| Date | Tweet |
|---|
| 2026-07-22T20:45:31 | $GOOGL now has 950M monthly Gemini users and processes 22B API tokens/min.
Compared to 750M back in February.
Absurd growth adding 200 million more users in a few months. Kinda explains why they ran out of compute, then cut allocations to $META and others.
Very unlikely AI capex will slow dow… → · 2052 likes · 509,731 views |
| 2026-07-17T17:51:55 | $META in talks to lease compute to Anthropic in a $10B dollar deal.
Seems like they saw how profitable
$SPCX $45B compute deal was.
But just goes to validate Neocloud business models like $NBIS, $IREN, and co if hyperscalers are copying their homework.
Source: NYT https://t.co/3Mu3UXQtFT → · 1240 likes · 340,118 views |
| 2026-07-15T16:02:14+00:00 | @SVTrivo No leaks yet on what companies $AAPL is buying.
Regardless, my guess is that they're trying to become more self-reliant after what happened with $GOOGL + $META and OpenAI.
Which would signal AI capex hikes, which markets definitely aren't expecting from someone like Apple. → · 83 likes · 24,014 views |
| 2026-07-15T16:01:18+00:00 | @michaelsikand DRAM 20%+ hike for next quarter, $SNDK LTAs with $META, $MU 16+ LTAs.
Market: proceeds to sell off memory.
800G transceiver revision sharply upward? Lasers completely sold out into early 2029?
Market: sells off photonics and laser companies. → · 372 likes · 72,260 views |
| 2026-07-15T15:53:21 | $AAPL looks to acquire AI chip companies for running AI (Source: The Information)
Right now, $MSFT, $META, Amazon, Google are carrying AI capex spend.
But what if Apple joined the others after M&A?
A possible scenario is that they revise capex largely upward for their own AI buildout.
Since th… → · 1035 likes · 366,836 views |
| 2026-07-15T15:07:50+00:00 | I don't see any fundamentally wrong. There's probably going to be large corrections from time to time flush out margin/leverage before things move higher.
And this month seems like that time of year?
$POET confirmed your big optical giants like $LITE, $COHR are completely sold out for the next 2 … → · 261 likes · 33,712 views |
| 2026-07-14T14:57:21 | $NBIS signs $1B+ compute agreement with Reflection AI, for GB300 access through 2029.
Reflection also signed a multi-billion dollar agreement with $SPCX earlier.
Interesting to say the least, seeing Nebius drop -5% off the news today.
Also... counterparty to get this done kinda reminds me of Op… → · 1522 likes · 479,260 views |
| 2026-07-13T00:45:13 | Just a semi recap TLDR:
- $GLW glass bridge per Morgan Stanley has potential, but hard to displace FAU (like FOCI) in short term
- $SPCX Starlink Gen 3 is scaling to 100,000 units (10x prev gen) creating possible capacity constraints for suppliers of switches to CCL.
- PCB supply shortages are pr… → · 2042 likes · 666,769 views |
| 2026-07-09T12:46:14 | Nothing like an internal $META memo getting published.
Showing AI ramping as usual:
- LTAs signed with Samsung and $SNDK for memory
- LTAs signed with Sumitomo Electric for fiber optics
- Expected to deploy 7GW compute infra this year, and doubling in 2027.
- as much as $145B capex spend this yea… → · 2026 likes · 528,484 views |
| 2026-07-08T21:16:03 | $META to build a new $10B DC in Canada to expand AI capacity.
So much for the media framing of “Meta Compute”as overbuilding and cutting capex. https://t.co/0QgSls0s9o → · 1434 likes · 342,649 views |
| 2026-07-07T18:56:07 | Just Bloomberg and $META doing damage control after crashing the market with Meta Compute framing:
Spokesperson: "Meta is still hungry for even more computing power.
