| Date | Tweet |
|---|
| 2026-09-30T04:21:25 | Bro, $AMZN semi ETF portfolio is probably going to end up more compelling than what $NVDA owns...
Today Amazon signed a $49.8M private placement into PCB maker Gold Circuit Electronics (2368). So now Amazon has ownership/warrants in:
- $AAOI
- Alchip
- $MRVL (Celestial)
- $ALAB
- $CRDO
- $JBL
… → · 1546 likes · 350,015 views |
| 2026-09-28T22:22:49 | Everyone is asking "Where is Serenity" or "Who is Serenity". But nobody is asking...
"How is Serenity"?
I do read things from $AMD $8.2B acquisition of World Labs... but feeling pretty sick right now, so taking a little break.
I remember saying physical AI + world models would major shift way … → · 1632 likes · 394,943 views |
| 2026-09-24T16:17:50 | I mean $LITE / $COHR did have $NVDA funding $2B for their buildout.
But Lumentum seems primarily self-funded from operating cash flow. So I'd expect $AAOI to follow suit once they start ramp up around H1 2027.
2026 is just that high capex buildout period. My criticism was over visibility and fin… → · 101 likes · 29,561 views |
| 2026-09-24T15:58:03 | $AAOI has finished a $500m ATM In April.. $600m ATM in June. Then filed another $600m in August.
It's out of my control if management wants to abuse this trash repeated ATM structure. Instead following $AXTI like LTA prepayments and using that to fund buildout.
Or taking private placements like $… → · 1624 likes · 757,594 views |
| 2026-09-23T14:14:32 | So update from $LITE + Win Semi ( $SIVE ) foundry:
Lumentum in a meeting with Stifel at ECOC 2026 stated:
- $NVDA Spectrum-6 CPO UHP demands increased materially.
- NPO as larger than CPO, with multi-wavelength external lasers lifting ASPs (Sivers offers multi wave length DFB arrays, read throu… → · 888 likes · 282,518 views |
| 2026-09-23T01:23:48 | Memory LTAs span until 2031. $AVGO expects 100% supply constrained growth Y/Y for next 2 years.
$NVDA expects 70% supply constrained growth next year (implying year after that demand keeps up).
$SIVE CEO said there's a massive demand supply imbalance for lasers for at least the next 3-5 years.
I … → · 186 likes · 25,872 views |
| 2026-09-19T20:06:50 | Just floating out an idea to $AVGO:
If you lock up $SIVE laser supply for next few years since you need “more laser capacity”.
You could unintentionally cause bottlenecks across your main ASIC competitors:
Like $MRVL (Celestial), AlChip, Mediatek, GUC (Ayar CPO), first gen deployments.
Where m… → · 1235 likes · 370,927 views |
| 2026-09-18T13:20:27 | So on optical vs. photonics... Memory like $MU / $SKHY is in it's current supercycle.
-> RBC channel checks for example projects 80-100% HBM ASP hikes for 2027.
-> Per $NVDA ER, Hyperscaler capex goes up in 2027. Then you have 68% of hyperscaler capex per Trendforce going to DRAM/NAND.
-> 50-7… → · 1153 likes · 533,768 views |
| 2026-09-17T23:56:29 | TLDRs of things I found interesting this week:
- $INTC CEO says some memory prices have risen 5-7× and warns the shortage will worsen in 2027.
$SNDK / $MU / Samsung bros will be happy to hear this... (from the AI Infra Summit 2026 in Santa Clara)
- $GFS + $MRVL sign extended SiGe capacity agree… → · 1430 likes · 378,470 views |
| 2026-09-16T18:27:28 | Reminiscent of $NVDA w/ $LITE + $COHR:
Foxconn is now considering joint investments to avoid upstream material shortages.
Foxconn Interconnect Chairman identifies CW lasers and fiber as the biggest bottleneck in photonics.
Very interesting to see these two themes reiterated across industry commen… → · 748 likes · 452,206 views |
| 2026-09-15T23:11:14 | Just as a pep-talk statistic ahead of Fed decisions tomorrow.
50% of $NVDA employees are reportedly now worth over $25 Million.
