| Date | Tweet |
|---|
| 2026-07-07T18:56:07 | Just Bloomberg and $META doing damage control after crashing the market with Meta Compute framing:
Spokesperson: "Meta is still hungry for even more computing power.
It is still moving forward with plans for expensive new data centers and recently inked major computing deals with $CRVW, Google, $… → · 1403 likes · 472,520 views |
| 2026-04-20 | How are there people still long on an F-tier Neocloud like $IREN.
Amid a $6,000,000,000 dilution?
When $NBIS is up there with $ORCL and $MSFT looking derisked? https://t.co/vIdzdk4Hqi → · 1475 likes · 306,417 views |
| 2026-03-24 | If you didn't know by now $SIVE is important to US national security via CHIPS act.
But especially, as the light source for hyperscaler AI supply chains.
They got two CHIPS acts grants ~$11.6M so far:
1. FR3 beamformer ICs with $ERIC and Raytheon $RTX.
2. EW Tech with $BA (LSE) BAE Systems
With… → · 424 likes · 93,842 views |
| 2026-02-21 | Year to Date: 316.4%
From January 2026 into February 2026.
Reflection of my short term trades and longs:
> Swing traded tax harvested stocks like $GLXY, $SMCI, and $IREN start of the year
> Rode Venezuela stocks from Gold Reserve, $AVAV, to $CVX (calls) up
> Bought into defense like $LPTH, $OSS… → · 1922 likes · 475,173 views |
| 2026-01-24 | I've been saying this about $ORCL in the 300's though too when they projected $25B capex to $50B+ in just 1 year time.
This is to fulfill $500B+ in backlog. But that backlog doesn't matter when it's OpenAI (eg. $300B Stargate).
They're borrowing so much to build out on a sole customer, which happ… → · 30 likes · 21,584 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Just In: Amazon's $10B OpenAI Funding and The AI Supply Chain Ripple Effect.
$AMZN is set to invest $10B+ in OpenAI at a $500B+ valuation
Why this is a MASSIVE structural shift for AI stocks:
1. De-Risking the AI DC trade: ( $ORCL, $CRWV, $APLD, $CORZ )
With the SPEED Bill mentioned earlier, th… → · 89 likes · 87,243 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Yes like how my chances with Sydney Sweeney are 50/50, the chances that the bill passes and $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR goes to the moon are 50/50 as well.
Either it happens or it doesn’t.
Jokes aside just a wild guess is 30-35% given early disagreement from Democrats like Bernie.
I’d count more on like… → · 13 likes · 2,412 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Disagree, utilization lag is margin destruction compared to .75 bps rate cut.
Rate cuts are a massive tailwind given how Neoclouds debt to fund expansion.
But, when the US gov guarantees faster revenue conversion on $ORCL or $CRWV on capex spend with the Speed act by a few weeks or even a quarter,… → · 13 likes · 2,219 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Thanks! There were some other posts about the Speed act passing and “bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR”, which is helpful.
But I just wanted to break down “why” since the DC sector is EXCEPTIONALLY nuanced and interconnected.
Speed act passing is better than 3x rate cut, since delays are probably one o… → · 15 likes · 2,428 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Just now, the SPEED Act ADVANCES in the House.
This is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.
Here's why and a rundown:
The U.S. GOVERNMENT is set to support the AI data center buildout from Oracle down to Nebius on national security gr… → · 450 likes · 174,102 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Agreed.
Companies like $CIFR are trading like the $AMZN, $GOOGL deals never happened.
In the whole Neocloud sector, we’re seeing a crash despite de-risking and long term revenue visibility across the board with Mag7 contracts.
$ORCL, $CRWV, and some individual names made sense given OpenAI expo… → · 21 likes · 4,449 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Well, the main factor is dilution for $NBIS and $IREN. But otherwise it’s largely sentiment and price.
Unfortunately $NBIS has a $2B+ ATM running that they’ve been selling on the open market.
Then combine that with institutional short positions. And then sector leader $ORCL fears.
Then retail cap… → · 20 likes · 2,799 views |
| 2025-12-14 | Falling Knife or Dip Buy?
What a brutal Friday for stocks after $ORCL and $AVGO earnings.
Popular FinX names that dropped in just 1 day:
$FRMI | -34.1%
$SNDK | -15.89%
$SEI | -15.3%
$OKLO | -15.13%
$MOD | -14.67%
$ALAB | -14.31%
$FLNC | -13.96%
$LITE | -12.83%
$GLXY | -11.73%
$AAOI | -11.73%
$AV… → · 92 likes · 148,547 views |
| 2025-12-11 | OpenAI was the clear leader before.