It is still moving forward with plans for expensive new data centers and recently inked major computing deals with $CRVW, Google, $… → · 1403 likes · 472,520 views |
| 2026-07-07T08:10:39 | One of the dumbest thematic selloffs I’ve seen to to date off:
- $META compute news that’s not new
- CPO delay report 1, that got refuted by $NVDA
- CPO delay report 2, that got refuted by $NVDA
High confidence, institutions will end up going long on the same names they’re bearposting after retail… → · 2403 likes · 653,430 views |
| 2026-07-07 | I personally think so. It feels like markets started selling off after that misleading Bloomberg $META compute article, and a couple of SemiAnalysis bear posts on $NVDA supply chains.
Since algos + headline interpretation of “Meta excess compute” was cutting capex + dropping out of AI race.
Combin… → · 290 likes · 44,320 views |
| 2026-07-06T14:48:33 | I’d like to give a special thank you to Bloomberg’s piece on $META compute.
As well as the 2 back to back bear posts on CPO delays.
But I believe thematically photonics, memory, energy, and physical AI will outperform in the long run. https://t.co/vghsG5H2w5 → · 2804 likes · 671,030 views |
| 2026-07-05T13:38:44 | Looks like there's a high power cylindrical cell / BBU cell shortage (aka: bottleneck):
- Samsung SDI supplies the cells to Simplo, which assembles them into BBUs for $META to $AMZN.
- As demand from data centers has increased, production of Samsung SDI's cylindrical cells has also risen sharply.
… → · 865 likes · 380,745 views |
| 2026-07-04 | @fivepointscap Yep, $SE $MELI $JD $AMZN and the other e-commerce giants are the most obvious beneficiary of physical AI push that I can think of
Given they can optimizing opex immediately with robotics. Names like $META are kinda less clear. → · 87 likes · 28,546 views |
| 2026-07-03T05:58:44 | SemiAnalysis on $META “overcapacity” and market reactions with $NBIS and others:
“We believe Meta’s datacenter and compute will accelerate”.
“Capex in 2027 will be shockingly high”.
Recent global crash, especially in the photonics sector was stupid… Off misleading narratives of Meta dropping out … → · 2038 likes · 571,418 views |
| 2026-07-03T04:54:11 | Lot of misinformation recently about $META.
Recently major journals have been stating
“AI AGENT DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LAST FOUR MONTHS HASN'T 'ACCELERATED IN THE WAY WE EXPECTED”
To push some narrative about Meta dropping out of the race or lowered capex:
As Wang clarified: Zuckerberg was talkin… → · 830 likes · 395,228 views |
| 2026-07-03T04:38:55 | $META: upcoming AI model “Watermelon” has caught up to OpenAI’s GPT 5.5.
Wang noted it uses an "order of magnitude" more compute than its predecessor “Avocado”.
Who said they were out of the AI race again? https://t.co/X2sOgMRTuw → · 1374 likes · 691,303 views |
| 2026-07-03 | @softmaxedx I blame Semianalysis for crashing the entire photonics market for misleading CPO delay reporting that $NVDA refuted.
Alongside global journal $META recent misleading reporting…
But I think they realized everything was crashing along with it, so they needed a macro bull post. → · 201 likes · 34,760 views |
| 2026-07-03 | @ontrialperiod when global and US markets crash off misinformation and out of context quotes from $META. I probably want to clear that up?
That thing said, $AAOI, $SIVE, and $CCXI do make up large concentration in my portfolio. → · 234 likes · 33,232 views |
| 2026-07-02T19:12:55 | Always a fun time seeing semi markets crash from Bloomberg report framing once again…
UBS analyst on $META report: “this is not new news”.
Regardless:
$AEHR down -18.3%
$AAOI down -17.13%
$SIVEF down -15.4%
$SNDK down -14.8%
$TER down -13.8%
$GLW down -11.4%
$MRVL down -11.2%
$LITE down -10.2%
$N… → · 2150 likes · 441,474 views |
| 2026-07-02T16:56:31 | Photonics is backed by actual revenue numbers and it's an architectural shift championed by $NVDA.
Quantum barely has any revenue.
$LITE is completely sold out for the next 2 years (per $POET AGM) likely starting into 2029. Lumentum is so strained that they buy CW lasers off competitors (earnings … → · 2232 likes · 722,680 views |
| 2026-07-02T06:53:53 | Wells Fargo: $META intent to sell excess compute is a positive signal around underlying demand and unit economics of AI.