They didn’t get to that number paperhanding shares ahead of every macro scare or rate hike. https://t.co/saulhxBF3g → · 1449 likes · 318,242 views |
| 2026-09-14T11:20:27 | $IREN CEO on Anthropic call for frontier slowdown:
“Even if models never improved from here…
just rolling out what they can already do would take more compute than the world can build for years”
I agree, and current narrative is reminiscent of the $NVDA DeepSeek selloff or the $GOOGL TurboQuant s… → · 1881 likes · 502,765 views |
| 2026-09-13T20:11:16 | I assign essentially 0% probability that Anthropic or OpenAI will slow down frontier development in any meaningful way.
And that majority of the "regulation" they try making is regulatory capture to slow down competition.
1. Anthropic/OpenAI will not willingly hand over their lead to Gemini, xAI… → · 3868 likes · 759,544 views |
| 2026-09-13T13:23:10 | Tech people in real life: I have shares in “ $TSLA, $GOOGL, $SPCX. “
People on my X feed/comments:
- Leveraged Micron, Sk Hynix calls all the way from $1M to $28M down to $4M
- calls on short dated tanker freight futures because $AXTI 3000% 1Y returns wasn’t enough.
- Long $PLTR short $LULU beca… → · 1688 likes · 552,973 views |
| 2026-09-13T08:11:41 | It’s the weekend but surprised I missed this from $ORCL earnings.
Implications for $NBIS to $IREN are pretty positive since:
Oracle said all GPU capacity for renewal were resold +20% premium above previous contracts.
Majority of the equipment was 4Y+ and older…
So another L for the Burry’s rapid… → · 1628 likes · 368,486 views |
| 2026-09-11T07:03:16 | Yep, I'm personally high conviction on the AI trade (especially photonics/memory) despite macro.
- $NVDA gave forecasts for $1.3T hyperscaler capex ($100B+ above BofA analyst expectations)
- $SPCX Wells Fargo forecasts are ~$263B for 2027.
- $127B spend in 2027 for Anthropic/OpenAI model training… → · 1335 likes · 445,289 views |
| 2026-09-08T16:45:04 | Goldman Sachs in their recent note upgraded their global optical module market forecast to:
- $67.7 billion (+33% revision) for 2026
- $131.4 billion (+81% revision) for 2027
- $148.5 billion (+115% revision) for 2028
For $NVDA Rubin Ultra, GS increased its modeled optical modules per GPU:
1.6T… → · 981 likes · 618,246 views |
| 2026-09-08T13:49:10 | $AMZN signs a new deal with $QCOM, giving Amazon the right to buy a ~$4B stake of Qualcomm through warrants.
At this rate.. Amazon will be more of a semi ETF than $NVDA?
Given their existing equity/warrants with AlChip, $MRVL, $ALAB, $AAOI, and others.
This of course is linked with up to $60B in … → · 805 likes · 207,734 views |
| 2026-09-06T21:25:59 | @JensenHuang @ChaseLochmiller @OpenAI Wow, OpenAi’s Astra achieving AGI carries a lot more weight coming from the CEO of $NVDA. → · 926 likes · 109,990 views |
| 2026-09-04T14:31:24 | Let me get this straight chat… you have:
$NVDA 70% supply constrained revenue growth projections (would be 100%+)
$AVGO AI revenue growing 100%+ Y/Y for next 2 years from mid ~$50B -> $230B
OpenAI Astra blowing away AGI benchmarks and starting to train itself.
$MSFT / $GOOGL / $AMZN stating comp… → · 2155 likes · 460,407 views |
| 2026-09-04T10:35:17 | So... here's my take on US / China tensions:
You have European monopolies like:
- $ASML (EUV)
- $SOI (Photonics-SOI)
- Zeiss SMT (ASML EUV supplier), Trumpf (ASML EUV laser supplier)
Japan has many near/complete monoplies like:
- TOK, JSR, ShinEstu, Fujifilm for EUV photoresist - 90-100% share
- … → · 782 likes · 358,280 views |
| 2026-09-03T12:53:14 | @Shiboo9019 it's partly a defensive acquisition. $NVDA talks started after $CRM and other companies were reportedly approaching Hugging Face for an acquisition. → · 50 likes · 15,737 views |
| 2026-09-03T12:40:26 | @nosallynoparty it's because $MSFT likes cats and $NVDA likes smiley faces.
nobody wants a whale as a mascot → · 64 likes · 14,290 views |
| 2026-09-03T12:34:55 | $NVDA acquires hugging face for $12,930,300,000.