Now, Gemini 3.0 surpasses it in image generation. Claude Opus 4.5 surpasses it in coding. Can go down the line.
It looked like ChatGPT couldn’t be disrupted after they got first movers advantage. Now from similarweb data we can see popularity with Gemini growi… → · 7 likes · 1,354 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I expect a bad day for Neocloud stocks just because $ORCL / $CRWV are "sector leaders".
But this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector:
Due to the market missing the nuance that $ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty.
Bu… → · 11 likes · 2,416 views |
| 2025-12-11 | The alpha is knowing what types of contracts lead to isolation from current fears and where there's mispricing on individual components in the sector. Compute capacity contracts are take or pay for $MSFT, $META, and others.
Companies like $NBIS, $IREN and others are effectively de-risked due to … → · 36 likes · 3,871 views |
| 2025-12-11 | The AI DC sector is extremely nuanced.
$ORCL is building capacity from debt based on backlog/credit worthiness of OpenAI which is the tenant.
OpenAI does not have the funds at the moment to fulfill its obligations and it's looking less likely to get it.
$CIFR is building out for $GOOGL, $AMZN.
… → · 22 likes · 2,900 views |
| 2025-12-11 | Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:
Oracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.
Oracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.
Here's why:
The sell-off w… → · 564 likes · 295,459 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I’ve been putting $ORCL on avoid and this earnings was the reason why on the 11% drop.
I need more time to look into it but it’s not just capex spend that’s worrying, a large part of it is because of OpenAi (which doesn’t have the funding for the backlog) that a lot of the spend is for.
Other neoc… → · 6 likes · 851 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Pre-earnings $NBIS was sitting around $115-$135. We've dropped over ~21%-40% since then on:
Robotaxi FSD launch with $UBER, doubled ARR estimates, increased GW capacity guidance by 150%, surprise $META contract, MSCI inclusion inflow.
The only downside: 25m share dilution. Which I extremely disli… → · 8 likes · 2,883 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Also - "Depreciation only kicks in once the underlying assets (GPUs) are in use." - this is nuanced and leans false.
I'm not sure if this is is different for $IREN in specific, but just in general depreciation starts when the asset is available for use, not in use implying your 100% utilization (t… → · 5 likes · 1,410 views |
| 2025-12-05 | My stance changed on $AMD after LLMs like opus 4.5 beat gpt codex models in coding, gemini 3 models beat out chatgpt models in image generation, etc.
A large part of my initial bullishness on $AMD was expecting OpenAI to maintain its dominance in LLMs, IPO, and find a way to generate that $1T+ in c… → · 13 likes · 2,193 views |
| 2025-11-26 | Prob just fedramp providers like $ORCL and traditional hyperscalers like $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $MSFT given how critical the data is.
$CRWV is probably the most likely Neocloud but they’re still in application phase. $NBIS is unlikely.
That being said, other Neocloud sector members are indirect benefi… → · 3 likes · 817 views |
| 2025-11-25 | The main fear I have in the "AI Bubble" is OpenAI and their $1T capex promises. That is a clear bubble (and private valuations of LLMs). Most other things, no.
Any company directly reliant to them $ORCL, $CRWV might be in trouble given how AI models leapfrogged GPT. So the simple thing to do is st… → · 8 likes · 1,007 views |
| 2025-11-25 | Good question about risk, I enjoy talking about the downsides too.
1. Hyperscalers completely their own datacenter buildout with GPUs (TPUs with $GOOGL, Tranium with $AWS), energy, locations in 5+ years.
This is the analogy of Qualcomm with Apple. Apple just uses $QLCM, then builds it's own verti… → · 14 likes · 1,705 views |
| 2025-11-23 | Markets just suffered their worst deleveraging shock in recent history.
High-beta assets are collapsing:
• $NBIS, $IREN, AI stocks are down ~40%+ from peaks
• $MSTR, $BTC plunged 30-40%+ in the past month
• Crypto erased over $1.2 trillion in value
This wasn’t normal, it was a forced unwind acr… → · 251 likes · 106,508 views |
| 2025-11-22 | Agreed. But to @_melonBird with the SemiAnalysis ranking on $CRWV, I agree with that table. Coreweave and $NBIS are the two with full-stack nailed down in the whole Neocloud sector.
Coreweave spent many years and billions of USD on acquisitions to get software right.