“Despite this shift, we don’t expect a pullback in Meta’s capex or that overall compute needs are lower”
Regarding Neoclouds: WF thinks it validated the massive AI infra opportu… → · 1520 likes · 438,667 views |
| 2026-07-02 | @mkfilko Morgan Stanley for example is expecting an upward revision on AI capex from the $META announcement too…
So selloff on all AI names seems like a bit much. https://t.co/UTyz9a7KrM → · 155 likes · 36,658 views |
| 2026-07-01T13:42:30 | There’s a lot of disinformation going around about $META “cutting capex” because they “overbuilt”.
This is an “if” they have excess capacity.
And it looks like the opposite right now:
Hyperscalers like $GOOGL are so compute constrained that they had to cut allocations to Meta back in March.
Sinc… → · 1906 likes · 925,488 views |
| 2026-07-01T12:49:56 | Finally, $META to build a Cloud Business to sell excess AI compute per Bloomberg.
Thought Meta should go up against GCP, Azure, and AWS eventually to increase revenue streams.
Meta up 6.65% premarket. https://t.co/UUolnwtYJY → · 1200 likes · 486,254 views |
| 2026-07-01T04:40:02 | Just some of the more interesting news I came across recently:
1. MS: Revised China humanoid shipments to reach 50,000 in 2026 from 14,000u and 28,000u earlier this year.
2. MS: Probe cards and test sockets likely to be priced hike (precious metal hikes + severe shortage of test pin capacity)
3. … → · 1020 likes · 588,409 views |
| 2026-06-30T10:27:55 | Hard to see a world where US AI hyperscaler capex drops dramatically from $GOOGL to $META.
When China entities like 360 go and claim:
They now have a "AI cyber nuclear weapon" that can hack Western companies and governments.
(Zhou claimed Mythos was like an AI era cyber nuclear weapon, then claim… → · 1027 likes · 373,918 views |
| 2026-06-28T07:37:26 | Guess we finally found why $META signed massive agreements with Neoclouds like $NBIS back in March...
And why Gemini got super nerfed.
$GOOGL reportedly restricted Meta's capacity in March 2026 because of compute restraints.
Google's CEO said from last earnings computing power restrictions prev… → · 2375 likes · 649,314 views |
| 2026-06-19T12:19:38 | I think something to highlight also is not all my ideas are green, especially on short term timeframes!
My core three themes are Neoclouds (Energy), Memory, and Photonics.
And I'm glad I chose the literal top performers for each segment from $NBIS to $EWY leaps to $SIVE.
However, I still have p… → · 2374 likes · 853,958 views |
| 2026-06-19 | Yes, choosing the right theme is extremely important.
Even if $POET doesn't really do anything, it still gets brought up thematically due to $LITE, $COHR, and others.
Even if $RDDT outperforms extremely hard, it still gets brought down from $META, $MSFT, $CRM, and other software basket names. → · 142 likes · 24,592 views |
| 2026-06-16 | Other way around, $NVDA bottlenecked the entire industry for EML capacity.
And did the same with CW capacity ONCE AGAIN with $LITE, $COHR, and $MRVL (if they have LTA in place with Celestial)
I said this a few months ago, we'd see this exact same playbook. But $AMD, $AMZN, $META, and others are ju… → · 174 likes · 26,341 views |
| 2026-05-22 | Feels like $FUTU and $TIGR are kinda screwed? The Chinese Gov is going after their historical revenues.
There's basically no fair law in China (esp. with IP), so if Gov wants something done, courts will be rigged against them.
So no chance of an appeal, unless they make a hidden deal. Also don't … → · 969 likes · 234,356 views |
| 2026-04-24 | @xm_build It's not even leaks though...
You know $SIVE is supplying to $JBL 1.6T LRO and when you point out $META is the likely end user (because Meta is the $INTC SiPH customer Jabil acquired).
People get upset and start shorting. It's an amusing culture. → · 60 likes · 8,818 views |
| 2026-04-24 | I'm amused by Swedish culture at this point.