Jensen stated the reason being:
- 18M+ devs use Hugging Face
- 3M+ models, 500k+ datasets, 1M+ apps
- 200k+ companies use the platformm
- support of open weight models
this almost reminds me of $MSFT buying Github? https://t.co/8FhE7b9mU0 → · 861 likes · 197,620 views |
| 2026-09-02T22:47:30 | @wannabepanacea If you're not capacity constrained and growing 70-100% a year like $NVDA or $AVGO, apparently you'll get sold off on earnings.
Will take a look at $CRDO earnings in a bit, there's quite a lot of companies to track. https://t.co/b7KBFFSqvB → · 115 likes · 29,020 views |
| 2026-09-02T21:25:19 | There we go, $AVGO earnings call to clarify miss. Broadcom expects:
FY27E: ~$115B (+100% growth)
FY28E: ~$230B (+100%), think analysts were modeling ~$180B.
Demand actually exceeds this outlook, and Broadcom will work to improve supply. This is way above street estimates, similar to $NVDA earning… → · 1215 likes · 623,117 views |
| 2026-09-02T14:16:19 | $NVDA told JP Morgan... That their revenue could increase more than 100%+ Y/Y unconstrained.
But ended up giving a ~70% growth projection because that's what Nvidia believes they can supply.
FY27 est: ~$401B revenue...
FY28: ~$682B at 70% or >$802B unconstrained.
- Nvidia IR said it gave the upd… → · 885 likes · 286,522 views |
| 2026-09-02T04:56:28 | Very interesting to notice Taiwan wildly outperform the rest of the World like US/EU.
Foci ($NVDA / $TSM FAU supplier) went from 400 -> 900 -> 400 -> 800, and recovered insanely fast from July.
Not sure if earnings like Etron or others are just absurd to not care about macro? https://t.co… → · 655 likes · 226,007 views |
| 2026-09-01T08:30:14 | Just some TLDR news I found interesting:
1. $GOOGL (missed this) also invested in Mediatek alongside $NVDA for their $3.9B raise.
Google/Nvidia are goats with investments you look at $SPCX to Anthropic.
2. Samsung Electro-Mechanics discloses $778.9M MLCC deal / $CAPA (new MLCC ETF) also gives e… → · 808 likes · 309,997 views |
| 2026-09-01T00:53:02 | @lijiu163076 $NVDA is growing at a capacity constrained 70% next year, which is ridiculously good.
My opinion is that it's hard to go wrong with Nvidia, because it's almost like a semiconductor ETF? They own decent parts of $INTC, $MRVL, $LITE, $COHR, $NBIS, and Mediatek now. → · 105 likes · 22,186 views |
| 2026-09-01T00:37:28 | Anthropic signs a $35B AI compute deal with $NVDA backed Lambda.
$HUT / DC, with Lambda / GPUs.
Frontier model demand is rapidly outpacing the ecosystem's ability to build capacity.
It also looks like Anthropic is securing more compute... Which neocloud/colo player is next? https://t.co/49yvFKjr… → · 696 likes · 248,733 views |
| 2026-08-31T18:28:51 | Macro has clearly cut high beta AI valuations over the past few months. But I try to stay focused on fundamentals.
If you're curious about my take though:
We're seeing record visibility with
- memory (2031), photonics (2029-2030), etc LTAs
- $NBIS, solana:5aQcoaSyy7fnhvpRHasBUAMH2nL5tTjVrmFw6BeGm… → · 745 likes · 287,260 views |
| 2026-08-31T13:26:03 | Yep, with $NVDA investing $3.5B into Mediatek.
