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$TSM · TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MFG LTD

Sector: aisemi

Conviction from: CitriniSerenity

Tradable on: Bitget →

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) is the world's largest dedicated semiconductor foundry, manufacturing advanced logic chips on a contract basis for fabless chip designers.

2 tracked filer(s) hold this · 0 opened, 1 added, 1 trimmed in 31-MAR-2026

Aggregate 13FScore 68 — mean of 2 scored holder(s) · buyers (new/add) avg 69. Higher = the smart money in this name has the better track record.

Filer13FScoreThis quarterSharesValue% of their book
Altimeter Capital Management, LP (auto-surfaced)69Added +12%1,365,675$461,529,8668.1%
François Rochon / Giverny68Trimmed -49%8,125$2,745,8440.1%

Beyond 13F — activists, insiders, politicians & research

Insider open-market buys daily digest →

FiledInsiderRoleSharesValue
2026-04-01BURNS URSULA Mdirector1,000$322,050Form 4

Congressional trades all politician trades →

10 disclosed trade(s) by 4 filer(s).

Trade dateWhoTypeAmount
2026-05-08Richard W. Allen GA12BUY$1,001 - $15,000PTR
2026-04-09Cleo Fields LA06BUY$1,001 - $15,000PTR
2026-02-26Gilbert Cisneros CA31BUY$1,001 - $15,000PTR
2026-02-19Richard W. Allen GA12BUY$1,001 - $15,000PTR
2026-02-02Julia Letlow LA05BUY$1,001 - $15,000PTR
2026-01-30Gilbert Cisneros CA31BUY$1,001 - $15,000PTR
2026-01-08Cleo Fields LA06BUY$1,001 - $15,000PTR
2025-12-24Gilbert Cisneros CA31SELL$1,001 - $15,000PTR
2025-07-24Julia Letlow LA05SELL$1,001 - $15,000PTR
2025-01-24Julia Letlow LA05SELL$1,001 - $15,000PTR

Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) full tracker →

Bullish · 63 mention(s), 3 personal-position post(s) · first 2025-09-19 · last 2026-07-13

“Added very heavily in $TSM today ~$302.5. Also added a decent amount in $CRCL positions at ~$87.2. We’ve been chopping since record breaking earnings from $TSM just felt it would breakout anytime now. This is just gut feeling. As for $CRCL rate cuts hurt, but the USDC printer keeps on going. Crypto also rebounding from Dec rate cut, and share unlock is done. So felt $19B MC was a good opportu…” post →

