likes · 49,241 views |
| 2026-06-23 | @Starter9191 Yeah not looking much better last year either for $IREN.
When everyone kept trying to trash talk $NBIS that ended up compounding another 3-4x. https://t.co/QDz5RqYoEv → · 89 likes · 32,315 views |
| 2026-06-20T11:52:49 | I think u must be new here.
Many of my ideas get intense backlash at the start, especially the more original they are.
$AXTI - endless hate to the point I got banned from the $RDDT WSB forum.
They thought it was some scam Chinese company, but Reuters, Epiwafer company earnings, and institutions … → · 2258 likes · 724,798 views |
| 2026-06-19T12:19:38 | I think something to highlight also is not all my ideas are green, especially on short term timeframes!
My core three themes are Neoclouds (Energy), Memory, and Photonics.
And I'm glad I chose the literal top performers for each segment from $NBIS to $EWY leaps to $SIVE.
However, I still have p… → · 2374 likes · 853,958 views |
| 2026-06-17T14:57:10+00:00 | And 7 months later... $NBIS is all time highs.
While $IREN bagholders are still funding the $6,000,000,000 ATM and stuck at the same price back in November.
Guess this settles the debate? https://t.co/wYvbhw4xK3 → · 2347 likes · 703,398 views |
| 2026-06-16 | @88magalhaes Lmfao actually $SPCX uses $NBIS now. Did not think of that angle.
Don’t think it’s anything newly material though for Nebius, just a fun connection. → · 184 likes · 39,953 views |
| 2026-06-15T14:02:20 | I’ve written a thesis on these 3 themes early on:
Neoclouds, Photonics, and Memory.
Now, it’s fun to sit back and watch all my thesis ideas play out from $AAOI to $EWY to $NBIS.
Even got my warnings right too, $IREN is still stagnant due to the $6B of constant selling → · 2348 likes · 481,134 views |
| 2026-06-12T04:26:43+00:00 | Just some reflection, my core high conviction ideas from 2025 aged super well!
From
$ALAB: $97-> $372
$LITE: $330 -> $904
$AAOI: $30 -> $175
And others like $NBIS, $RKLB, and $TSM!
This was back when I had close to no followers!
I got some nuances slightly off before more https://t.co… → · 1458 likes · 622,296 views |
| 2026-06-12T02:39:57+00:00 | Woah, $NBIS, $ALAB, and $RKLB got added to Nasdaq 100!
Fun to see both Astera, Rocketlab and Weebius grow up from being small companies…
Into the largest ones on Nasdaq https://t.co/ntqBmkri6T → · 2253 likes · 514,055 views |
| 2026-05-24 | AI capex spend is expected to go to "$3 to $4 trillion annually" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections.
You're not bullish enough.
And it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom:
-> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics.
-> $SOI controls the AI… → · 2665 likes · 549,651 views |
| 2026-05-23 | I don't post dollar amounts because they don't matter.
What matters is return %. Speaking of that...
YTD: 3840.39%.
I'm probably the only one in the world. Who called out multiple names that 10x'd in a short timeframe.
Do you remember these thesis anon?
1. $AXTI
2. $SIVE
3. $AAOI
4. $LITE
5… → · 4991 likes · 1,757,190 views |
| 2026-05-22 | @realstockfox Yep, I'm pretty sure $INTC, $RKLB, and $NBIS will be around in 2029...
Don't need to keep entering new/different US positions, just let the ones you have compound over time. → · 280 likes · 63,849 views |
| 2026-05-22 | People keep asking:
Hey why do have new longs with Taiwan/EU stocks recently like $LPK or Foci?
And not much with new US ones?
It's partly because the list of US stocks I've liked from $INTC to $NBIS hasn't changed.
You can always just let the ones you like grow. https://t.co/ostZWjOAAm → · 1175 likes · 541,341 views |
| 2026-05-21 | @Lucha_Stocks I was having a lot of debates with the 0 IQ $IREN community last November.
You would have been flat to negative on $IREN. While $NBIS close to tripled in the same timeframe.
Guess that debate got resolved in Weebius’s favor → · 88 likes · 10,248 views |
| 2026-05-21 | And now… $NBIS is $224, around triple prices from last year.
Did you listen anon? https://t.co/WVFKh8d3vy → · 1520 likes · 306,012 views |
| 2026-05-20 | Majority of US capital as well as US investors can't access $SIVE right now.
So if they get listed on NASDAQ, it's just a massive new inflow of capital. Especially if institutions want to buy the float.
Historically with $HOOD, $RKLB, $NBIS and others, US institutions try and accumulate 50-70%. … → · 143 likes · 12,771 views |
| 2026-05-19 | @ryansfinance Think you’re forgetting $NBIS went from $90 -> $235 -> $180.
$AEHR went from $25 -> $110 -> $77
While $IREN went from $45 -> $70 -> $45 → · 230 likes · 42,966 views |
| 2026-05-19 | $IREN back down -34% from $70 to $46.
I wonder if one of the dumbest communities on X finally learned to read?
$NBIS is objectively the better Neocloud, with actual financing.
-> Nvidia didn’t fund $IREN at all. They got a free purchase agreement to let IREN use their logos and dilute for GPUS.
… → · 1740 likes · 784,468 views |
| 2026-04-25 | @coreyagonzalez I mentioned 30 US names that I liked recently.
A lot of my thesis posts talk about Japanese or Taiwanese names, but I talk about US stocks a lot like $AMSC, $ARM recently or stuff like $NBIS and $RDDT? → · 71 likes · 25,218 views |
| 2026-04-24 | Just putting out there...
Would have been +15.02% in 2W equal-weighted return.
On 30 different stocks... mostly medium-large cap.
1. $INTC +29.62%
2. $MRVL +40.95%
3. $TSM +4.72%
4. $COHR +18.9%
5. $RKLB +26.76%
6. $DRAM +12.29%
7. $AVGO +18.32%
8. $AMZN +9.17%
9. $ARM +36.6%
10. $TSEM -1.25%
11… → · 1643 likes · 317,745 views |
| 2026-04-20 | How are there people still long on an F-tier Neocloud like $IREN.
Amid a $6,000,000,000 dilution?
When $NBIS is up there with $ORCL and $MSFT looking derisked? https://t.co/vIdzdk4Hqi → · 1475 likes · 306,417 views |
| 2026-03-24 | Much better opportunities out than $IREN.
If you want the same sector, $NBIS is objectively better when you look at how they finance capex ( $NVDA $2B funding )…
Then there’s others like $AAOI that leapfrogs $IREN revenue + profit, with less capex.
But if you still want to hold $IREN, probably b… → · 89 likes · 14,520 views |
| 2026-03-24 | Not a fan of these types of posts, but I’ll do one today again:
When a stock like $SOI drops 6% and reverses a lot of its gains this week:
Nothing about SOI substrates thesis for silicon photonics / CPO level monopoly has changed.
Unfortunately, the broader index (Paris Stock Index) crashed 9% th… → · 500 likes · 71,847 views |
| 2026-02-21 | Year to Date: 316.4%
From January 2026 into February 2026.
Reflection of my short term trades and longs:
> Swing traded tax harvested stocks like $GLXY, $SMCI, and $IREN start of the year
> Rode Venezuela stocks from Gold Reserve, $AVAV, to $CVX (calls) up
> Bought into defense like $LPTH, $OSS… → · 1922 likes · 475,173 views |
| 2026-02-20 | @platochi Nice, but hope you don’t get assigned.
I’m happy my best friend $NBIS is back up 27% in a week. Positive sentiment seems to be returning https://t.co/QGyD9QkwTL → · 27 likes · 4,065 views |
| 2026-02-19 | @pepemoonboy I was actually getting fills below that on $NBIS that day! Lowest was $70.47 for my limit buys.
Sadly opportunity didn’t last long https://t.co/431KXPOGCd → · 80 likes · 10,779 views |
| 2026-02-19 | @wienglischmann @ibragim_bad @nebiusai Was unaware of this, that’s super cool $NBIS AI team developed swe-rebench! → · 28 likes · 3,973 views |
| 2026-01-25 | @EndicottInvests Appreciate it! I remember seeing your name pop up a lot with $NBIS.
I'm glad a lot of people found the thesis compelling with neoclouds. → · 6 likes · 2,000 views |
| 2026-01-25 | I'm genuinely amazed by X.
I started posting in September, and now I have 47,000+ followers! Thank you all so much.
I'm happy I met so many cool people here when talking stocks from $MU to $NBIS.
日本の皆様に感謝 🙇♂️
한국 팔로워분들께 감사
And I'm humbled people find my content interesting enough that people wo… → · 915 likes · 99,887 views |
| 2026-01-23 | @Neomeldir $NBIS unfortunately doesn't make death ray lasers for US DoD.
If they did and attached them to Avride robotaxis, my PT would be $500. → · 26 likes · 3,381 views |
| 2026-01-23 | As for $NBIS, amazing long term stock since all 4 of their companies are growing 100%+ y/y with their main business 700%+.
However near term, they have an active $2B+ ATM, which introduces tons of selling pressure.
I’d expect things to pick up q3 when markets start frontrunning their $7B ARR targ… → · 27 likes · 2,885 views |
| 2026-01-20 | @AnalizAyaz $NBIS, $RKLB, $IBIT, $TSM, $LPTH → · 32 likes · 10,571 views |
| 2026-01-19 | Companies like $NBIS or $CIFR are high conviction for 2026.
But it’s not the same as a small $50m niche company, suddenly being in over-demand from $NVDA or $MSFT stockpiling inventory.
You might get a 2-3x 1Y re-rating with DCs but it’s a different story than 2000%+ information discovery of a ne… → · 72 likes · 19,791 views |
| 2025-12-23 | Very fair criticism. I first posted about $NBIS at $86 and would still be buying at $125.
I did not expect a $7-9B forward ARR company growing 700%+ Y/Y, with 4 different subsidiary companies each growing 100%+ Y/Y to drop 40% to a $19B MC.
There's things that are mispriced 1-3 month short term (… → · 26 likes · 3,685 views |
| 2025-12-22 | True. Both $NBIS Clickhouse and Avride stakes alone can be worth more than $IREN marketcap in a year or two.
That being said I’m still bullish on both. It’s just a bit unfair though Nebius owns 4 subsidiaries from Yandex days growing triple digits y/y.
That’s not even accounting for their main bus… → · 64 likes · 6,717 views |
| 2025-12-21 | The 1000%+ Circle Thesis: USDC and the Rise of a Private-Sector Federal Reserve.