However, that table doesn't me… → · 10 likes · 3,650 views |
| 2025-11-22 | If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF.
With $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest.
While $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cut… → · 3 likes · 2,577 views |
| 2025-11-20 | I'm very precise with my wording. You skipped over "expected" while reading discussions about guided contracted capacity.
So reiterating what I've said above but with a longer explanation:
$IREN's original moat was GW capacity + vertical integration. $NBIS's moat was full-stack.
However, Nebius… → · 10 likes · 2,383 views |
| 2025-11-19 | Sure happy to explain further than the TLDR on why I've downgraded $IREN and upgraded $TSSI a strong buy. $TSSI has high upside on the drop from $30 to $7 since it was an overreaction to temporary Q3 operational scaling bottlenecks and factory cost not underlying demand.
It's well capitalized to … → · 25 likes · 7,781 views |
| 2025-11-18 | $IREN has extremely high upside if they get orchestration right on the infrastructure level and a $100B+ marketcap ($400) is a tad-overly ambitious but possible.
Vertically integrated, high connected GW capacity, and hyperscaler deals like $MSFT make $IREN a buy at $49.
However, execution risk is… → · 12 likes · 1,021 views |
| 2025-11-18 | I think you might be confusing yourself and I'm just trying to clarify the terms. You were saying $ORCL is not full stack because they did DC leasing and $IREN is full stack in your first comment.
Now you're shifting from $ORCL and talking about $IREN.
And we're just going into semantic definitio… → · 2 likes · 547 views |
| 2025-11-18 | That's a correct with full-stack as software as a layer on top of GPUs, so $ORCL would fit that mark. Earlier you were conflating vertically integrated and full-stack offering, which are two distinct terms.
This is a very nuanced, with $NBIS, $CRWV you're confusing you're confusing "straight GPU le… → · 3 likes · 727 views |
| 2025-11-18 | I don't use full-stack and vertically integrated interchangeably, my wording is very precise when I talk about $ORCL.
$NBIS does mixed to expand margins.
The main issue with $IREN is that they're doing full-stack where software orchestration is an incredible and misunderstood moat and it increa… → · 9 likes · 2,205 views |
| 2025-11-17 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] at $86.69 is the purest Neocloud and AI-infra asymmetry left.
This is the highest revenue Neocloud untouched by $CIFR | $WULF and colo providers that has no:
- Plaguing uncertainty that $IREN, $ORCL face from full-stack execution.
- High interest debt that $CRWV, $APLD, and ot… → · 407 likes · 1,760,741 views |
| 2025-11-16 | @soulbiri1 Both $CRWV and $ORCL are geographically monogamous with OpenAI so their own debt problems shouldn’t affect $NBIS.
But yeah sell-off was wild to watch when you point out the numbers and analyst projections before earnings. → · 19 likes · 5,803 views |
| 2025-11-15 | Yeah I made another post about credit tightening and contagion from OpenAI in one of my other posts but $NBIS seems the best isolated in those terms because of their strong balance sheet, convertible note structure.
It’s mostly indiscriminate sector selloff on top of the something structural mainl… → · 4 likes · 595 views |
| 2025-10-26 | This is about HPC not bitcoin mining…
Just to summarize again, the point was miner margins will always be less than $NBIS because of middleware.
And how the transition off of middleware like $CRWV is an incredibly high moat (looking at $ORCL).
And if we go into the numbers, software stack > capac… → · 5 likes · 1,056 views |
| 2025-10-26 | $IREN has good margins for crypto mining and large GW capacity but that doesn’t translate directly into HPC.
They’re going the $CIFR $WULF route in the meantime with middleware orchestration funneling to hyper scalers but that cuts into margins a lot in the long run.
$NBIS is direct to $MSFT full … → · 17 likes · 4,495 views |
| 2025-10-26 | Just wanted to point out a new valuation thesis shifting from power capacity hype to margins due to new information from $NBIS recent whitepaper, $ORCL margin leak, and others.
People just assume GW = profit with miners, but in terms of profitability and execution in the future, I'd expect the spec… → · 12 likes · 2,914 views |
| 2025-10-26 | To settle the Neocloud debate:
$NBIS > $IREN + others.
Based on the $ORCL report, NBIS whitepaper, $CRWV acquisitions, and other factors,
I decided to consolidate millions into Nebius and sell off miners like $CIFR.