All 62 tweet(s) mentioning this ticker
DateTweet
2026-07-13T19:20:46+00:00Morgan Stanley note on CPO today. Key participants include: - $SIVE, $COHR, and $LITE in laser supply - Broadcom and Nvidia in switch platforms - Lightmatter, Ayar Labs, Marvell/Celestial, and POET in optical engines and photonics, - $TSM, $GFS, and $TSEM in silicon photonics https://t.co/mmz6y0J3… · 2121 likes · 507,410 views
2026-07-12T11:25:10+00:00Apparently there’s a new popular trend to bearpost trillion dollar companies. Like $NVDA or $TSM. By finding isolating technical details, then blowing it out of proportions by claiming their whole program is delayed. -> if the company doesn’t respond, stock prices/sentiment · 1914 likes · 1,035,880 views
2026-07-01@SidkMena Dunno, probably just sector selloff. Shunsin recebtly confirmed a direct $TSM COUPE partnership. Then proceeded to crash 15-20%. Don’t think there’s any material developments outside SemiAnalysis bearposting the Nvidia ecosystem over and over https://t.co/jxKIKup6F3 · 109 likes · 43,644 views
2026-06-24@mindmoon_108 @Akaletiko Eh, maybe other way around where $TSM sees what memory players are doing and starts price hiking too. · 102 likes · 31,091 views
2026-06-23T12:38:16+00:00Nothing is more stupid than Bloomberg copying BofA playbook with KOSPI back in March. And framing Taiwan’s $TSM ~23.6x forward p/e and $NVDA upstream supply chain as a “bubble”. Then using the words going into “debt” instead of “margin” + comparing Taiwan’s market to the .com https://t.co/DPXpK4zh… · 1546 likes · 412,988 views
2026-06-23@Semiconsight I think my M&A ideas are generally pretty compelling! Apollo fully bought out one of the $TSM Japanese suppliers I identified earlier lol. · 51 likes · 17,083 views
2026-06-22@Joey_TheFarmer My thesis hasn't changed with FOCI, they'll be part of the bottleneck with FAU + passive components in $NVDA $TSM ecosystem as that COUPE scales up. · 73 likes · 29,161 views
2026-06-16Still holding Foci/Nextronics. There was a CPO bear post from an analyst that said there would be delays (which $NVDA denied), which caused CPO related stocks to crash. Personally think Foci will end up a bottleneck for $TSM COUPE / $NVDA and Nextronics to be a beneficiary of optical components re… · 105 likes · 20,916 views
2026-06-13T10:03:47+00:00Okay my fellow Koreans, it's been awhile. Foosung (093370, ~$1.2B MC) looks like a massive beneficiary soon. Basically China export controlled Japan, causing their WF₆ supply chain to go down. Meaning 25% of the world's supply required for SK Hynix, Samsung, $TSM go bye https://t.co/nxooHksF7D · 1860 likes · 1,132,092 views
2026-06-12T08:31:08+00:00Bro I still can't believe Japan's WF6 supply chain got shut down from China export controls. Which affects $TSM, Samsung, and SK Hynix. Are we really playing global supply chain warfare and game theory over AI supremacy? Japan probably has the most amount of obscure https://t.co/h9SyTppmzZ · 599 likes · 404,946 views
2026-06-12T04:26:43+00:00Just some reflection, my core high conviction ideas from 2025 aged super well! From $ALAB: $97-> $372 $LITE: $330 -> $904 $AAOI: $30 -> $175 And others like $NBIS, $RKLB, and $TSM! This was back when I had close to no followers! I got some nuances slightly off before more https://t.co… · 1458 likes · 622,296 views
2026-05-25Oh look, a new UDN article about $TSM COUPE + AI optical markets. Institutional investors are optimistic that Taiwanese companies: FOCI (3363), and MSScorps (6830) are expected to benefit But... that "Institutional" should be changed to retail investors on X? For FOCI: "Its FAU products have b… · 564 likes · 176,906 views
2026-05-23@_juicebox99_ I don't see FOCI becoming a $50B+ company. They focus on one thing like optical components + FAU for $TSM / $NVDA, then do it at scale. So that would likely drives structural re-rating related to MC. Not quite the same as the US model of TAM expanding into $100B+ companies. · 44 likes · 7,397 views
2026-04-25@ISITrading2717 Nope, I stand by my words. I haven’t been wrong on any high conviction stock yet from $HOOD, $RKLB, $TSM, $AAOI, $AEHR, $SIVE. And now $IREN community member IQ. · 129 likes · 39,543 views
2026-04-24Just putting out there... Would have been +15.02% in 2W equal-weighted return. On 30 different stocks... mostly medium-large cap. 1. $INTC +29.62% 2. $MRVL +40.95% 3. $TSM +4.72% 4. $COHR +18.9% 5. $RKLB +26.76% 6. $DRAM +12.29% 7. $AVGO +18.32% 8. $AMZN +9.17% 9. $ARM +36.6% 10. $TSEM -1.25% 11… · 1643 likes · 317,745 views
2026-04-23@northyvt I feel like $TSM and OSAT/advanced packaging partners are the main beneficiaries apart from $AMD? Maybe like $AMAT, $LRCX, $KLAC, $ASML and others too? $INTC also have their own fabs that they bought back recently so it's happy. · 68 likes · 13,096 views