Circle $CRCL, alongside names like $NBIS, is now my high-conviction long going into 2026 for one reason:
Circle has become the private-sector extension of the US Treasury.
At a $18B MC.
A 10x+ generational opportun… → · 624 likes · 285,964 views |
| 2025-12-21 | For me personally: A stock is "high conviction" when they are fundamentally de-risked and are going from that point to scale.
For example, $NBIS post-MSFT deal. I like $AAOI much better than $POET in the photonics space personally. But neither of them are "de-risked yet".
So Poet as you mentione… → · 13 likes · 6,443 views |
| 2025-12-21 | I will answer your question with a question regarding $NBIS vs $IREN.
Does IREN have a:
- FSD lvl4 robotaxi company scaled by Uber
- a DB company used by every single top company from Tesla to Meta
- an AI labeling company used by Amazon, Anthropic and others?
Each growing 100%+ Y/Y alongsi… → · 32 likes · 16,006 views |
| 2025-12-20 | So I’d say $RKLB is definitely the most overvalued right now.
$LITE is edging toward the overbought territory but it definitely warrants a re-rating given how critical it is in TPUv7, Trainium, and Blackwell chips.
$NBIS and $CRCL are most undervalued out of the bunch, then goes $ALAB. → · 21 likes · 5,358 views |
| 2025-12-20 | So for a “safer” 10x. I’d say $RKLB and $NBIS next 5 years. I could definitely see Rocketlab at $300B valuation and Nebius at $200B one day.
The chance of a 10x increases the smaller marketcap they are (eg. Sub $2B), and it’s obviously much harder for companies like $HOOD to double in a year.
But… → · 29 likes · 7,969 views |
| 2025-12-19 | @soulbiri1 Yep. If $NBIS was $135 today I’d still buying - but ran out of dry capital to deploy on the full tail end of the drop sadly.
Ended up buying long term positions in photonics players and Circle though → · 9 likes · 878 views |
| 2025-12-19 | Nothings fundamentally changed (aside from improving) about companies like $NBIS. Aside from the sentiment flipping the switch.
But suddenly we have people like Dan Ives from Wedbush going out and saying "Nebius likely gets acquired by a hyperscaler like $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN " in 2026, which is in… → · 15 likes · 2,350 views |
| 2025-12-19 | Latest news: OpenAI is raising funds at a $750B valuation after their $10B+ Amazon round at $500B.
$CRWV: +15.85%
$NBIS: +10.28%
With this deal, companies like Coreweave and Oracle structurally have less counterparty risk with OpenAI's stronger balance sheet to fund capex requirements.
Companies … → · 170 likes · 40,436 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Just In: Amazon's $10B OpenAI Funding and The AI Supply Chain Ripple Effect.
$AMZN is set to invest $10B+ in OpenAI at a $500B+ valuation
Why this is a MASSIVE structural shift for AI stocks:
1. De-Risking the AI DC trade: ( $ORCL, $CRWV, $APLD, $CORZ )
With the SPEED Bill mentioned earlier, th… → · 89 likes · 87,243 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Yes like how my chances with Sydney Sweeney are 50/50, the chances that the bill passes and $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR goes to the moon are 50/50 as well.
Either it happens or it doesn’t.
Jokes aside just a wild guess is 30-35% given early disagreement from Democrats like Bernie.
I’d count more on like… → · 13 likes · 2,412 views |
| 2025-12-17 | I’ve held the same view as before. Recent selloff is carry trade unwind from reload after boj hike and fed rate cut.
Carry trade unwind is much more impactful than 3x rate cut near term.
And now we’ve seen the result of that selloff.
But Dec 10ths fed rate cut is incredibly bullish for risk asse… → · 3 likes · 428 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Thanks! There were some other posts about the Speed act passing and “bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR”, which is helpful.
But I just wanted to break down “why” since the DC sector is EXCEPTIONALLY nuanced and interconnected.
Speed act passing is better than 3x rate cut, since delays are probably one o… → · 15 likes · 2,428 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Just now, the SPEED Act ADVANCES in the House.
This is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.
Here's why and a rundown:
The U.S. GOVERNMENT is set to support the AI data center buildout from Oracle down to Nebius on national security gr… → · 450 likes · 174,102 views |
| 2025-12-16 | @soulbiri1 Probably the wrong quote, most famous Warren Buffet quote was "Sell Everything and Yolo Full Port $NBIS " https://t.co/ugf0YMmRnU → · 22 likes · 1,998 views |
| 2025-12-15 | @kameron_payne I'm happy bag holding $NBIS and $IREN then. https://t.co/iVKXGh1adQ → · 20 likes · 1,945 views |
| 2025-12-15 | はい、多くの人が $MU （マイクロン）とメモリがAIチップの構築において中心的な役割を果たすという見解を持っていました。しかし、レポートによるマージン縮小の懸念や、中国関連の懸念があり、人々は自分の見解が実現するのを待つ代わりに、結局は損失を抱えることになってしまいました。
今やメモリは不足しており、初期の人々がずっと正しかったことが証明されました。しかし、彼らはこの大幅な株価上昇の後には、もはやその株を所有していません。
現在、私たちは $NBIS のような銘柄でも同じ状況を目にしていると思います。皆、1年後にはロボタクシーと並んでAI版のアマゾン ウェブ サービス (AWS)** に… → · 22 likes · 8,398 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Agreed and I've seen it time and time again.
$AMD in 2016 when people thought it could take on Intel, then capitulation at $5.
$PLTR in 2023 when people believed in the AI thesis, then capitulation in the $10's after short seller activity.
$RKLB this yeare when people thought it could become t… → · 48 likes · 6,945 views |
| 2025-12-15 | $NBIS ATM offering would probably be around for a long time given the size.
I really hope $NBIS management does this strategically and not during periods of short selling. Shareholders are just trusting management not to endlessly dilute + add selling pressure at this point.
The $80 stock price i… → · 5 likes · 879 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Well, the main factor is dilution for $NBIS and $IREN. But otherwise it’s largely sentiment and price.
Unfortunately $NBIS has a $2B+ ATM running that they’ve been selling on the open market.
Then combine that with institutional short positions. And then sector leader $ORCL fears.
Then retail cap… → · 20 likes · 2,799 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Meant when $NBIS annnounced the Microsoft contract they were trading around $90-$100 before rallying to $140. Pre contract it was $65-$75.
Now we’re back at $80 after $MSFT 19B deal, $META $3B deal, Israel gov deal, Cursor/Accenture, $UBER avride robotaxi launch + $375m investment round, and so on.… → · 35 likes · 3,223 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Never thought I’d see $NBIS at $80 or $IREN at $35 again.
They’re both trading a lot lower than when they first announced Mag7 contracts. https://t.co/boqDYeyXzL → · 432 likes · 189,643 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Disagree, but it’s nuanced. Robotaxis will ruin $UBER’s business model if it’s Waymo.
Uber likely realizes that every link with Waymo will eventually funnel into Waymo’s direct app that will replace/sidestep Uber one day. $GOOGL has no problems subsidizing utilization.
Hence $NBIS Avride Texas lau… → · 13 likes · 6,342 views |
| 2025-12-14 | Falling Knife or Dip Buy?
What a brutal Friday for stocks after $ORCL and $AVGO earnings.
Popular FinX names that dropped in just 1 day:
$FRMI | -34.1%
$SNDK | -15.89%
$SEI | -15.3%
$OKLO | -15.13%
$MOD | -14.67%
$ALAB | -14.31%
$FLNC | -13.96%
$LITE | -12.83%
$GLXY | -11.73%
$AAOI | -11.73%
$AV… → · 92 likes · 148,547 views |
| 2025-12-14 | Still bullish. People seem to forget the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size. They have great medium term defensibility, including all their enterprise users like Cursor or $NET.
DCs in space is more near-term exploratory like q… → · 17 likes · 2,007 views |
| 2025-12-14 | FinX is a bubble.
Same with traders on /r/wallstreetbets.
People own the same stocks $NBIS, $TE, $ASTS, $HOOD, $RKLB, $IREN, $KRKNF, $ONDS, $SOFI, $AMD, $TSLA and others.
However: It’s a positive thing.
I’ve seen this on repeat again and again throughout the years.
Short term when people buy … → · 359 likes · 188,938 views |
| 2025-12-12 | Broadcom [ $AVGO ] earnings results and its effect on the AI sector like $LITE and $NBIS:
Broadcom's ER was "double beat" with $18.02B revenue (+28% Y/Y) and $1.95 EPS, beating consensus.
But AVGO dropped -11.64% and brought down the AI sector.
Is this a buying opportunity?
Yes.
Broadcom is se… → · 130 likes · 29,196 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.
Lite uniquely because of its role in GOOGL TPU v7, AMZN Trainium v3/4, and NVDA Blackwell.
But there's a new one I found out about.
A small cap <$3B player that fits the thesis:
Name - $AAOI
A small cap… → · 298 likes · 709,626 views |
| 2025-12-11 | Yep that’s a good example. If you look at convertible offerings for $NBIS and $IREN both their interest rates were 1-2.5% roughly because $MSFT (mag7) is their shared backlog.
A lot of Neoclouds are affected by OpenAi though and even by two hops like $APLD from $CRWV(main tenant), which had to sell… → · 13 likes · 2,225 views |
| 2025-12-11 | They did. A large part of it was OpenAI fears.
eg. OpenAI -> one of $CRWV anchor tenant. $ALPD selling junk bonds -> credit tightening.
Sector selloff after.
Obviously it's multifacted (eg. broader selloff from carry trade unwind), ATM offerings/convertible notes + more dilution for some -> mar… → · 5 likes · 2,087 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I expect a bad day for Neocloud stocks just because $ORCL / $CRWV are "sector leaders".
But this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector:
Due to the market missing the nuance that $ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty.
Bu… → · 11 likes · 2,416 views |
| 2025-12-11 | The alpha is knowing what types of contracts lead to isolation from current fears and where there's mispricing on individual components in the sector. Compute capacity contracts are take or pay for $MSFT, $META, and others.
Companies like $NBIS, $IREN and others are effectively de-risked due to … → · 36 likes · 3,871 views |
| 2025-12-11 | The AI DC sector is extremely nuanced.
$ORCL is building capacity from debt based on backlog/credit worthiness of OpenAI which is the tenant.
OpenAI does not have the funds at the moment to fulfill its obligations and it's looking less likely to get it.
$CIFR is building out for $GOOGL, $AMZN.
… → · 22 likes · 2,900 views |
| 2025-12-11 | Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:
Oracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.
Oracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.
Here's why:
The sell-off w… → · 564 likes · 295,459 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I’ve been putting $ORCL on avoid and this earnings was the reason why on the 11% drop.