It does feel like Nvidia is playing kingmaker with the next generation of ASIC winners like $MRVL / Mediatek, with a second order effect of eroding $AVGO position.
Playbook feels similar to what they did with Neoclouds like $NBIS and $CRWV (vs. hypers… → · 647 likes · 325,637 views |
| 2026-08-31T12:43:13 | Today, $NVDA has announced a $3.5B investment into Mediatek.
It appears Nvidia is "networking" itself into the broader ASIC ecosystem, from $MRVL to MediaTek.
And have future ecosystems aligned with Nvidia standards. (maybe to fend off $AVGO as well) https://t.co/okdGKS51U3 → · 652 likes · 234,748 views |
| 2026-08-31T10:02:55 | “Memory is a bubble.”Explain this then, KOSPI bears:
Samsung has reportedly reserved ~70% of its memory production capacity through 2031 via LTAs with $NVDA, $MSFT, and $GOOGL as main counterparties.
Five years of demand visibility… https://t.co/GUGWTkXkMc → · 1679 likes · 328,292 views |
| 2026-08-30T11:16:16 | @Omardrisss There’s bubbles within the broader AI supercycle (eg. frontier lab valuations, some Neoclouds).
And some pop here and there.
But the overall theme with $NVDA and $TSM in the center of it all looks structural and would keep ramping up. → · 114 likes · 19,848 views |
| 2026-08-30T11:07:29 | FYI to the AI bears: $NVDA projects $1.3T of hyperscaler spend for 2027.
Up from ~$800B in 2026, alongside ~70% revenue growth despite remaining capacity constrained… far above prior Street expectations of ~45%.
That capex flows across the AI supply chain… from memory and networking to foundries. … → · 1449 likes · 466,177 views |
| 2026-08-30T09:04:08 | Just my final recap on thoughts + fundamentals of $SIVE from ER:
Pluggables (1.6T Ramp) for 2027:
- $JBL (1.6T LRO, confirmed) Orders H1 2027, Ramp H2 2027
-> -> Likely multiple hyperscaler customers
- 3 pluggable makers (evaluation)
- 3 pluggable makers (supply assessment)
Reference Design for… → · 1019 likes · 312,857 views |
| 2026-08-29T21:20:22 | Okay just to simplify this:
There is a guy who eats a lot called $NVDA. Nvidia only wants to buy high-priced potatos off the farmers.
A potato farmer $MU, that was selling carrots... now shifted farmland to potatos.
Nvidia caused a great potato famine cause they can eat a lot. So everyone else w… → · 1317 likes · 457,995 views |
| 2026-08-29T15:22:49 | $AMKR has existing traditional packaging capacity underutilized (like in Philippines), so if that 20%+ deficit is true
Probably fills that up at higher prices so that's brrr to nearer term revenue.
I still think the main ramp is early 2028 with Arizona once their $TSM + $NVDA stuff takes off. → · 41 likes · 14,374 views |
| 2026-08-28T08:20:47 | 所以… 回到存储这边我们现在有：
$SKHY CEO 表示: “我们预计[存储]短缺将持续到 2030 年底”
$SNDK 表示: “我们看到直到 2030 年，NAND 都存在结构性的巨大需求”非 GAAP 毛利率将维持在约 80%.
$NVDA 表示 供应承诺从 1,190 亿美元增加到 2,790 亿美元，主要由存储采购推动…与此同时, 存储定价处于“极端”水平 而且还在继续上涨.
Winbond 正在与多家客户就延伸至 2029-2030 年的配额展开讨论.
我之前就说过, 存储需求看起来是结构性的, 而现在从传统 DRAM 到 HBM，需求可见度已经延伸到了未来数年..
… → · 1431 likes · 478,021 views |
| 2026-08-27T21:24:26 | Nah, $SIVE is the most unusual $1B photonics company I've ever seen.
Just for AI DCs alone:
- Reference laser for $GFS SCALE (CPO/NPO/pluggable)
- 7 pluggable engagements disclosed, with $JBL as primary ramp (with H1 2027 timeline)
- ELS path with O-Net
- ELS path with $POET
- Lasers to Ayar for… → · 1184 likes · 454,743 views |
| 2026-08-27T05:46:04 | I've always been bullish on memory with $MU / Samsung / solana:SKHYhSjuRWHgikq8eRKbtBbpABgJSkd7ytQV14i9EQ3 for the 2026-2027 period.