2026-04-23CPU "serious supply shortage" It's still funny to see CPUs become more like memory day-by-day with the price hikes like $SNDK. "Server CPUs have jumped between 10% and 20% since March" with $INTC and $AMD planning to further price hikes Q3. "CPU supply is likely to remain tight through 2026 and… · 1055 likes · 159,454 views
2026-04-22It's like giving grants to Korea Zinc to build refineries in the US or $TSM to build foundries in the US. $HPS.A is largest dry transformers -> switchgear in north america, and they have critical production facilities in US too like Wisconsin/California. I think it's basically "Anything but China… · 60 likes · 12,619 views
2026-03-24$ARM announces new AI chip called "AGI CPU" According to Arm, the company "Expects it to add billions in annual revenue". - 136 Neoverse V3 cores, built on $TSM 3nm process - Custom-built for "agentic AI" workloads with OpenAI and $META as lead customers. $AMD and $INTC have recently received a… · 304 likes · 148,809 views
2026-03-24@zephyr_z9 Not really about the balance sheet per say. They're the likely supplier to $HIMX -> $TSM COUPE, and had a semi-monopoly over hybrid resins needed for WLO · 39 likes · 11,102 views
2026-02-21Great question! Answer to that is macro/chips. 2023, 2024 when AI first started taking off, fed was jacking rates up to 5%+. Utilities are often kinda like bond proxies since they carry a lot of debt for infra buildout. Best play then was $NVDA since silicon/chips were in shortage. Market didnt… · 18 likes · 4,323 views
2026-01-24The potential SiC (Silicon Carbide) Interposer bottleneck stack for $NVDA Rubin and Hyperscaler ASICs (if you didn't like $WOLF): Downstream SiC: $TSM - SiC for CoWoS interposers $AMKR - S-SWIFT packaging for SiC integration $ASX- VIPack platform and optical integration. SiC Midstream: $KLAC - Si… · 231 likes · 83,464 views
2026-01-23Nitto Boseki - $NBCLF | 3110: The story of an extreme bottleneck for AI: > Spin Yarn/Glass in 1923 > Be good at it > Create "T-Glass" for tennis rackets > Wait 100Y, everyone needs it > $TSM for CoWoS > $APPL for M-Series Ultra/Max > $NVDA for Blackwell + Vera Rubin > $TSLA for chips inside FSD ca… · 225 likes · 35,967 views
2026-01-21@GVDInvestor Completely agree, having the former chairman of $TSM buy $8m of $MU on the open market last week is a bullish tell. · 26 likes · 5,107 views
2026-01-20@AnalizAyaz $NBIS, $RKLB, $IBIT, $TSM, $LPTH · 32 likes · 10,571 views
2025-12-23Personal Research: $MSFT Maia 300 supply chain. On a $MRVL report, UBS est. 1M+ Maia by 2027. An est. of $18B+ is estimated to flow down to suppliers from Maia ASIC ramp. Here's where it goes: 1. $MRVL - $8-12B revenue (~30-40% margin) as the prime beneficary. They design the digital plumbing… · 139 likes · 40,795 views
2025-12-22The $LITE thesis: The hidden monopoly in the AI. Lumentum is up 316% YTD, but might be 1000%+ by 2027. Micron ($300B) or TSM ($1.5T) sit in the center of every TPU/GPU deployed. But same with $LITE, but it's a $26B MC. In Every, Single, TPU from Google, $LITE makes unbelievable amounts of pr… · 571 likes · 780,036 views
2025-12-17Just In: Amazon's $10B OpenAI Funding and The AI Supply Chain Ripple Effect. $AMZN is set to invest $10B+ in OpenAI at a $500B+ valuation Why this is a MASSIVE structural shift for AI stocks: 1. De-Risking the AI DC trade: ( $ORCL, $CRWV, $APLD, $CORZ ) With the SPEED Bill mentioned earlier, th… · 89 likes · 87,243 views
2025-12-14FinX is a bubble. Same with traders on /r/wallstreetbets. People own the same stocks $NBIS, $TE, $ASTS, $HOOD, $RKLB, $IREN, $KRKNF, $ONDS, $SOFI, $AMD, $TSLA and others. However: It’s a positive thing. I’ve seen this on repeat again and again throughout the years. Short term when people buy … · 359 likes · 188,938 views
2025-12-12Broadcom [ $AVGO ] earnings results and its effect on the AI sector like $LITE and $NBIS: Broadcom's ER was "double beat" with $18.02B revenue (+28% Y/Y) and $1.95 EPS, beating consensus. But AVGO dropped -11.64% and brought down the AI sector. Is this a buying opportunity? Yes. Broadcom is se… · 130 likes · 29,196 views
2025-12-11I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them. Lite uniquely because of its role in GOOGL TPU v7, AMZN Trainium v3/4, and NVDA Blackwell. But there's a new one I found out about. A small cap <$3B player that fits the thesis: Name - $AAOI A small cap… · 298 likes · 709,626 views