That their retail/journalists are crying every day when someone posts a supply chain mapping of $SIVE lasers to:
-> $MRVL CPO
-> $AMD CPO
-> $JBL 1.6T LRO
-> $NVDA
-> $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT
-> Tencent, Baidu, Alibaba for ELS.
Then they go crying e… → · 1158 likes · 296,894 views |
| 2026-04-24 | Just putting out there...
Would have been +15.02% in 2W equal-weighted return.
On 30 different stocks... mostly medium-large cap.
1. $INTC +29.62%
2. $MRVL +40.95%
3. $TSM +4.72%
4. $COHR +18.9%
5. $RKLB +26.76%
6. $DRAM +12.29%
7. $AVGO +18.32%
8. $AMZN +9.17%
9. $ARM +36.6%
10. $TSEM -1.25%
11… → · 1643 likes · 317,745 views |
| 2026-04-23 | There's stuff I trade, and stuff I invest in.
I haven't sold a single $SIVE share since I bought it last month. I expect this to be the next $LITE if they play their cards right, and this is a long term investment.
As for stuff like $AXTI, I'm up over 1000%+ but I'm still holding. For multi-year s… → · 225 likes · 43,803 views |
| 2026-04-23 | All the hyperscalers $SIVE likely ends up in 2027-2028 is staggering at a $900m MC.
Markets don't understand what's coming.
From speculative mapping:
> $SIVE -> $POET -> $MRVL ->
1. $AMZN (purchase agreement/warrants with photonic fabric from celestial)
2. $MSFT (maia)
3. $GOOGL (recent dev… → · 2152 likes · 465,760 views |
| 2026-04-21 | Bullish on $ARM, given the new bottleneck shifting back to CPUs. MS shows stuff like Orchestration/RAG requiring CPUs.
But I'm predicting parts of localized inference to be handled by CPUs more and more... as models like Gemma get lightweight in the future.
Not every robot needs to be able to s… → · 1126 likes · 1,421,043 views |
| 2026-03-26 | Warning about $VCX.
A very popular ETF with weighting toward (Anthropic, Databricks, OpenAI, Anduril, and SpaceX).
Ask yourself this:
Is SpaceX is worth 23 times $META valuation?
With the stock going up 1288% this month: VCX is trading at roughly ~20x its NAV. So 1500-2000% premium?
This is li… → · 523 likes · 462,747 views |
| 2026-03-26 | Lot of people were asking about my top 3 anime:
1) Eminence in Shadow - Kadokawa (TYO: 9468)
2. Classroom of the Elite - Kadokawa (TYO: 9468)
3. Re:Zero - Kadokawa (TYO: 9468)
Kadokawa YTD: 15.93%
Lesson learned:
You can outperform $GOOGL and $META + indexes if have good taste in anime? → · 342 likes · 81,822 views |
| 2026-03-26 | The US tech selloff from $MSFT, $GOOGL and $META looks really overdone now?
Mag7 roughly down:
Microsoft down -21.9% YTD
Google down -7.69% YTD
$AMZN down -7.36 YTD
Meta down -8.54% YTD
What makes things worse is SpaceX IPOing at $1.7T if they get fast-index inclusion.
Mega-IPOs typically serv… → · 662 likes · 110,150 views |
| 2026-03-24 | $ARM announces new AI chip called "AGI CPU"
According to Arm, the company "Expects it to add billions in annual revenue".
- 136 Neoverse V3 cores, built on $TSM 3nm process
- Custom-built for "agentic AI" workloads with OpenAI and $META as lead customers.
$AMD and $INTC have recently received a… → · 304 likes · 148,809 views |
| 2026-03-24 | @TheVantaBlack Not yet, but leaps on $MSFT, especially with OpenAI liquidity unlock feels more compelling here?
Same with $META with blowout earnings, delaying Avocado launch doesn’t materially change earnings much short term since they sell ads but does impact optics. → · 44 likes · 13,807 views |
| 2026-03-24 | Feel like Mag7 selloff from $META at $593 to $MSFT at $373…
Has gone a bit too far?