I need more time to look into it but it’s not just capex spend that’s worrying, a large part of it is because of OpenAi (which doesn’t have the funding for the backlog) that a lot of the spend is for.
Other neoc… → · 6 likes · 851 views |
| 2025-12-10 | So from what I've seen personally with $NBIS, it's largely ATM overhang + sector drag + short term shorts, and large amounts of open interest expiring on the 19th.
For example, $CRWV was up 5.13% yesterday, while $NBIS was down 3.91% same day, and I'd attribute that to either shorts/ATMs.
It's a… → · 28 likes · 2,684 views |
| 2025-12-09 | $NBIS has a 25 million share ATM that's likely being sold on the open market.
$CRWV went up 5.13%+ today while $NBIS ended the day down 3.91%. That's why I really dislike ATMs at this size.
It's just basically waiting for the company to finish the ATM offering or pause it amid other short selle… → · 6 likes · 991 views |
| 2025-12-09 | @blu400_ I do, $NBIS 12/19 $130C was one example → · 5 likes · 785 views |
| 2025-12-08 | Short term unwinding from yen carry trade (Japan rate hike, fed cut), which was slightly negative.
Medium term impact should be incredibly bullish on growth assets, especially Neocloud sector that involve debt for growth like $CRWV, $IREN, $NBIS.
Don't see any fundamentals slowing, so great time … → · 6 likes · 1,295 views |
| 2025-12-08 | Stock position updates:
Sitting on high-conviction longs like $NBIS and writing options, relatively lax weekend.
Minor position adds updates from last week:
$LITE - $316.5 (+5.53%) -> ~$335.91
Lite benefits from $NVDA Blackwell + $GOOGL v7 TPU rampup
$AMKR - $37.6 (+18.4%) ~$44.5
Benefits fro… → · 88 likes · 41,970 views |
| 2025-12-06 | @pepemoonboy @Hedgeye Thanks! I'm not a hardcore $NBIS community member though. If something bad changes to the fundamentals, I'm not afraid to sell the stock.
But so far I've only seen positive changes from the parent company down to its subsidiaries so I'm excited for the future of the company. → · 25 likes · 1,821 views |
| 2025-12-06 | The market is mispricing the #2 players in the biggest sectors on Earth.
My thesis on $RKLB = $NBIS Avride
1. Space ( $RKLB ) -> SpaceX just got valued at $800B from $350B. Rocketlab will grow into SpaceX's prev valuation from $26B
It's just a matter of time.
2. Robotaxis ( $NBIS ) Waymo went f… → · 294 likes · 83,812 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Probably around $6B now as per the seeking alpha report benchmarked vs Nuro.
But I'd say Avride is crown jewel of $NBIS, not clickhouse, especially when robotaxi companies like Waymo scaled to a $100B+ valuation in a short time.
$TSLA gained hundreds of billions in value just due robotaxi launch … → · 17 likes · 2,950 views |
| 2025-12-05 | A short seller firm @Hedgeye is now shorting Nebius $NBIS. The stock price is now $97.8.
Their claim? Nebius is Coreweave 2.0.
Coreweave [ $CRWV ]:
- Small diversification in customers, mainly hyperscalers, ~quarter of their backlog is OpenAI.
- $1.8B in cash left
- $1.3B+/yearly in debt inte… → · 211 likes · 135,696 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Great idea to short $NBIS because you think it's the same $CRWV, nice thesis!
$CRWV -> $1.3B+ yearly debt interest, large backlog from OpenAI, $1.8B in cash left.
$NBIS -> Convertible notes structure where interest doesn't heavily cut into profitability, diversified customer base for high utiliza… → · 93 likes · 7,304 views |
| 2025-12-05 | @DannyQuark You're right, $NBIS > $IREN because Nebius only dropped by -17.5% instead of -41.5%.
But have you thought of the counter argument that $IREN > $NBIS because $IREN portfolios faced-4% loss today instead of -6%? → · 14 likes · 2,402 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Pre-earnings $NBIS was sitting around $115-$135. We've dropped over ~21%-40% since then on:
Robotaxi FSD launch with $UBER, doubled ARR estimates, increased GW capacity guidance by 150%, surprise $META contract, MSCI inclusion inflow.
The only downside: 25m share dilution. Which I extremely disli… → · 8 likes · 2,883 views |
| 2025-12-05 | $NBIS vs. $IREN debates in a nutshell:
“ $IREN is better because —“
Both stocks: -6.16% and -4.00%.
Markets: 🟩 🚀 https://t.co/vAdT3NbkcF → · 143 likes · 64,217 views |
| 2025-12-05 | "Revenue doesn't scale past depreciation" is wrong, you're not stating unit pricing (which degrades) vs. operating leverage (which scales) correctly.
In the "front loading" phase, you have the assets (depreciation is active) but not the full rev yet. As you turn on clsuters for the $MSFT/ $META … → · 6 likes · 1,448 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Okay so from my perspective
$NBIS - Highest asymmetrical upside possible because they have 4 subsidaries like robotaxis growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside their core operational DC business. It's just a waiting game until market prices in parts (eg. $UBER rose a ton from self driving cars with Avride, but… → · 7 likes · 1,348 views |
| 2025-12-05 | @MMerrino569447 100% $NBIS is probably the highest upside portfolio lol.
That being said it's nice to have some steadier compounders like $AVGO or $TSM to track the broader sector growth so you don't get too scared on the volatility (30-40% drops and increases) like of recent. → · 10 likes · 1,207 views |
| 2025-12-05 | I’ll take you up on that offer and see what they report in q4 earnings then! Looking forward to the video.
think you might be forgetting sop Toloka/Tripleten (100%+ y/y) gets added to net income line. Most $NBIS capex spend is front loaded into next 4 quarters (~$5B capex) leading to negative net … → · 25 likes · 2,666 views |
| 2025-12-05 | I've actually posted a breakdown + talked about each individual stock up there before if you follow what I normally post. This is just a consolidated list from history.
For example I posted a deeper dive on TPU v7 ironwood supply chain not too long ago ( $COHR, $AMKR, $LITE, $MPWR). And I post DD … → · 10 likes · 2,237 views |
| 2025-12-05 | As of current prices, December 5th:
The ideal AI portfolio for the LLM + TPU/GPU ramp would look like this:
· 25% $NBIS
· 15% $TSM
· 12.5% $LITE
· 10% $ALAB
· 10% $SMCI
· 10% $AMKR
· 5% Samsung Electronics
· 5% SK Hynix
· 5% $CRDO
· 5% $CLS
· 5% $COHR
· 5% $NVDA Calls
· 2.5% $AVGO Calls
· 2.5% $… → · 272 likes · 63,839 views |
| 2025-12-04 | Currently $NBIS is using a lot of capex to do buildout for its hyperscalers on ai dcs and subsidiaries (eg. Avride) to compete with Waymo.
For forward earnings, management quoted 20-30% EBIT which the percentage of revenue that becomes operating profit after depreciation (but before tax). Current … → · 8 likes · 2,311 views |
| 2025-11-26 | clickhouse is pretty OP, but haven't made an individual analysis on that yet since $NBIS only owns 28%.
But i could definitely see clickhouse becoming a $50B company one day, i'll probably made a follow up post and cover all sum-of-parts to help people understand nebius value proposition → · 8 likes · 795 views |
| 2025-11-26 | @Perugius__ Oh yeah that's fine risk management for $NBIS swapping out few month expiry to 2 years out.
Strongly believe Dec 2027 $200 calls will hit! → · 18 likes · 2,220 views |
| 2025-11-26 | Yeah $NBIS is a fascinating sum-of-parts disconnect example where a hidden asset yet high growth self-driving robotaxi subsidiary Avride, is severely undervalued within the parent company's MC.
It's very little known to the public. But everyone is dying to get exposure to robotaxi players looking a… → · 12 likes · 1,337 views |
| 2025-11-26 | Feel free to dispute the point that $TSLA is FSD SAE level 2 automation.
Tesla is classified as level 2, because in their robotaxis, you have people remotely behind the wheel at all times.
Elon is pursuing a more ambitious plan with cameras + non-geofenced solution so it's not an apples to apples… → · 10 likes · 952 views |
| 2025-11-26 | 🎯 Spot on commentary of my point. People see robotaxis as a trillion + dollar market.
$GOOGL Waymo is expanding rapidly and has first mover advantage. $TSLA is banking on low cost + cameras to achieve FSD robotaxis at scale but aren't quite there yet.
And people buy $TSLA or $GOOGL for that self-… → · 9 likes · 1,117 views |
| 2025-11-26 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] core business is insanity. 700%+ Y/Y growth to $7-9B+ ARR in 1Y.
What's more insane is this.
Their subsidiary can outgrow their main business 🤯
Here's why:
$GOOGL Waymo, $TSLA, $AMZN Zoox, Motional, $NBIS Avride are the only 5 FSD US Robotaxi companies right now.
Yes $NBIS… → · 346 likes · 196,421 views |
| 2025-11-26 | @95jG5OcU2mL0OCK Yes, I’ll make another post explaining why today on $NBIS → · 3 likes · 550 views |
| 2025-11-26 | Prob just fedramp providers like $ORCL and traditional hyperscalers like $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $MSFT given how critical the data is.
$CRWV is probably the most likely Neocloud but they’re still in application phase. $NBIS is unlikely.
That being said, other Neocloud sector members are indirect benefi… → · 3 likes · 817 views |
| 2025-11-25 | @AustranSkolSwft $WULF is in the neocloud sector as a colo player like $CIFR. $IREN falls there too under full-stack IAAS with GPUs.
Only full-service pure Neocloud would be $CRWV and $NBIS.
But they're all under that new category of small players acting as AWS for AI. → · 4 likes · 1,802 views |
| 2025-11-25 | The main fear I have in the "AI Bubble" is OpenAI and their $1T capex promises. That is a clear bubble (and private valuations of LLMs). Most other things, no.
Any company directly reliant to them $ORCL, $CRWV might be in trouble given how AI models leapfrogged GPT. So the simple thing to do is st… → · 8 likes · 1,007 views |
| 2025-11-25 | $NBIS core business is insane.
But what's even more insane is that potential for their subsidiaries to be worth more than their main business in a year lol. There's no public robotaxi companies right now. The only way to get exposure is $TSLA for their robotaxis and $GOOGL for Waymo.
And $NBIS h… → · 22 likes · 2,060 views |
| 2025-11-25 | Pretty sure institutions know $NBIS is gearing up to become the next hyperscaler.
We went from 38% institutional ownership last quarter to 44% this quarter from 13F filings.