Same opinion, even after $NVDA call.
And I've been fervently defending how high end memory demand is structural + OP for operating income (especially during Iran … → · 1270 likes · 576,420 views |
| 2026-08-26T21:17:10 | $NVDA: "We expect to grow revenue by approximately 70% in fiscal 2028. This is a supply constrained outlook"
That statement alone is probably more important than the entire earnings beat just now?
Insane upward revision beat from +43.9% expected to 70%.
"With cloud industry backlog now greater … → · 1910 likes · 476,421 views |
| 2026-08-26T20:58:46 | $NVDA earnings TLDR:
Revenue: $96.22B vs. ~$92.17B (beat)
Adj. EPS: $2.22 vs. $2.09-$2.10 (beat)
DC: $89.0B vs. ~$86.3B (beat)
Adj. gross margin: 75% vs. 75%
Hyperscaler Revenue: $48.71B from $43.05B last quarter (custom ASIC growth hasn't really prevented this revenue from accelerating)
For guid… → · 1325 likes · 718,321 views |
| 2026-08-26T20:28:43 | I know everyone’s watching $NVDA earnings right now…
But did you know Landmark signed a 4 year CW agreement with US customer to ensure “sufficient supply”?
So now you have:
- $LITE (capacity gone)
- $COHR (capacity gone)
- Landmark (capacity committed)
- $AAOI (capacity for transceivers)
- $MTSI … → · 1176 likes · 307,956 views |
| 2026-08-24T18:27:08 | I know everyone's focused on Nancy Pelosi copytraders sending $BE up 11.83%. Or Trump...
But you know what else is cool?
FAU bottlenecks for CPO.
I remember saying earlier this year FAU/Foci might be a future bottleneck around $TSM / $NVDA CPO roadmaps...
This was some media commentary suppo… → · 1064 likes · 402,689 views |
| 2026-08-24T15:23:59 | $NVDA, following their $20B deal... Announces Groq3 LPX now in full production.
With $NBIS the first to adopt through Nebius token factory.
- 3,400 tok/s in Artificial Analysis benchmarking running Gemma 4 31B, with 100k token context
- 4x faster responsiveness than the nearest alternative
Thing … → · 1078 likes · 266,322 views |
| 2026-08-24T11:35:16 | $XPEV carves out its robotics unit and raises >$900M at $6.3B+ valuations.
This is following’s Unitree IPO, which now has a ~$35-$36B MC.
Then there’s $NVDA / $AMZN backed Agility… at a $2.5B premoney valuation. Which I’d argue is actually further ahead in commercialization than Xpeng.
Regardles… → · 720 likes · 244,921 views |
| 2026-08-19T02:51:57 | Unitree (688836) is now public.
And is valued at ~$53.3B, after rising +492.18%
We finally have a major public company benchmark for humanoids.
For reference, Agility (backed by $NVDA, $AMZN) via $CCXI is expected to go public at $2.5B premoney valuation Q4.
$TSLA is $1T+, but Optimus is wrappe… → · 1818 likes · 587,444 views |
| 2026-08-18T17:27:07 | My $AAOI TLDR notes at Rosenblatt summit:
- Expected to get paid premiums for US production of 800g/1.6T (very positive for ASP/margins).
- Several LTAs on the table, but doesn't want to sign to get capacity blocked by other customers (cough cough $NVDA).
- Sold out at least through second half … → · 1547 likes · 397,205 views |
| 2026-08-16T11:15:15 | I feel like AI investing is simpler than what people expect.
Because $NVDA + Jensen literally tells everyone what's coming.
But somehow. Almost every. single. time. Markets dismiss it until it actually happens?
Be Nvidia in 2025: Buys up EML and laser capacity.