At this point, risk/reward feels on hyperscaler spend vs. ROI vs. macro climates, feels compelling.
And we should see capital rotations back into the American tech sector soon. https://t.co/KBCi7gMfGT → · 1107 likes · 368,448 views |
| 2026-03-24 | If you didn't know by now $SIVE is important to US national security via CHIPS act.
But especially, as the light source for hyperscaler AI supply chains.
They got two CHIPS acts grants ~$11.6M so far:
1. FR3 beamformer ICs with $ERIC and Raytheon $RTX.
2. EW Tech with $BA (LSE) BAE Systems
With… → · 424 likes · 93,842 views |
| 2026-02-24 | $MU - ended up liking SK Hynix more but safer made in America play
$AXTI long way to go, 1 year wait until extreme shortage hits. Prob my favorite in photonics sector for return potential
$EWY - tail end of Vega expansion, IV will likely send it a tad higher. But if you’re buying calls do it becau… → · 43 likes · 4,745 views |
| 2026-02-21 | Year to Date: 316.4%
From January 2026 into February 2026.
Reflection of my short term trades and longs:
> Swing traded tax harvested stocks like $GLXY, $SMCI, and $IREN start of the year
> Rode Venezuela stocks from Gold Reserve, $AVAV, to $CVX (calls) up
> Bought into defense like $LPTH, $OSS… → · 1922 likes · 475,173 views |
| 2026-02-19 | Trade Idea: Long OTM $XLU leaps (2 years, Dec 2027/Jan 2028).
This feels like once-a-generation long due to AI.
XLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies.
Two reasons:
1. Paradigm shift due to AI DC electricity usage.
2. Low option IV (~14%) based on historical averages (flat since… → · 686 likes · 371,927 views |
| 2026-01-22 | @pepemoonboy I should have cost averaged $META more on the drop to $603. https://t.co/6LEijFygpy → · 44 likes · 7,365 views |
| 2026-01-20 | @CB3409 I do sleep, but it’s hard to when I get the temptation to just full port it into $META → · 9 likes · 1,849 views |
| 2025-12-26 | Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:
1. $AXTI ($700M)
2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)
Which both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.
Future $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and receivers.
$AVGO, $… → · 4032 likes · 6,552,541 views |
| 2025-12-22 | "Late".
$LITE is a $26B MC in the center of every future $GOOGL TPU deployment, $NVDA/ $AMZN / other GPU/ASICs.
8-12% BOM share of every Google TPU v7. This is like saying $NVDA was "late" when price it was a $1T MC.
But if you want want another player, $AAOI.
$MSFT is using them for Maia ASI… → · 74 likes · 527,904 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Meant when $NBIS annnounced the Microsoft contract they were trading around $90-$100 before rallying to $140. Pre contract it was $65-$75.
Now we’re back at $80 after $MSFT 19B deal, $META $3B deal, Israel gov deal, Cursor/Accenture, $UBER avride robotaxi launch + $375m investment round, and so on.… → · 35 likes · 3,223 views |
| 2025-12-14 | Falling Knife or Dip Buy?
What a brutal Friday for stocks after $ORCL and $AVGO earnings.
Popular FinX names that dropped in just 1 day:
$FRMI | -34.1%
$SNDK | -15.89%
$SEI | -15.3%
$OKLO | -15.13%
$MOD | -14.67%
$ALAB | -14.31%
$FLNC | -13.96%
$LITE | -12.83%
$GLXY | -11.73%
$AAOI | -11.73%
$AV… → · 92 likes · 148,547 views |
| 2025-12-14 | Still bullish. People seem to forget the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size. They have great medium term defensibility, including all their enterprise users like Cursor or $NET.
DCs in space is more near-term exploratory like q… → · 17 likes · 2,007 views |
| 2025-12-12 | Broadcom [ $AVGO ] earnings results and its effect on the AI sector like $LITE and $NBIS:
Broadcom's ER was "double beat" with $18.02B revenue (+28% Y/Y) and $1.95 EPS, beating consensus.