Now from Bloomberg terminal data, we're now at 48.8%-50.42% institutional ownership of $NBIS (with likely more after MSCI i… → · 30 likes · 2,450 views |
| 2025-11-25 | It’s hard for anyone in the AI space not to be bullish.
Capex is ramping up. Exponentially.
And flowing directly down to:
Neoclouds: $CIFR, $NBIS, $WULF, $IREN,
Connectivity: $ALAB, $CRDO, $CLS.
Energy: $VST, $FLNC, $TE, $EOSe
Semi/foundries: $NVDA, $AMD, $GOOGL, $TSM
Memory: $SNDK, $MU, … → · 278 likes · 119,311 views |
| 2025-11-25 | Good question about risk, I enjoy talking about the downsides too.
1. Hyperscalers completely their own datacenter buildout with GPUs (TPUs with $GOOGL, Tranium with $AWS), energy, locations in 5+ years.
This is the analogy of Qualcomm with Apple. Apple just uses $QLCM, then builds it's own verti… → · 14 likes · 1,705 views |
| 2025-11-25 | That's a fair comment since a lot of people have PTSD with the word FTX and there's a lot of negative associations. (which im not trying to make).
However, despite their accounting fraud, they did one thing right out any other startup in the modern era, which was portfolio company growth/investment… → · 8 likes · 1,062 views |
| 2025-11-24 | I'm not going to be a blind shill like some specific $BMNR or $IREN investors that can say a green light on the street means bullish for the company.
So I would lean coincidental. Since it looks like $AMZN, $GOOGL tends to favor colo models (since they can plug in their own TPUs, Trainium chips in … → · 7 likes · 1,389 views |
| 2025-11-24 | From what I've seen in the AI growth sector, Yes, $NBIS is incredibly, incredibly rare since it was Yandex before.
For context, that's basically Baidu/China | Google/US
equivalent but for Russia and they spun off subsidiaries like Avride into Nebius.
For stuff like $CRWV and other companies, thei… → · 7 likes · 1,320 views |
| 2025-11-24 | $NBIS should have enough to fund buildout through $4.8B cash stack plus $2.5B ATM + any fcf they get from revenue contracts gets put back into buildout.
I think Nebius management were referring to if there was extreme credit tightening, they would sell off portfolio companies, which would make sens… → · 15 likes · 2,385 views |
| 2025-11-24 | @Dream5728363541 Aren’t those two just users of $NBIS, not portfolio company investments? → · 7 likes · 1,607 views |
| 2025-11-24 | I sort of think the market missed the $NBIS story too. Jim Cramer for one is the perfect example.
Think we're just early but that's where the highest returns come from. Especially when the market discounts subsidiaries and doesn't price in that they're hyperscaling along the core business.
There'… → · 27 likes · 2,978 views |
| 2025-11-24 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] is the most undervalued growth company right now.
And it has the potential to become the next $GOOGL at a $21B market cap. There's one simple reason:
It's portfolio companies are mindblowing.
The most incredible example on this concept is the company $FTX. Here's the story:
Whe… → · 489 likes · 228,217 views |
| 2025-11-23 | Overall I'm up a lot. I was just referring to this past month where many of my gains like $NBIS were wiped out.
I'm below cost average right now on $NBIS in the $90s, which was surprising.
$META was $640 cost average on recent calls but I'm down 6 figures on that position since I did option calls… → · 5 likes · 622 views |
| 2025-11-23 | So that is a million dollar question and speaks how to incredibly complex macro is given how interconnected markets are globally.
Normally triple rate cut is extraordinarily bullish and normally leads to double digit $SPY $QQQ index gains the following year. However... this comes at a time where B… → · 7 likes · 1,769 views |
| 2025-11-23 | @itsdsha Let's just say it hasn't been a fun month for my high conviction port of $ALAB, $HOOD, $IBIT, $META, $NBIS, $RKLB, and $TSM for sure.
Should be fine in a month come Dec rate cut. Most short term margin/option traders got liquidated, and events like these lead to higher highs https://t.co/… → · 10 likes · 1,626 views |
| 2025-11-23 | Markets just suffered their worst deleveraging shock in recent history.
High-beta assets are collapsing:
• $NBIS, $IREN, AI stocks are down ~40%+ from peaks
• $MSTR, $BTC plunged 30-40%+ in the past month
• Crypto erased over $1.2 trillion in value
This wasn’t normal, it was a forced unwind acr… → · 251 likes · 106,508 views |
| 2025-11-22 | So just a quick qualitative reply, $IREN does frontload connected capacity and if you go from that standpoint (eg. 1+ GW H1 2026) vs. 1 GW from $NBIS H2 2026, $IREN wins and should be using that time to sign more contracts.
Longer term, Nebius achieves capacity parity between the two and has highe… → · 1 likes · 1,205 views |
| 2025-11-22 | @DanielTan64198 $119 cost basis on $NBIS? https://t.co/N9VVLPheIm → · 8 likes · 1,758 views |
| 2025-11-22 | Agreed. But to @_melonBird with the SemiAnalysis ranking on $CRWV, I agree with that table. Coreweave and $NBIS are the two with full-stack nailed down in the whole Neocloud sector.
Coreweave spent many years and billions of USD on acquisitions to get software right.
However, that table doesn't me… → · 10 likes · 3,650 views |
| 2025-11-22 | So I think you're replying to points I never made. Just to clarify: I didn't rate $BITF. If you read my post, it fell into the unrated category, so I'm not debating where it goes in comparison with $WYFI or $SLNH.
As for $SLNH, we're not disagreeing on anything I put it as F tier as well since it'… → · 2 likes · 3,556 views |
| 2025-11-22 | Sure, I put $NBIS as S tier from that capacity funding angle because it's isolated from credit tightening affecting other DC stocks like $APLD (that had to sell junk bonds).
From Q3 earnings, $CRWV is facing $1.21-$1.25B in interest expenses and only has $1.94 billion in cash equivalents.
Other… → · 21 likes · 3,475 views |
| 2025-11-22 | If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF.
With $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest.
While $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cut… → · 3 likes · 2,577 views |
| 2025-11-22 | The Neocloud Sector Tierlist.
Post Q3 earnings + Market Sector Drop:
[S] Tier: $NBIS
[A] Tier: $CIFR, $WULF, $IREN
[B] Tier: $GLXY, $CORZ
[C] Tier: $APLD, $CLSK
[D] Tier: $WLAC, $DGDX, $WYFI
[F] Tier, $CRWV*, $SLNH
[U] Tier: $GRRR, $MARA, $DGDX, $CLSK, $BITF, $HIVE, $RIOT **
Ranked in order fr… → · 531 likes · 226,918 views |
| 2025-11-21 | @foogleman1234 Don't worry, we've saved on $NBIS. I was panicking for a bit but we got the blessing from the inverse @jimcramer. https://t.co/99NoI9EDfc → · 22 likes · 1,816 views |
| 2025-11-20 | lot of option expiration tomorrow (if you look at $NBIS to $META, etc). and open interest chains will get flushed.
I want to say starting Monday into Jan-Feb, or maybe recovery in early December but since it's algorithmic driven with nothing too material to fundamentals, not sure what the great al… → · 10 likes · 930 views |
| 2025-11-20 | Yeah market wide reversal caught me by surprise. $NBIS ended up dropping from $103 to $84 for little reason.
Rubner from Citadel was saying it was a purely algorithmic selloff despite $NVDA massive earnings beat for "derisking" purposes. Just so happens tons and tons of open interest expiring tom… → · 10 likes · 1,448 views |
| 2025-11-20 | Might be helpful to read the table and the points again on $NBIS and $IREN rather than skipping it and dismissing something quantitative because you think it's "convoluted word salad".
So coming in with good faith, just to help you understand: there's three rows.
- current connected capacity
- gui… → · 5 likes · 718 views |
| 2025-11-20 | I'm very precise with my wording. You skipped over "expected" while reading discussions about guided contracted capacity.
So reiterating what I've said above but with a longer explanation:
$IREN's original moat was GW capacity + vertical integration. $NBIS's moat was full-stack.
However, Nebius… → · 10 likes · 2,383 views |
| 2025-11-20 | agreed, not a good idea to write $NBIS CC's though so close to ITM on a 35% drop + blowout earnings.
There's too many catalysts coming up like few hundred - low billion inflow from MSCI in 4 days. This is extremely large relative to marketcap/float.
Then we have AI rally in-tact in time for Dec… → · 3 likes · 580 views |
| 2025-11-19 | @soulbiri1 Yeah stuff like $CIFR is up 17% after hours.
Doesn’t mean the price will hold market open, but market just needs an excuse for things to rally sometimes.
Fundamentals are already in-tact for $NBIS to $CIFR but $NVDA earnings just point toward accelerated demand. https://t.co/oZqWb7jrL7 → · 8 likes · 1,024 views |
| 2025-11-19 | Because individual stock fundamentals matter more than macro.
$ETH, $SOL crypto markets are a whole different beast with cascading 50x leverage margin liquidations, but with stocks you have FCF/earnings backing up the market cap.
With $NBIS for example, when you go from projected $2B ARR to $8B AR… → · 5 likes · 1,503 views |
| 2025-11-19 | Jerome will probably go on stage, say $NBIS > $IREN, and micdrop after walking offstage to his new lambo that Sydney Sweeney is riding shotgun in.
Markets will clap and cheer knowing he said something everyone knows as a fact.
But that aside, we’ll probably get more insights into Dec rate cut an… → · 19 likes · 2,368 views |
| 2025-11-19 | The great reset is how I termed the market drop.
Lot of names were reset to prices before their fundamentals changes
$HIMS back to pre-Zava prices at $36.
$NBIS back to pre-MSFT deal prices at $94.
$CIFR $WULF back to pre-aws/googl deals
$SNAP pre-perplexity deal.
Early Black Friday for stocks → · 10 likes · 1,669 views |
| 2025-11-19 | Sure happy to explain further than the TLDR on why I've downgraded $IREN and upgraded $TSSI a strong buy. $TSSI has high upside on the drop from $30 to $7 since it was an overreaction to temporary Q3 operational scaling bottlenecks and factory cost not underlying demand.
It's well capitalized to … → · 25 likes · 7,781 views |
| 2025-11-19 | @grok @DiscountedBTC Incorrect Grok, $7-9B is $NBIS 2026 ARR guidance.
Secondly, company doing colo are isolated from Burry’s GPU depreciation arguments because they don’t buy GPUS. → · 1 likes · 440 views |
| 2025-11-19 | Accident! I didn’t feel like editing my post when I read it over again. So $CRWV is weird since it’s oversold, $55B backlog (think $22B of which is OpenAI), Neocloud sector leader, spare capacity backstopped by $NVDA.