2025-12-09Added very heavily in $TSM today ~$302.5. Also added a decent amount in $CRCL positions at ~$87.2. We’ve been chopping since record breaking earnings from $TSM just felt it would breakout anytime now. This is just gut feeling. As for $CRCL rate cuts hurt, but the USDC printer keeps on going. Cryp… · 65 likes · 71,716 views
2025-12-08Stock position updates: Sitting on high-conviction longs like $NBIS and writing options, relatively lax weekend. Minor position adds updates from last week: $LITE - $316.5 (+5.53%) -> ~$335.91 Lite benefits from $NVDA Blackwell + $GOOGL v7 TPU rampup $AMKR - $37.6 (+18.4%) ~$44.5 Benefits fro… · 88 likes · 41,970 views
2025-12-05@MMerrino569447 100% $NBIS is probably the highest upside portfolio lol. That being said it's nice to have some steadier compounders like $AVGO or $TSM to track the broader sector growth so you don't get too scared on the volatility (30-40% drops and increases) like of recent. · 10 likes · 1,207 views
2025-12-05I didn't include $ASML since they track fab cycles rather than the whole AI capex trade which $TSM or Samsung Electronics does (foundry + memory + misc) But it's a good long term compounder as the sole EUV supplier vs. chasing the most direct beneficaries of the next TPU/Blackwell Cycle/LLM-agent b… · 6 likes · 4,011 views
2025-12-05It's for their foundry business not memory as an alternative to $TSM capacity limit. Elon's been shilling Samsung's capabilities recently (eg. $TSLA building out its chips with them), which is a positive signal. It's the clear #2 player, memory takes up majority of their profit but I expect their f… · 5 likes · 1,200 views
2025-12-05As of current prices, December 5th: The ideal AI portfolio for the LLM + TPU/GPU ramp would look like this: · 25% $NBIS · 15% $TSM · 12.5% $LITE · 10% $ALAB · 10% $SMCI · 10% $AMKR · 5% Samsung Electronics · 5% SK Hynix · 5% $CRDO · 5% $CLS · 5% $COHR · 5% $NVDA Calls · 2.5% $AVGO Calls · 2.5% $… · 272 likes · 63,839 views
2025-11-25Amazing question, so I have a really long nuanced thesis regarding Google TPUs. SUMMARY: The thing to be worried about is if TPUs and AMD outperform $NVDA long term, so people **PREFER** other GPUs and buy them instead. Not because they ran out of $NVDA GPUs to buy and are forced to go get altern… · 5 likes · 797 views
2025-11-25It’s hard for anyone in the AI space not to be bullish. Capex is ramping up. Exponentially. And flowing directly down to: Neoclouds: $CIFR, $NBIS, $WULF, $IREN, Connectivity: $ALAB, $CRDO, $CLS. Energy: $VST, $FLNC, $TE, $EOSe Semi/foundries: $NVDA, $AMD, $GOOGL, $TSM Memory: $SNDK, $MU, … · 278 likes · 119,311 views
2025-11-23@itsdsha Let's just say it hasn't been a fun month for my high conviction port of $ALAB, $HOOD, $IBIT, $META, $NBIS, $RKLB, and $TSM for sure. Should be fine in a month come Dec rate cut. Most short term margin/option traders got liquidated, and events like these lead to higher highs https://t.co/… · 10 likes · 1,626 views
2025-11-18Thanks for following me on $RDDT! Very humbled by my regarded roots behind the Wendys dumpsters. Lot of the sells like $CRCL, $BMNR, $RGTI finally played out. Tons of buys like $NBIS, $SNAP, $META, $RDDT, $ALAB, $IBIT, $WULF, $CIFR, $RKLB, $WLAC, or $TSM right now from the market drop. I need… · 16 likes · 1,726 views
2025-11-18@hereforgoodish2 There's too many good buys right now. Can't go wrong with $META, $NBIS, $SNAP, $RDDT, $ALAB, $IBIT, $WULF, $CIFR, $RKLB, $WLAC, or $TSM. I'm sure there's more I missed out but the selloff was broad so it's a good chance to buy into stocks with growing fundamentals. · 8 likes · 1,067 views
2025-11-18My opinion is that $TSM forward earnings was the biggest indicator of the AI trade so far since they span from all hyperscalers such as $GOOGL TPU prod to $AMZN, as well as $NVDA, $AMD, and we've already seen them blow away earnings + margins. Even if $NVDA forward revenue is quoted heavily downwa… · 16 likes · 1,019 views
2025-10-22@AkaliOnYT Yeah /r/wallstreetbets is a great bottom signal for $NBIS and others. They’re often directionally right long term $RKLB, $HOOD, $TSM, and $MU but have 1 month long attention spans. It's a special skill to convince yourself to do the opposite. · 39 likes · 4,351 views
2025-10-20@yparekh2 My $TSM positions have been doing well even after Doublelift and others retired. So if Faker retires $TE might do well too with the same logic. · 11 likes · 3,246 views
2025-10-20@capybara_830 Honestly $NBIS, $WLAC, then splitting $NVO into $TSM + $AMZN calls 6 months out sounds beautiful. There’s 2x rate cuts and a recent correction going into the best seasonal months. Now’s the best time to go long if any. · 12 likes · 3,868 views