But AVGO dropped -11.64% and brought down the AI sector.
Is this a buying opportunity?
Yes.
Broadcom is se… → · 130 likes · 29,196 views |
| 2025-12-12 | Interesting take but I disagree. $SNAP should have just scrapped any AR development (like $META for Metaverse) given how much capex spend it is.
And just went out and say: "We're a social media company" + compete vs Tiktok/Meta by acquiring social media companies like early stage Facebook (instea… → · 12 likes · 1,609 views |
| 2025-12-11 | NP! If we look at mag7 ASICs, $GOOGL TPU v7 Ironwood suppliers had a run after the $META deal.
$AMZN Trainium is going to ramp up soon like $GOOGL and the recent hyperscaler $AAOI order was likely from them.
The alpha for $AAOI is that $MSFT Maia 200 orders were more of R&D spend and they dela… → · 7 likes · 1,908 views |
| 2025-12-11 | They did. A large part of it was OpenAI fears.
eg. OpenAI -> one of $CRWV anchor tenant. $ALPD selling junk bonds -> credit tightening.
Sector selloff after.
Obviously it's multifacted (eg. broader selloff from carry trade unwind), ATM offerings/convertible notes + more dilution for some -> mar… → · 5 likes · 2,087 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I expect a bad day for Neocloud stocks just because $ORCL / $CRWV are "sector leaders".
But this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector:
Due to the market missing the nuance that $ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty.
Bu… → · 11 likes · 2,416 views |
| 2025-12-11 | The alpha is knowing what types of contracts lead to isolation from current fears and where there's mispricing on individual components in the sector. Compute capacity contracts are take or pay for $MSFT, $META, and others.
Companies like $NBIS, $IREN and others are effectively de-risked due to … → · 36 likes · 3,871 views |
| 2025-12-11 | The AI DC sector is extremely nuanced.
$ORCL is building capacity from debt based on backlog/credit worthiness of OpenAI which is the tenant.
OpenAI does not have the funds at the moment to fulfill its obligations and it's looking less likely to get it.
$CIFR is building out for $GOOGL, $AMZN.
… → · 22 likes · 2,900 views |
| 2025-12-10 | So from what I've seen personally with $NBIS, it's largely ATM overhang + sector drag + short term shorts, and large amounts of open interest expiring on the 19th.
For example, $CRWV was up 5.13% yesterday, while $NBIS was down 3.91% same day, and I'd attribute that to either shorts/ATMs.
It's a… → · 28 likes · 2,684 views |
| 2025-12-05 | A short seller firm @Hedgeye is now shorting Nebius $NBIS. The stock price is now $97.8.
Their claim? Nebius is Coreweave 2.0.
Coreweave [ $CRWV ]:
- Small diversification in customers, mainly hyperscalers, ~quarter of their backlog is OpenAI.
- $1.8B in cash left
- $1.3B+/yearly in debt inte… → · 211 likes · 135,696 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Pre-earnings $NBIS was sitting around $115-$135. We've dropped over ~21%-40% since then on:
Robotaxi FSD launch with $UBER, doubled ARR estimates, increased GW capacity guidance by 150%, surprise $META contract, MSCI inclusion inflow.
The only downside: 25m share dilution. Which I extremely disli… → · 8 likes · 2,883 views |
| 2025-12-05 | "Revenue doesn't scale past depreciation" is wrong, you're not stating unit pricing (which degrades) vs. operating leverage (which scales) correctly.
In the "front loading" phase, you have the assets (depreciation is active) but not the full rev yet. As you turn on clsuters for the $MSFT/ $META … → · 6 likes · 1,448 views |
| 2025-11-25 | Amazing question, so I have a really long nuanced thesis regarding Google TPUs.
SUMMARY: The thing to be worried about is if TPUs and AMD outperform $NVDA long term, so people **PREFER** other GPUs and buy them instead. Not because they ran out of $NVDA GPUs to buy and are forced to go get altern… → · 5 likes · 797 views |
| 2025-11-25 | It’s hard for anyone in the AI space not to be bullish.
Capex is ramping up. Exponentially.