Miss on recent earnings due to revenue lag from delays but this shouldn’t matter … → · 2 likes · 466 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] went from $140 -> $94 -> $130 -> $83 in the span of 1 month.
With volatile stocks, if something can drop 25% in a week, it can also back up 33% in a week.
Mechanical hedging brings a stock down violently, but when the switch flips, the same happens in reverse. https://t.c… → · 225 likes · 81,862 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Thanks for following me on $RDDT! Very humbled by my regarded roots behind the Wendys dumpsters.
Lot of the sells like $CRCL, $BMNR, $RGTI finally played out. Tons of buys like $NBIS, $SNAP, $META, $RDDT, $ALAB, $IBIT, $WULF, $CIFR, $RKLB, $WLAC, or $TSM right now from the market drop.
I need… → · 16 likes · 1,726 views |
| 2025-11-18 | @rioferdy838 @hereforgoodish2 $NBIS is obviously oversold and due for a violent rebound but maybe frontrunning for Nov 24th MSCI index inflow on top which is a few hundred million to low billions inflow.
That much makes a huge material difference when Nebius is only a $22B marketcap. → · 9 likes · 942 views |
| 2025-11-18 | @hereforgoodish2 There's too many good buys right now. Can't go wrong with $META, $NBIS, $SNAP, $RDDT, $ALAB, $IBIT, $WULF, $CIFR, $RKLB, $WLAC, or $TSM.
I'm sure there's more I missed out but the selloff was broad so it's a good chance to buy into stocks with growing fundamentals. → · 8 likes · 1,067 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Appreciate, @accounting_ds for summarizing my opinion. I'll post a deeper dive into everything tomorrow.
$NBIS, $CIFR are my favorite two in the Neoclouder sector. CIFR sits right below Nebius though.
Nebius is top because it owns the full AI-cloud value chain for higher revenue potential and stro… → · 8 likes · 715 views |
| 2025-11-18 | My opinion is that $TSM forward earnings was the biggest indicator of the AI trade so far since they span from all hyperscalers such as $GOOGL TPU prod to $AMZN, as well as $NVDA, $AMD, and we've already seen them blow away earnings + margins.
Even if $NVDA forward revenue is quoted heavily downwa… → · 16 likes · 1,019 views |
| 2025-11-18 | 🎯. We've seen this before with stocks like $NBIS on the drop from $140 -> $94 and then the violent recovery to $130 all in the span of 2 weeks.
This time it seems broader + longer drawdown with most high-beta stocks dropping from $SMCI to $RDDT with highest concentration of AI sector.
As you m… → · 20 likes · 43,022 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Markets are seeing a drop in most growth stocks right now.
In the past 5 days:
· Cloudflare [ $NET ]: $192.99 (-15.23%)
· Rocketlab [ $RKLB ]: $42.50 (-19.35%)
· Iren [ $IREN ]: $46.6 (-28.74%)
· Hims [ $HIMS ]: $35.15 (-15.61%)
have lost their recent gains. Why?
Right now, we're seeing mechani… → · 159 likes · 323,830 views |
| 2025-11-18 | I think you might be confusing yourself and I'm just trying to clarify the terms. You were saying $ORCL is not full stack because they did DC leasing and $IREN is full stack in your first comment.
Now you're shifting from $ORCL and talking about $IREN.
And we're just going into semantic definitio… → · 2 likes · 547 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Again it’s very nuanced and I’m just trying to point out what you might be conflating or misunderstanding.
$NBIS and $CRWV have the highest normalized margins but the reason why $CRWV is unprofitable is because of their large debt interest.
If you remove that from the equation and maintain higher … → · 1 likes · 559 views |
| 2025-11-18 | That's a correct with full-stack as software as a layer on top of GPUs, so $ORCL would fit that mark. Earlier you were conflating vertically integrated and full-stack offering, which are two distinct terms.
This is a very nuanced, with $NBIS, $CRWV you're confusing you're confusing "straight GPU le… → · 3 likes · 727 views |
| 2025-11-18 | So think you're confusing the terms a bit, let me clarify.
Full stack offering = AI Cloud $NBIS $IREN $CRWV
Bare Metal = $CIFR, $WULF type offerings (AWS plugs in their own GPUs into $CIFR)
$IREN is pivoted to doing a full stack offering AI cloud when they decided to buy billions in GPU for the $M… → · 2 likes · 728 views |
| 2025-11-18 | I don't use full-stack and vertically integrated interchangeably, my wording is very precise when I talk about $ORCL.
$NBIS does mixed to expand margins.
The main issue with $IREN is that they're doing full-stack where software orchestration is an incredible and misunderstood moat and it increa… → · 9 likes · 2,205 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Thanks for sharing! 市場急落で多くの高ベータ成長資産が30〜50%下落している今、基礎が揺らがずむしろ強化された銘柄へ再配置する局面。AIデータセンター分野で最も非対称な上昇余地を持つのは $NBIS 。
信用収縮やGPU実行リスクで $IREN $CRWV などのネオクラウド企業が影響を受けた一方、NBIS はその懸念から相対的に隔離されている。 → · 19 likes · 3,006 views |
| 2025-11-17 | @Perugius__ Weebius is one of the few high-beta stocks green.
That being said $NBIS $180 strike is a bit ambitious given the current macro climate.
The market crash on high-beta stocks is kind of insane. https://t.co/M4c1lPPsNU → · 19 likes · 7,903 views |
| 2025-11-17 | Nobody said here $NBIS would do $8B realized revenue in 2026. Not quite sure what you're trying to say or argue.
I've been consistent on $8B midpoint ARR after earnings with likely ~$3.6B-4.2B realized revenue and ~$2.1B quarterly revenue Q4.
$NBIS is ramping up from $146M quarterly revenue -> $… → · 23 likes · 4,017 views |
| 2025-11-17 | @babyfolio True, $NBIS has clear asymmetrical upside over every other company in the Neocloud sector and I'm happy + easily can explain why.
That doesn't mean I'm not bullish on $CIFR, $WULF, and others though. → · 23 likes · 2,894 views |
| 2025-11-17 | $CIFR is actually next favorite Neocloud sector pick.
I made a tierlist earlier and $NBIS was S+ and $CIFR was S.
But here's the difference and nuance people might not know:
Nebius captures the entire value chain of the AI cloud business. $IREN said it themselves in their ER call that they did f… → · 15 likes · 3,152 views |
| 2025-11-17 | I'm only addressing the earlier incorrect framing because I've seen it from others too when talking about $NBIS.
It's not hitting capacity ceiling. It's immediately selling out of capacity they bring online, which is positive.
Your follow up is correct though, it's an execution risk that Neoclou… → · 0 likes · 472 views |
| 2025-11-17 | I'm not sure where this incorrect framing comes from?
$NBIS sold out of 220MW of existing and near-term connected power because any new capacity is being fully allocated.
That's not hitting a maximum structural capacity ceiling, that's validation of extreme market demand.
1 GW of connected power… → · 9 likes · 1,092 views |
| 2025-11-17 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] at $86.69 is the purest Neocloud and AI-infra asymmetry left.
This is the highest revenue Neocloud untouched by $CIFR | $WULF and colo providers that has no:
- Plaguing uncertainty that $IREN, $ORCL face from full-stack execution.
- High interest debt that $CRWV, $APLD, and ot… → · 407 likes · 1,760,741 views |
| 2025-11-17 | @YodaStockInvest $NBIS is incredibly detached from fundamentals right now and we have MSCI few hundred million-low billion inflow in a week.
Not just a buy but incredibly strong buy!
That being said most assets are dropping like flies across the board right now. → · 28 likes · 3,443 views |
| 2025-11-16 | I think your comment just pointed out at how crazy $NBIS growth is going from $146m revenue this quarter to $2.1B+ next year a quarter.
So we look at future growth (next year), rather than current numbers based on $MSFT contract (~$19B, 5 years), $META ($3B, 5 years), and their regular clients (cur… → · 18 likes · 3,518 views |
| 2025-11-16 | @soulbiri1 Both $CRWV and $ORCL are geographically monogamous with OpenAI so their own debt problems shouldn’t affect $NBIS.
But yeah sell-off was wild to watch when you point out the numbers and analyst projections before earnings. → · 19 likes · 5,803 views |
| 2025-11-16 | I want whatever the market is smoking with $NBIS.
Goes into earnings:
1. Most bullish analyst projects $4B ARR
2. Beat that number by 100% with $8B projected
3. Beat contracted capacity guidance by 150%+ to 2.5 GW
4. Announce surprise $3B contract with $META
5. Drops 26% → · 685 likes · 168,488 views |
| 2025-11-15 | @soulbiri1 Apparently it's few hundred million inflow to low billion range for the MSCI inflow into $NBIS on Nov 24th.
Can't really determine the exact number, but it helps with inflow a lot. → · 6 likes · 926 views |
| 2025-11-15 | For $NBIS it's a validation of high-demand for full-stack infrastructure, not a limitation.
They have 2.5 GW contracted capacity and sold out of current capacity. The capacity ramp is a reflection of their $7-$9B ARR estimate.
Again they can contract more and increase their ARR and I'd expect the… → · 3 likes · 948 views |
| 2025-11-15 | Nebius ( $NBIS ) crashed -33.61% last month, falling to a $21B market cap.
Despite this, new 13F filing data shows $NBIS institutional ownership increase:
· 38.36% → 44.6% 🟢 (+6.24%)
with Fintel placing it closer to ~46.3%.
Nebius is a $21B MC full-stack Neocloud with:
· $7-9B forward ARR (70… → · 313 likes · 57,206 views |
| 2025-11-15 | Yeah I made another post about credit tightening and contagion from OpenAI in one of my other posts but $NBIS seems the best isolated in those terms because of their strong balance sheet, convertible note structure.
It’s mostly indiscriminate sector selloff on top of the something structural mainl… → · 4 likes · 595 views |
| 2025-11-15 | @soulbiri1 I would catch Omoroi’s falling knife too on $NBIS since everyone deserves love.
March-may calls are safer but I expect weebius to recover! → · 14 likes · 1,399 views |
| 2025-11-14 | @dottomato @babyfolio $NBIS がさらに数パーセント下落したので、そろそろ 3 株買う頃かもしれない → · 7 likes · 696 views |
| 2025-10-27 | Hmm, I still maintain $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return, with lower downside, high upside compared to $IREN with existing hyperscaler deals, subsidiaries scaling alongside them, and a higher margin business with full-stack.