📏 Gross Margins > GW capacity
Here's the math + why:
We've had a huge spe… → · 525 likes · 222,679 views |
| 2025-10-26 | I mention $CRWV in the other comments as the gold standard example crypto miners pivoting to HPC aim for.
Even then $NBIS has higher GPU utilization after CRWV spends billions on software acquisition and years to build it out.
People have too much rose-tinted lens on $IREN and other crypto miners … → · 8 likes · 1,676 views |
| 2025-10-25 | No, I held almost every Neocloud up until this week. But ended up selling HPC miners Friday after consolidating more information that came out eg. $ORCL buildout failing, $NBIS new whitepaper 2 days ago, $CRWV recent acquisitions, more insights into margin calculations.
But I'll put that into $NBI… → · 6 likes · 941 views |
| 2025-10-25 | $ORCL failed to match these capacities and it's a $800B company.
You're betting that a lot of these small $3-$15B crypto miners pivoting can build it out.
$CRWV took years and billions of dollars in acquisitions to make it sort of work and even after that, $NBIS has higher utilization as per their… → · 4 likes · 906 views |
| 2025-10-25 | I'd disagree, software orchestration is one of the biggest moats possible, which is why $NBIS > $IREN clear as day for me in terms of asymmetrical upside. But to each their own!
I'd agree IREN has slightly higher potential upside due to scale of GW deployed but way way larger execution risk in term… → · 26 likes · 2,852 views |
| 2025-10-25 | Fair, there's a lot of hype around Bitcoin miners. My guess is every Neocloud will go up together anyway.
But what ends up on top is execution during ER. $NBIS ends up on top due to margins and defensibility.
Full stack + software orchestration is a misunderstood moat. Even $ORCL couldn't get it … → · 5 likes · 2,492 views |
| 2025-10-25 | Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.
This post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that:
👑 $NBIS is superior.
I sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.
Now with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS shares/leaps + small $WLA… → · 393 likes · 258,529 views |
| 2025-10-23 | So in terms of raw upside, $IREN is promising just because of pure GW capacity. However, $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return out of any Neocloud.
With the recent Nebius whitepaper, they published a bit about GPU utilization, etc. Their full stack software + diversified customer base with star… → · 9 likes · 1,367 views |
| 2025-10-22 | With $NBIS, retail likely did a lot of CSP + short dated calls from open interest.
When MMs act as the counterpart, it exacerbates any movement. In this case, it amplified downward movement, with large hedge fund likely shorting initially at higher prices (probably timed with The Insider hit piece … → · 9 likes · 978 views |
| 2025-10-22 | Yeah I’d agree with the breakdown. But think you’re focusing on the wrong thing (external competitive advantage).
Their full stack software + diversified customer base with startups, SMBs, helps their own opex, which is the moat in and of itself.
You mention miners like $IREN but if we look at $OR… → · 38 likes · 3,610 views |
| 2025-10-20 | Great question!
Hyperscalers signed confirmed utilization + spend, for example with $NBIS deal with $MSFT, Microsoft is spending 17-20B over 5 years.
It's not exactly risking high-capex, since they're spending to pay for capacity since there's a bottleneck. They're still spending tens of billion… → · 12 likes · 3,250 views |
| 2025-10-18 | @HesterPeirce @SEC_Enforcement @FINRA @CFTC - Investigate whether this media reporting, which materially affects the markets, violates Rule 10b-5. Probe patterns/coordination with external security transactions.
Most recent occurrence was October 7th, "Internal Oracle Data Show Financial Challenge… → · 24 likes · 2,642 views |
| 2025-09-26 | DCA's into $ORCL positions. Bought some calls $284, on the 2.4% drop.
Could see extended selloff into very early October but too much forward rev potential with OpenAi, TikTok, etc so risk/reward is worth it imo https://t.co/wY2iMVK43u → · 18 likes · 7,692 views |
| 2025-09-26 | @__visionxry__ I ended up buying $ORCL calls lol, dip was too tempting https://t.co/WOE1qNbq7I → · 1 likes · 363 views |
| 2025-09-26 | @__visionxry__ Reminds me of $AVGO earnings, spikes, dips for like a month, then face ripping rally.
Probably more influenced by options rather than fundamentals at this point.
If we go at face value of OpenAI deals, $ORCL is a great buy → · 2 likes · 659 views |
| 2025-09-23 | @Michael10011001 @AnaCintra24 It's happening right now with $NVDA buying $100B OpenAI stock, OpenAI Buying $100B NVDA GPUs, promising $300B to $ORCL and so on. → · 3 likes · 359 views |