And flowing directly down to:
Neoclouds: $CIFR, $NBIS, $WULF, $IREN,
Connectivity: $ALAB, $CRDO, $CLS.
Energy: $VST, $FLNC, $TE, $EOSe
Semi/foundries: $NVDA, $AMD, $GOOGL, $TSM
Memory: $SNDK, $MU, … → · 278 likes · 119,311 views |
| 2025-11-24 | I'm not going to be a blind shill like some specific $BMNR or $IREN investors that can say a green light on the street means bullish for the company.
So I would lean coincidental. Since it looks like $AMZN, $GOOGL tends to favor colo models (since they can plug in their own TPUs, Trainium chips in … → · 7 likes · 1,389 views |
| 2025-11-24 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] is the most undervalued growth company right now.
And it has the potential to become the next $GOOGL at a $21B market cap. There's one simple reason:
It's portfolio companies are mindblowing.
The most incredible example on this concept is the company $FTX. Here's the story:
Whe… → · 489 likes · 228,217 views |
| 2025-11-23 | Overall I'm up a lot. I was just referring to this past month where many of my gains like $NBIS were wiped out.
I'm below cost average right now on $NBIS in the $90s, which was surprising.
$META was $640 cost average on recent calls but I'm down 6 figures on that position since I did option calls… → · 5 likes · 622 views |
| 2025-11-23 | So that is a million dollar question and speaks how to incredibly complex macro is given how interconnected markets are globally.
Normally triple rate cut is extraordinarily bullish and normally leads to double digit $SPY $QQQ index gains the following year. However... this comes at a time where B… → · 7 likes · 1,769 views |
| 2025-11-23 | @itsdsha Let's just say it hasn't been a fun month for my high conviction port of $ALAB, $HOOD, $IBIT, $META, $NBIS, $RKLB, and $TSM for sure.
Should be fine in a month come Dec rate cut. Most short term margin/option traders got liquidated, and events like these lead to higher highs https://t.co/… → · 10 likes · 1,626 views |
| 2025-11-23 | Markets just suffered their worst deleveraging shock in recent history.
High-beta assets are collapsing:
• $NBIS, $IREN, AI stocks are down ~40%+ from peaks
• $MSTR, $BTC plunged 30-40%+ in the past month
• Crypto erased over $1.2 trillion in value
This wasn’t normal, it was a forced unwind acr… → · 251 likes · 106,508 views |
| 2025-11-22 | Sure, I put $NBIS as S tier from that capacity funding angle because it's isolated from credit tightening affecting other DC stocks like $APLD (that had to sell junk bonds).
From Q3 earnings, $CRWV is facing $1.21-$1.25B in interest expenses and only has $1.94 billion in cash equivalents.
Other… → · 21 likes · 3,475 views |
| 2025-11-22 | If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF.
With $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest.
While $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cut… → · 3 likes · 2,577 views |
| 2025-11-20 | lot of option expiration tomorrow (if you look at $NBIS to $META, etc). and open interest chains will get flushed.
I want to say starting Monday into Jan-Feb, or maybe recovery in early December but since it's algorithmic driven with nothing too material to fundamentals, not sure what the great al… → · 10 likes · 930 views |
| 2025-11-19 | $19.4B $MSFT 5 years $3.88B/year / 4 = $970m.
$3B $META 5 years, $600M/year /4 = $150m
That's just two hyperscaler contracts. Their core business are enterprises like Shopify, Cursor, Accenture + Governments and so on. (eg. $1.1B ARR this year, growing very rapidly).
$1.12B/quarter from just M… → · 3 likes · 612 views |
| 2025-11-19 | Because individual stock fundamentals matter more than macro.
$ETH, $SOL crypto markets are a whole different beast with cascading 50x leverage margin liquidations, but with stocks you have FCF/earnings backing up the market cap.
With $NBIS for example, when you go from projected $2B ARR to $8B AR… → · 5 likes · 1,503 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Thanks for following me on $RDDT! Very humbled by my regarded roots behind the Wendys dumpsters.