On the other hand, I'd agree $IREN has a high speculative upside … → · 12 likes · 2,435 views |
| 2025-10-27 | @adenois @RJCcapital Yeah I could be wrong and the stock pulls a random 100% green candle but should just trust my gut about the $1.4B deal with a random SEA company next time.
Lot safer to look at hyperscaler $MSFT type contracts and just focus on $NBIS and co. → · 4 likes · 856 views |
| 2025-10-27 | I've been posting about $NBIS recently because of the 30% drop that I forgot to talk about other stocks for awhile! Upside on the drop to $94 was insane, even if you didn't catch the true bottom.
Near term catalyst posts that I mentioned still stands for $LTC to $TGT since others ask about it.
$T… → · 8 likes · 2,313 views |
| 2025-10-27 | The Neocloud thesis aged well.
1 month later:
$CRWV 120.34 → 135.64 (+12.7%)
$NBIS 107.70 → 126.49 (+17.5%)
$WULF 10.63 → 13.69 (+28.8%)
$IREN 41.68 → 64.69 (+55.2%)
$CIFR 11.47 → 20.70 (+80.4%)
$BITF 2.54 → 4.51 (+77.6%)
$WYFI 22.83 → 36.52 (+59.9%)
$GRRR 19.90 → 16.95 (−14.8%)
$SLNH 2.75 → 2.8… → · 310 likes · 388,803 views |
| 2025-10-27 | @RJCcapital Short term stock price don't mean much but it is pretty interesting seeing $NBIS that's usually lower beta (and miners that go up in correlation) start to move in reverse for the first time after my post
$NBIS: +7.71%
$CIFR: -1.21%
$BITF: - 2.21%
$IREN: +2.35%
$WULF: +.08% → · 39 likes · 3,264 views |
| 2025-10-27 | So when a discussion shifts to personal attacks, it probably means your thesis is not holding up.
Screaming "I WIN", "GET ROASTED", "SHUT YOU UP" and going into personal attacks like "financially illiterate" to beg for $IREN audience likes doesn't look too good to independent thinkers who care a… → · 40 likes · 3,927 views |
| 2025-10-27 | You're misunderstanding the data while trying to compare two structurally different things as gross profit before normalizing it. Reason I'm still replying despite personal attacks now is because this is misleading other people.
With expense recognition and with D&A and other overhead, $IREN margi… → · 27 likes · 5,608 views |
| 2025-10-27 | I'm bullish on Neoclouds, including $IREN. If you look at my post history, I've had positions in everything including $WULF, $CIFR, etc.
The only point I've made was $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return (lowest risk, highest upside) because of its software stack.
https://t.co/TnUqmvvFdd → · 11 likes · 1,345 views |
| 2025-10-27 | Great points! But...
You did base your thesis off misunderstanding gaap vs. non-gaap... which could be confusing to non-accountants and other people on X.
$IREN reported non-GAAP and $NBIS GAAP when you look at hardware-segment profit to full-stack AWS margins.
The 92% percent was non-GAAP, hard… → · 65 likes · 12,078 views |
| 2025-10-26 | This is about HPC not bitcoin mining…
Just to summarize again, the point was miner margins will always be less than $NBIS because of middleware.
And how the transition off of middleware like $CRWV is an incredibly high moat (looking at $ORCL).
And if we go into the numbers, software stack > capac… → · 5 likes · 1,056 views |
| 2025-10-26 | That’s not true, $NBIS margins include colo fees and the costs are reflected in the 29% cost of revenue.
$IREN owns the sites too, but it doesn’t give much of a margin advantage over $NBIS. Thing you didn’t read was software (orchestration, utilization) and no revenue margin cut (fluidstack, poolsi… → · 33 likes · 5,074 views |
| 2025-10-26 | $IREN has good margins for crypto mining and large GW capacity but that doesn’t translate directly into HPC.
They’re going the $CIFR $WULF route in the meantime with middleware orchestration funneling to hyper scalers but that cuts into margins a lot in the long run.
$NBIS is direct to $MSFT full … → · 17 likes · 4,495 views |
| 2025-10-26 | Thanks, just wanted to add I'm still bullish on Neoclouds across the board from $IREN to $CIFR. Short term there might be higher upside due to narratives around capacity but I'd expect markets to care about margins more when it comes time to execution + earning reports.
In terms of raw asymmetrica… → · 8 likes · 744 views |
| 2025-10-26 | Just wanted to point out a new valuation thesis shifting from power capacity hype to margins due to new information from $NBIS recent whitepaper, $ORCL margin leak, and others.
People just assume GW = profit with miners, but in terms of profitability and execution in the future, I'd expect the spec… → · 12 likes · 2,914 views |
| 2025-10-26 | To settle the Neocloud debate:
$NBIS > $IREN + others.
Based on the $ORCL report, NBIS whitepaper, $CRWV acquisitions, and other factors,
I decided to consolidate millions into Nebius and sell off miners like $CIFR.
📏 Gross Margins > GW capacity
Here's the math + why:
We've had a huge spe… → · 525 likes · 222,679 views |
| 2025-10-26 | @soulbiri1 $NBIS is like DD Tsunade walking around becoming hokage like a legend. $IREN is some main character like Sakura with power that people admire at first but will come to realize is useless as time goes on when you compare it to someone with the full package. → · 7 likes · 858 views |
| 2025-10-26 | I mention $CRWV in the other comments as the gold standard example crypto miners pivoting to HPC aim for.
Even then $NBIS has higher GPU utilization after CRWV spends billions on software acquisition and years to build it out.
People have too much rose-tinted lens on $IREN and other crypto miners … → · 8 likes · 1,676 views |
| 2025-10-25 | No, I held almost every Neocloud up until this week. But ended up selling HPC miners Friday after consolidating more information that came out eg. $ORCL buildout failing, $NBIS new whitepaper 2 days ago, $CRWV recent acquisitions, more insights into margin calculations.
But I'll put that into $NBI… → · 6 likes · 941 views |
| 2025-10-25 | $ORCL failed to match these capacities and it's a $800B company.
You're betting that a lot of these small $3-$15B crypto miners pivoting can build it out.
$CRWV took years and billions of dollars in acquisitions to make it sort of work and even after that, $NBIS has higher utilization as per their… → · 4 likes · 906 views |
| 2025-10-25 | I'd disagree, software orchestration is one of the biggest moats possible, which is why $NBIS > $IREN clear as day for me in terms of asymmetrical upside. But to each their own!
I'd agree IREN has slightly higher potential upside due to scale of GW deployed but way way larger execution risk in term… → · 26 likes · 2,852 views |
| 2025-10-25 | $NBIS has access to cheap power, but it might not be as cheap as $IREN or $CIFR. But just to give you a sense of why it matters a lot less:
Software utilization/orchestration is a moat and matters ~30–70 TIMES more than cheap power. (someone pls fact check the math)
A H100 burns ~0.84 kW. At $0.05… → · 14 likes · 2,113 views |
| 2025-10-25 | I was talking about $NBIS internal moat on reducing opex a ton + increased margins. This translates to pricing power since they can charge less + make more + higher EBITDA they can use for acquisitions + investments (eg. clickhouse)
Oracle is ongoing with their buildout and it turned out to lose th… → · 9 likes · 1,993 views |
| 2025-10-25 | Fair, there's a lot of hype around Bitcoin miners. My guess is every Neocloud will go up together anyway.
But what ends up on top is execution during ER. $NBIS ends up on top due to margins and defensibility.
Full stack + software orchestration is a misunderstood moat. Even $ORCL couldn't get it … → · 5 likes · 2,492 views |
| 2025-10-25 | @YNWA_AB Yeah I normally don't do much single-stock posts, but just feel like $NBIS is a generational opportunity right now, especially on the 30% drop.
I see the upside for $IREN and others, but feel like Nebius will strong outperform. → · 27 likes · 3,242 views |
| 2025-10-25 | @genZinvest0r True, $NBIS investors are just superior.
Jokes aside it's not winner takes all eg. cloud (Azure, AWS, GCP, etc).
But, I've always been more bullish on $NBIS in terms of asymmetrical upside and thought I should just put my money where my mouth is + focus concentration on it. → · 24 likes · 2,368 views |
| 2025-10-25 | Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.
This post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that:
👑 $NBIS is superior.
I sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.
Now with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS shares/leaps + small $WLA… → · 393 likes · 258,529 views |
| 2025-10-25 | @MB_Hogan Yep you did for $NBIS, the free educational content a lot of X accounts put out is extremely helpful.
However a lot of retail investors outside of this community probably lot a bit of money or sold their positions. → · 11 likes · 1,091 views |
| 2025-10-24 | This week retail panic sent $NBIS tumbling to $94.
Unfortunately, many retail are outside this community and sold shares in fear (mixed with MM mechanical hedging) based on stock price dropping alone.
In the past two days, Nebius is back up over 17%.
This is why why Conviction + Fundamentals/Know… → · 221 likes · 53,270 views |
| 2025-10-23 | @accounting_ds Yeah, people can call it crazy but I don't see them taking any positions on $NBIS.
I bought $500k+ calls in the last two weeks so I put my money where my mouth is.
I'm just writing down my train of thoughts in terms of how I developed my conviction. → · 25 likes · 2,033 views |
| 2025-10-23 | So in terms of raw upside, $IREN is promising just because of pure GW capacity. However, $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return out of any Neocloud.
With the recent Nebius whitepaper, they published a bit about GPU utilization, etc. Their full stack software + diversified customer base with star… → · 9 likes · 1,367 views |
| 2025-10-23 | 1. No i said there’s likely some revenue lag on $NBIS $MSFT ramp up but the contract will play out by late 2026 and into 2027 and their existing numbers + MSFT is at the base case $4.9B ARR, which id estimate is +62.5% from here MC wise if there were no growth.
I use 0 growth as an example just to… → · 4 likes · 1,580 views |
| 2025-10-23 | The point of the post was an analysis one step deeper into potential affects on US government taking positions in $IONQ, $RGTI. Previously the US took positions in critical mineral companies + Intel and it’s surprising given that US usually stays away taking equity in private companies.
AI buildou… → · 6 likes · 2,907 views |
| 2025-10-23 | Breaking: U.S. Government moves to take stakes in quantum computing firms, a huge game-changer.
National security names - AI ( $NBIS ), Energy ( $TE ), Space ( $RKLB ), Minerals ( $MP ), Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover and MM hedging mechani… → · 230 likes · 57,664 views |
| 2025-10-22 | Yeah it's definitely rough times right now for a lot of investors, $HOOD down 7%, $RKLB down 10%, $TE down 13%, $CIFR down 15%, many quantum names down 20% all in a single day. Very stressful for most people.