2025-10-20Not really. China won’t invade Taiwan under Trump administration or others since $TSM is one of the largest national security risks to United States. There’s a reason US doesn’t have universal healthcare and any country that might invade would find out why + get flattened to the ground. Hence why … · 4 likes · 877 views
2025-10-19@_visionarius $BTC, $HOOD, $TSM · 6 likes · 6,669 views
2025-10-17This is why people shouldn’t do short term options! (I saw a lot of WSB posts about $TSM weeklies for earnings). It’s correct directionally but random events like this happen to wipe out calls. But yeah I think $AMZN looks the most tempting just cause of IV return potential, we’ll see what holds … · 10 likes · 2,238 views
2025-10-17We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain. In terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades: $NBIS - $105-$110 $TSM - $170-$175 $BTC - ~<$100K $RKlB - $35-$40 $ALAB - $100-$120 _ Special shoutout to Ama… · 246 likes · 121,617 views
2025-10-16Thanks, it's just that there's been an absolute surge in demand for AI compute (Data Centers, Power) from Mag7, and institutional ownership in a lot of these companies are extremely low (eg. $NBIS 38% when usually sweet spot is 60-75%). Retail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or… · 18 likes · 2,349 views
2025-10-16Yeah we already got some insights into future growth with $TSM blowing out high expectations on earnings across the board. I keep seeing people on X saying semi expansion is slowing by only citing $ASML but they're completely wrong. ASML is a measurement of Fab expansion cycles. People just need t… · 11 likes · 1,604 views
2025-10-16$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout. TSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) ✅ Revenue $32.27B (Est. $31.61B) … · 57 likes · 42,351 views
2025-10-15@alifarhat79 The great Soybean and Seed Oil crash will definitely be in the history books. The selloff made sense because Taiwanese companies like $TSM probably couldn't produce enough semiconductor chips if America made their own cooking oil. · 12 likes · 3,758 views
2025-09-27@DeepIceValue lol I saw NVO and UNH and then looked at your profile and realized it was more so value investing. If I had to choose, would be $NBIS or $TSM 1-2 years. Then $RKLB for a 3 year timeframe. Value investing basket would be: $TGT, $UPWK, $PYPL, $LULU, $UNH, $NVO · 21 likes · 2,768 views
2025-09-27@DeepValueBagger @PaperBozz @FrostyFinances IV is 38% which is on the higher end for something like PayPal though so not sure about premium being cheap. When I did $GOOGL calls they were 28% for example or $TSM was 32%. · 4 likes · 836 views
2025-09-26I broke my own rule of thumb here about shares only vs. call -> 32% IV stock but usually if something black swans off something immaterial eg. $IREN 14% drop off JPM bs price target. Or $CIFR 17% drop into 5% drop off $GOOGL backstopping it, then I switch to calls. Usually if I think it's a bottom … · 5 likes · 1,008 views
2025-09-25@_visionarius I just liked $TSM over $NVDA. Upside potential for $NBIS is a lot higher given marketcap. · 4 likes · 594 views
2025-09-24I don't do options unless it's <33% IV things, such as $GOOGL or $TSM, both $100K+ profit each on. Usually I hold a core portfolio of high conviction stocks like $HOOD, $RKLB, $IBIT, $NBIS for a set amount of time. A basket of random stuff like $GRAB, $AMZN, etc. Then I set aside a good amount f… · 15 likes · 2,143 views
2025-09-22@foogleman1234 I sold all my $TSM calls today $175 for 100%+ profit. I trimmed small caps that were up 20-40%+ Rotating into it into 1 month $NBIS out of money calls and shares · 5 likes · 448 views
2025-09-20Hmm, I don't have many but aside from $RKLB, $IBIT, prob $TSM, $HOOD but less so at these levels. I was long HOOD back at $18 but given its 1000%+ rise already, hard to see it growing into $1T in 5 years due to limits in fintech. But it was always a high conviction long due to consumer base + addin… · 4 likes · 668 views
2025-09-19@DavidJang0620 $TSM calls*. My calls are up 68% right now since I posted. $NBIS is probably up 10%, which is still an extremely good return. · 2 likes · 564 views

Citrini Research coverage report library →

ReportDateStance
#119 — Let There Be Light: Revisiting the Optics & AI Connectivity Theme2026-03-12WATCH
#118 — The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis: A Thought Exercise in Financial History, from the Future2026-02-22WATCH
#112 — Carving Up the TPU: Leftovers for Jensen or Just Gravy on the AI Trade?2025-11-27LONG

Every tracked holder of this name, sorted new → added → flat → trimmed. Shares = reported 13F share count; Value as reported (a few managers file values in $thousands). Generated 2026-07-20.