Lot of the sells like $CRCL, $BMNR, $RGTI finally played out. Tons of buys like $NBIS, $SNAP, $META, $RDDT, $ALAB, $IBIT, $WULF, $CIFR, $RKLB, $WLAC, or $TSM right now from the market drop.
I need… → · 16 likes · 1,726 views |
| 2025-11-18 | @hereforgoodish2 There's too many good buys right now. Can't go wrong with $META, $NBIS, $SNAP, $RDDT, $ALAB, $IBIT, $WULF, $CIFR, $RKLB, $WLAC, or $TSM.
I'm sure there's more I missed out but the selloff was broad so it's a good chance to buy into stocks with growing fundamentals. → · 8 likes · 1,067 views |
| 2025-11-17 | Nobody said here $NBIS would do $8B realized revenue in 2026. Not quite sure what you're trying to say or argue.
I've been consistent on $8B midpoint ARR after earnings with likely ~$3.6B-4.2B realized revenue and ~$2.1B quarterly revenue Q4.
$NBIS is ramping up from $146M quarterly revenue -> $… → · 23 likes · 4,017 views |
| 2025-11-17 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] at $86.69 is the purest Neocloud and AI-infra asymmetry left.
This is the highest revenue Neocloud untouched by $CIFR | $WULF and colo providers that has no:
- Plaguing uncertainty that $IREN, $ORCL face from full-stack execution.
- High interest debt that $CRWV, $APLD, and ot… → · 407 likes · 1,760,741 views |
| 2025-11-16 | I think your comment just pointed out at how crazy $NBIS growth is going from $146m revenue this quarter to $2.1B+ next year a quarter.
So we look at future growth (next year), rather than current numbers based on $MSFT contract (~$19B, 5 years), $META ($3B, 5 years), and their regular clients (cur… → · 18 likes · 3,518 views |
| 2025-11-16 | I want whatever the market is smoking with $NBIS.
Goes into earnings:
1. Most bullish analyst projects $4B ARR
2. Beat that number by 100% with $8B projected
3. Beat contracted capacity guidance by 150%+ to 2.5 GW
4. Announce surprise $3B contract with $META
5. Drops 26% → · 685 likes · 168,488 views |
| 2025-11-15 | Nebius ( $NBIS ) crashed -33.61% last month, falling to a $21B market cap.
Despite this, new 13F filing data shows $NBIS institutional ownership increase:
· 38.36% → 44.6% 🟢 (+6.24%)
with Fintel placing it closer to ~46.3%.
Nebius is a $21B MC full-stack Neocloud with:
· $7-9B forward ARR (70… → · 313 likes · 57,206 views |
| 2025-10-22 | I respectfully disagree, "fair value" should be higher. There's been new $NBIS data centers for ARR boost, 3x rate cuts which is a huge catalyst.
Just now, Anthropic might sign a $20B+ dollar deal with $GOOGL, which is bullish for Clickhouse, $WULF, $IREN, and Neoclouds. $META x $CRWV deals.
Goog… → · 32 likes · 4,889 views |
| 2025-10-20 | More hyperscaler contracts coming in. But you're spot on with earnings + rate cuts (+ Nov/Dec seasonality) as the biggest near-term catalysts.
Usually companies get rerated after earnings when they release more insight into forward projections.
When $META signed with $CRWV that's extremely bullis… → · 5 likes · 986 views |
| 2025-07-28 | The reason why $ALAB is taking off is because Astera is the only small cap company in existence with systemic exposure to 5 of the Mag7.
1. ALAB's customer base is literally Mag 7: $GOOGL, $MSFT, $NVDA, $META, and $AMZN.
2. They're growing at astounding rates ~150%+ y/y, with 76% margins (with… → · 6 likes · 8,382 views |
| 2025-07-28 | For WSB charts I posted:
On $GOOGL, realized profit was $101,428+, and lots of unrealized profit since I expect GOOGL to hit $220+ EOY if tech rally continues ( $META $APPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $SPOT)
Earnings were a complete blowout and they still have 70B+ in buybacks https://t.co/G6jrKAyumE → · 9 likes · 5,262 views |