Anything high beta/growth got nuked together.
But the positive thing is, if it's already… → · 10 likes · 2,371 views |
| 2025-10-22 | With $NBIS, retail likely did a lot of CSP + short dated calls from open interest.
When MMs act as the counterpart, it exacerbates any movement. In this case, it amplified downward movement, with large hedge fund likely shorting initially at higher prices (probably timed with The Insider hit piece … → · 9 likes · 978 views |
| 2025-10-22 | Thanks! I personally don't mind a 32% drawdown as much since I'm confident $NBIS will recover purely based off of fundamentals and existing contracts. So I use this time to add more.
But a lot of retail are probably worried because they bought off momentum.
So I'm trying my best to spread awarenes… → · 14 likes · 978 views |
| 2025-10-22 | I said this earlier but 24B market cap for $NBIS... which is scaling quarterly revenue 1000%+ to 4-6B+ ARR in just 1 year by powering $MSFT azure and other hyperscalers. While doing 70%+ gross margins, having $5B+ in cash, and billions in assets that go up over time in hyper-growth portfolio compani… → · 28 likes · 2,593 views |
| 2025-10-22 | Looks like there's also a selloff across all high-beta stocks right now too from $HOOD, $RKLB, to quantum. $NBIS sold off before the others so the 7% drop today on top of the existing 23%+ drop is icing on the cake.
24B marketcap... for a company scaling hundreds of %+ to $4-6B ARR on ~60-75% gros… → · 38 likes · 4,454 views |
| 2025-10-22 | I'm holding my Jan/Mar calls. If a stock can do down 30% in a week off no news, it can also go back up 43% in a short time with high beta stocks like $NBIS.
I'm still confident with 2x rate cut, seasonality, and earnings. There's been no material news (only positive ones in the past month), but we'… → · 18 likes · 3,044 views |
| 2025-10-22 | I have the highest conviction in $NBIS, which is why I'm happy to cost average leaps as much as possible.
I don't have the same sentiment as other energy plays, $TE is probably highest though because if it delivers 1/2 of management EBITDA 2027 target, 8× EBITDA multiple would be 5.2B MC from the … → · 49 likes · 15,184 views |
| 2025-10-22 | Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.
Nebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.
If you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift. https://t.co/Yv0s3t1cu… → · 418 likes · 162,152 views |
| 2025-10-22 | @MktMavPro @Lazoumance1 @AnaCintra24 Hmm, nothing wrong with developing conviction after the $MSFT deal.
I had $NBIS sub $40 but only developed conviction after 17B+ from a hyperscaler de-risked the company.
That said everyone is entitled to their own opinion, I just think Nebius is undervalued a… → · 7 likes · 677 views |
| 2025-10-22 | Yeah I’d agree with the breakdown. But think you’re focusing on the wrong thing (external competitive advantage).
Their full stack software + diversified customer base with startups, SMBs, helps their own opex, which is the moat in and of itself.
You mention miners like $IREN but if we look at $OR… → · 38 likes · 3,610 views |
| 2025-10-22 | Subsidiaries aside and just the core business, I think $NBIS is undervalued.
It is mindblowing how Nebius is growing from $100m ARR to $1B-1.5B in just 1Y.
And this is a generational chance for small companies to power the infrastructure of $GOOGL Cloud, $MSFT Azure, $AMZN Web Services and o… → · 16 likes · 1,234 views |
| 2025-10-22 | @AkaliOnYT Yeah /r/wallstreetbets is a great bottom signal for $NBIS and others.
They’re often directionally right long term $RKLB, $HOOD, $TSM, and $MU but have 1 month long attention spans.
It's a special skill to convince yourself to do the opposite. → · 39 likes · 4,351 views |
| 2025-10-22 | I respectfully disagree, "fair value" should be higher. There's been new $NBIS data centers for ARR boost, 3x rate cuts which is a huge catalyst.
Just now, Anthropic might sign a $20B+ dollar deal with $GOOGL, which is bullish for Clickhouse, $WULF, $IREN, and Neoclouds. $META x $CRWV deals.
Goog… → · 32 likes · 4,889 views |
| 2025-10-21 | Nebius is playing out exactly how institutions wanted:
Retail panic.
Capitulation.
Liquidity.
I’ve been saying this for weeks: $NBIS Institutional ownership is ~38%. Every trick in the book will be used to get that number to 65-80% like $HOOD:
Here's what and why this is happening:
Nebius got … → · 612 likes · 268,767 views |
| 2025-10-21 | @Mitchelldzll Don’t think bagholder is a correct term for $NBIS, a generational full-stack company growing forward q revenue 1000%+, which owns critical portfolio companies for long term defensibility.
I haven’t been wrong on any high conviction stocks yet. This is just the beginning → · 27 likes · 2,398 views |
| 2025-10-21 | @soulbiri1 I think these $NBIS leaps are going to print! Just a matter of time, I like the OTM $120 strike, good choice → · 13 likes · 2,610 views |
| 2025-10-20 | Great question!
Hyperscalers signed confirmed utilization + spend, for example with $NBIS deal with $MSFT, Microsoft is spending 17-20B over 5 years.
It's not exactly risking high-capex, since they're spending to pay for capacity since there's a bottleneck. They're still spending tens of billion… → · 12 likes · 3,250 views |
| 2025-10-20 | Thanks! Not a great writeup lol, it’s just me admitting I don’t have domain knowledge and can’t give a good opinion.
But I chose to invest in $TE bc I know the energy sector will be a beneficiary of the data center buildout + I trust DD of others.
As for $NBIS, it’s like a fire sale to me since I … → · 15 likes · 3,600 views |
| 2025-10-20 | @capybara_830 Honestly $NBIS, $WLAC, then splitting $NVO into $TSM + $AMZN calls 6 months out sounds beautiful.
There’s 2x rate cuts and a recent correction going into the best seasonal months. Now’s the best time to go long if any. → · 12 likes · 3,868 views |
| 2025-10-20 | The difference is that $NBIS is doing 4-6B forward revenue in 2026 off ~70% gross margins.
The market cap is 28B and forward growth fundamentals are there to support valuation.
Quantum are pre-revenue with a lot of their income coming from interest instead of revenue. Companies like $RGTI and $QBT… → · 8 likes · 960 views |
| 2025-10-20 | Not really. China won’t invade Taiwan under Trump administration or others since $TSM is one of the largest national security risks to United States.
There’s a reason US doesn’t have universal healthcare and any country that might invade would find out why + get flattened to the ground.
Hence why … → · 4 likes · 877 views |
| 2025-10-19 | @DeepValueBagger Yeah I really liked $WLAC and $NBIS, those were my top 2.
WLAC has huge upside when they IPO, just nobody knows about boost yet, great metric though! I should use that too lol → · 24 likes · 4,449 views |
| 2025-10-18 | It's likely MM pinning for $NBIS, you can see this with the price stuck at $113.5 despite any volatility.
I'd expect short hedges to unwind Monday (given MMs bought puts and were short calls -> heavy short into expiration) and price to go back up, hence why I used this time to buy calls despite el… → · 6 likes · 1,025 views |
| 2025-10-18 | @babyfolio December strikes like $110-$115 for 2026!
I should have done more OTM $NBIS strikes like $125 now that I think of it. It’s okay though → · 12 likes · 1,656 views |
| 2025-10-18 | Full Transparency:
I've joined X Monetization - here are my stats this month:
• 5.3M Impressions 📈
• 17K Likes (+734%) 👍
• 8.9k Bookmarks (+5,000%+) 🔖
• 1.3k Shares (4,000%+) 🐦
As a trader, I make money in the markets (eg. $NBIS), never from followers or subs.
I trade on my own thesis and always… → · 254 likes · 67,225 views |
| 2025-10-17 | Yeah this $NBIS 10% drop was MM hedging + option unwinds (with a mix of retail margin liqudations), not any changes to fundamentals.
-> Lot of people sold puts
-> Lot of people had calls expiring this week.
You can see how the stock is completely pinned at $113.5 after hours.
Great time to go lo… → · 12 likes · 983 views |
| 2025-10-17 | @DeepValueBagger I've been waiting for a 10%+ drop like this (with no material changes to fundamentals) to buy leaps on $NBIS.
Glad you see the opportunity too. → · 14 likes · 2,280 views |
| 2025-10-17 | @soulbiri1 $NBIS leaps should print, reminds me of the time $HOOD went from $40 to $29 then went on a rally to $100+.
I trade on my own conviction! → · 20 likes · 1,634 views |
| 2025-10-17 | @_visionarius Of course! $NBIS is almost at $OKLO's marketcap.
The difference is the latter is pre-revenue and Nebius is set to do $4-6B ARR next year lol. → · 10 likes · 5,372 views |
| 2025-10-17 | We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain.
In terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades:
$NBIS - $105-$110
$TSM - $170-$175
$BTC - ~<$100K
$RKlB - $35-$40
$ALAB - $100-$120
_
Special shoutout to Ama… → · 246 likes · 121,617 views |
| 2025-10-16 | Thanks, it's just that there's been an absolute surge in demand for AI compute (Data Centers, Power) from Mag7, and institutional ownership in a lot of these companies are extremely low (eg. $NBIS 38% when usually sweet spot is 60-75%).
Retail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or… → · 18 likes · 2,349 views |
| 2025-10-15 | No news dips are always a nice gift $NBIS.
(Added calls at~$122.9) https://t.co/LmgjK3uoog → · 188 likes · 32,970 views |
| 2025-10-15 | At least for 2025 on $NBIS
Macro wise
-> Gov re-open into rate cut end of month into earnings (huge huge catalyst for most growth stocks)
-> Second rate cut in December.
Fundamentals
-> More Mag7 contracts for Nebius or related companies like Coreweave.
-> Earnings report (they should re-rate re… → · 17 likes · 1,316 views |
| 2025-10-15 | Institutions do some fun stuff to accumulate another 20% of the float of $NBIS at lower levels.
Institutional ownership is 38% (extremely low) (60-80% usually on great companies), and hedge funds are starting to finally realize Nebius will power MSFT Azure and many other frontier models in the fut… → · 19 likes · 1,222 views |
| 2025-10-14 | AI is the largest national security issue and race in history.
AI can design nuclear weapons or create life changing discoveries based on compute.
$NBIS is the new infra of AI and Mag7 with 1400% Y/Y forward revenue.
🥭And it sold off 5.4% because of Seed Oils and Soybeans. https://t.co/VRd8RoLB4… → · 164 likes · 27,210 views |
| 2025-09-27 | @Veganhippo21 @DeepValueBagger $CRWV has 9%+ interest rate on debt while $NBIS fundraising terms are miles better → · 4 likes · 647 views |
| 2025-09-27 | @Lotterystonks @GClandesti37321 I'm happy to invest like $NBIS or $CIFR after they completed their dilution at good terms and are scaling.
But if $NUAI are diluting existing holders $1B+ and scaling that to 3B+ more shares at 95% under market rate, then I don't want to participate. → · 4 likes · 2,382 views |
| 2025-09-27 | @DeepIceValue lol I saw NVO and UNH and then looked at your profile and realized it was more so value investing.
If I had to choose, would be $NBIS or $TSM 1-2 years.
Then $RKLB for a 3 year timeframe.
Value investing basket would be: $TGT, $UPWK, $PYPL, $LULU, $UNH, $NVO → · 21 likes · 2,768 views |
| 2025-09-27 | @cronked Thanks! late reply, but I bought some $IREN after the drop. It's more speculative than $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF, but I'd expect a hyperscaler contract down the road.
Obviously $NBIS is most asymmetric return but wouldn't be bad to have other neoclouds up there too → · 2 likes · 665 views |
| 2025-09-27 | Yeah, $NBIS is #1 choice by a longshot. $17B MSFT deal was over 5 years so fastest revenue ramp, not including more deals.
They own a ton of great companies like 30% Clickhouse, which Anthropic uses. Great balance sheet (eg. $4B+ raised $138+), no major interest like $CRWV.
NBIS does full stack,… → · 50 likes · 8,151 views |
| 2025-09-26 | @babyfolio Oh yeah they're just for day/swing trading. I don't believe in half of them but overall, should be profitable.
I agree with $NBIS to $150-200+ though. There's way too many open interest calls OTM so now things should be interesting. → · 10 likes · 708 views |
| 2025-09-26 | @pepemoonboy Thanks! I'm green on every single $NBIS $CIFR $IRRN call by like 5-20% today but I wouldn't recommend short term calls to anyone since risk is really high.
Shares are the way to go! I only do calls when I feel like it's the daily bottom and I had a bit of luck on my side → · 10 likes · 1,343 views |
| 2025-09-26 | Trading day isn't over yet! Also prices could still go down but I like them at these levels.
I post live too so people know so people know I'm actually timing the bottoms with $CIFR and $NBIS.
Also added $15k in very short term $IREN calls, would not recommend this one. I just have spare change → · 5 likes · 857 views |
| 2025-09-26 | @taleino93 Don't know enough, I'd just concentrate in $CIFR likely to head back to $16 imo.
Ended up with $50k-ish in calls so far. Happy with $NBIS dip. I'll keep adding calls if they drop again since I'm convinced about fundamentals https://t.co/ahm6Bw4T1a → · 3 likes · 860 views |
| 2025-09-26 | @claudiohrios There's quite a lot of selling on a lot of hyper growth stocks like $ALAB, $CRDO, miners like $IREN (ignore J.P. Morgan), $NBIS, $CIFR.
The first two make more sense, but decreasing triple rate cut odds by 8% really doesn't deserve this selloff for miners. → · 2 likes · 855 views |
| 2025-09-26 | Yeah it's a mix of macro (3x rate cut priced down) $NBIS dropped 5% and others.
On top of that $CIFR has like $154M BTC on their balance sheet, though it's a bit of an overreaction if BTC went down a ton.
Also sell the news I guess, but news turned out to be fundamentally good + dilution terms wer… → · 4 likes · 1,001 views |
| 2025-09-26 | @Only4CBN $NBIS is better to all in instead of $CRWV, similar backlog. From the top of my head NBIS has better fundamentals with 4.1B funding at $138 share vs. 9%-11% rate with CRWV as an example. → · 4 likes · 619 views |
| 2025-09-25 | I'm actually losing my mind seeing this on X.
Real traders will always make money off the markets. Not off their followers.
The best advice you will ever get is free DD on X, or posts coming from randoms dropping $NBIS / $IREN.
Not 🤡 Wave 69 XYZ $BMNR charting for $20. https://t.co/fk59TOa3yN → · 72 likes · 15,974 views |
| 2025-09-25 | If you manage $10M and put $20k into a small cap.
That random small cap goes up 10x, I don't think anyone would complain about $180k.
If your portfolio was like $5k, I'd probably take more concentrated bets like on $NBIS or $IREN.
But again I did say risk-adverse, a sample portfolio I'd build f… → · 4 likes · 1,102 views |
| 2025-09-25 | @_visionarius I just liked $TSM over $NVDA. Upside potential for $NBIS is a lot higher given marketcap. → · 4 likes · 594 views |
| 2025-09-25 | @jMORfinance 30% means I have extremely high conviction that $NBIS goes up and that it's undervalued relative to forward revenue. → · 4 likes · 610 views |
| 2025-09-25 | @SwangGambles Yeah I had small positions back at $30 but I would never put $1M into it since it was too speculative.
Raising $4.1B and $17B from $MSFT was a derisking event for $NBIS and why I was confident at $86
Congrats to the earlier holders though → · 5 likes · 1,040 views |
| 2025-09-25 | @Bobbydoo8 glad to hear it! 10% is just the start with $NBIS, I probably expect my position to be ~$2M in a year or so. → · 1 likes · 651 views |
| 2025-09-24 | I don't do options unless it's <33% IV things, such as $GOOGL or $TSM, both $100K+ profit each on.
Usually I hold a core portfolio of high conviction stocks like $HOOD, $RKLB, $IBIT, $NBIS for a set amount of time.
A basket of random stuff like $GRAB, $AMZN, etc.
Then I set aside a good amount f… → · 15 likes · 2,143 views |
| 2025-09-24 | @soulbiri1 I think it's worth trimming some losing positions to buy more, just for tax loss harvesting end of year!
Very confident about $NBIS rising a lot until end of year. → · 8 likes · 930 views |
| 2025-09-24 | @mvcinvesting $NBIS will likely be $200+ in 5 months, not 1 year. → · 23 likes · 1,847 views |
| 2025-09-23 | @SCurveCapital Yeah you were right about $IREN, congrats. I bought 1 share when we were holding $UPWK back at $12 and it was up an enormous amount.
I'm on the $NBIS train though. → · 8 likes · 1,678 views |
| 2025-09-23 | @NeuralCadence $COIN is like the equivalent of $CRWV, setting the mc for companies in the sector.
$NBIS is like $HOOD, better balance sheet, more diversified customers, etc.
I think NBIS will overtake CRWV in a year or two like how HOOD took over COIN.
$IREN doesn't have mag7 deals yet → · 14 likes · 1,125 views |
| 2025-09-23 | @__visionxry__ $NBIS is highest conviction stock I have for a 1 year timeframe.
I'd be more willing to hold $RKLB on a 5Y timeframe.
Holding a year for long term capital gains is smart unless it randomly pulls a $CRWV and goes up 600% in a short amount of time → · 6 likes · 1,435 views |
| 2025-09-23 | @babyfolio I'm guessing until convertible note hits like $138.75-ish.
$NBIS is worth that valuation today (thought it normally takes some time to run up). → · 8 likes · 2,262 views |
| 2025-09-22 | @mvcinvesting Congrats on getting into $NBIS early, it’s never easy to spot the right speculative plays.
I joined a bit later and built a position after the $MSFT deal. I see the potential for it to be a $100B company. → · 17 likes · 2,638 views |
| 2025-09-22 | @IlanG05512373 You're asking a random X user over $MSFT that did their due diligence and handed $NBIS a 17B contract? → · 6 likes · 529 views |
| 2025-09-22 | @L1m05_ True lol, there's been no dip to buy with $NBIS, it just goes straight up.
I wanted to add another $300k worth to make $1m but didn't get a good opportunity. → · 6 likes · 660 views |
| 2025-09-22 | @pepemoonboy So far so good with $NBIS https://t.co/RsqZ8n0uh4 → · 6 likes · 967 views |
| 2025-09-22 | @foogleman1234 I sold all my $TSM calls today $175 for 100%+ profit. I trimmed small caps that were up 20-40%+
Rotating into it into 1 month $NBIS out of money calls and shares → · 5 likes · 448 views |
| 2025-09-21 | $ALAB went from $96 to $244, a 154% increase since I called it out 2 months ago (though a tad overvalued now)
Similar thesis with $NBIS is happening now with backing from $MSFT + $NVDA.
NBIS has a clear path to $60b+ marketcap from $24b and why I’m taking a $1M position. → · 38 likes · 9,195 views |
| 2025-09-21 | That's the same 4T+ thesis with $NVDA and their GPUs/ASICs (Google Cloud TPUs, AWS Trainium) when hyperscalers could replace Nvidia.
Same applies to $NBIS. MSFT wouldn't sign a 17B 5 year contract if they could build it out themselves this fast.
If you read my DD, NBIS, $CRWV are Nvda's strategic… → · 5 likes · 908 views |
| 2025-09-21 | It's not because of a price rally. It's because since then, $NBIS has 17B from $MSFT for multiple years, $4.1B+ now raised for capex last week on good terms, with additional rate cut tailwind projected from 3 days ago.
We've also seen MSFT be compute strained and OpenAI go to $GOOGL. With other hyp… → · 8 likes · 934 views |
| 2025-09-19 | $CRWV went from $41 to $183 in the span of 3 months but part of that was less float.
We could see $NBIS similarly from $99 to $225 by March if they have a Q4 earnings blowout along with triple rate cut in the best scenario, but otherwise I'd say 1 year timeframe.
$RKLB I like the most on a 5 year… → · 8 likes · 1,551 views |
| 2025-09-19 | I agree, hyperscaler chips is the biggest threat to $NVDA's 4T+ empire + GPU providers. But, $NBIS and $CRWV are NVIDIA's solution to protecting it's moat and GPU margin compression.
So they're supporting companies like NBIS on purpose to diversify demand from hyperscalers and prevent margin compr… → · 13 likes · 1,574 views |
| 2025-09-19 | Thoughts on why I’m scaling my $NBIS position to $1M+ with a $225 PT:
Thesis
______
When MSFT, GOOGL, and Mag7 are your customers like ALAB or CRED (when I took large positions in both sub $100) or before $NVDA or AVGO or TSM took off, a company's forward growth would likely explode in the 100%'s o… → · 209 likes · 63,257 views |
| 2025-09-19 | @DavidJang0620 $TSM calls*.
My calls are up 68% right now since I posted. $NBIS is probably up 10%, which is still an extremely good return. → · 2 likes · 564 views |