Markets dismissing it: "Photo… → · 6583 likes · 994,200 views |
| 2026-08-16T04:50:40 | Just some TLDRs of stuff I found interesting:
- $SNDK 80% adjusted gross margins projections through 2030, ~75% operating margins and ~50% adjusted FCF margins from investor day.
LTAs already 2/3rd of 2028 output. Minimum contracted revenue reaches $93B (MC is currently ~$239B)... Hard to be a c… → · 1622 likes · 394,120 views |
| 2026-08-11T02:19:36 | uhhh... the Unitree IPO is more than 8000 times oversubscribed by retail investors.
The demand for pure play humanoid companies is absolutely enormous?
I'm personally in the US-based Agility Robotics club (Softbank, $NVDA, $AMZN, Foxconn, etc), at $2.5B premoney via $CCXI.
And my take is that U… → · 1264 likes · 321,077 views |
| 2026-08-10T02:03:29 | Just some near term events:
- OCP APAC tomorrow (Ayar, Lightmatter, $AMD, $NVDA) and your CPO players are giving announcements/updates.
This should be a catalyst for certain optical players.
- Earnings week: with $ASTS, $RKLB reporting today (space), $LITE on Tuesday (photonics), $NBIS in the mid… → · 1127 likes · 347,970 views |
| 2026-08-07T05:46:59 | Wow, there's gem after gem in $AAOI earnings for $SIVE + other laser player readthrough.
1. AAOI not meaningfully participating in CPO first-gen deployments.
"We just can’t make enough of them [CPO lasers] to be involved in their current first-generation [CPO] deployments because there’s just not … → · 1642 likes · 726,772 views |
| 2026-07-31T19:16:17 | As a earnings recap: $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, and $MSFT guided a 2026 combined capex forecast to ~$720-$745 Billion.
Up from $695-$725B Billion previously.
Amazon: $220B
Google: $195B-$205B
Meta: $130B-$145B
Microsoft: $175B
We've already seen significant deleveraging and retail/institutional margin… → · 1191 likes · 355,921 views |
| 2026-07-31 | Hmm, I personally added $AMKR in the $40's since I thought it was surprising it dropped that much after ER, even after $NVDA $1.5B deal + $TSM 10Y agreement.
It's more of a 2028 name though, though they have separate ramps in 2027.
- Did some cost averaging on names like Foci on drop to 400 (lea… → · 326 likes · 66,496 views |
| 2026-07-30T06:52:06 | Just some interesting takeaways from $FORM earnings call on CPO:
Since they attributed systems revenue nearly doubled due to: "accelerating growth in co-packaged optics or CPO".
Q1 2026: "we now expect 2026 CPO revenues to come in at the high end of the $10 million to $20 million range"
Q2 2026 … → · 796 likes · 366,141 views |
| 2026-07-29T23:13:55 | Just some takeaways from $META | $MSFT earnings calls:
Microsoft:
- Expected to be FCF positive in 2027, despite the increase in capex (extremely positive for AI buildout that it's funded by operating income)
- "Free cash flow was $19.6 billion, reflecting higher capital expenditures"
- Quartely ca… → · 1750 likes · 650,524 views |
| 2026-07-27T01:12:57 | Nvidia in talks to backstop $250B worth of OpenAI DC financing.
- Softbank’s SB energy develops 10 GW Ohio campus
- OpenAI signs long term lease
- $NVDA guarantees $250B in financing
- OpenAI discussing separate agreement to buy up to $350B in Nvidia chips.
Not quite sure if this circular fina… → · 1194 likes · 500,626 views |
| 2026-07-26T20:12:11 | Just some TLDR news:
- $CXMT IPO tomorrow if you like Chinese memory.
- Samsung Electronics reportedly struggling to secure large FC-BGA substrates. Ibiden (4062) reportedly requested LTA guarantees, Samsung Electro-Mechanics sought prepayments.
- Samsung + $AVGO sign memory + foundry AI framew… → · 1290 likes · 506,638 views |
| 2026-07-24T16:21:59 | Jensen from $NVDA has joined X for the first time to share his letter on open models. → · 1352 likes · 655,081 views |
| 2026-07-22T15:10:40 | $AMD to invest $5B in Anthropic.
Anthropic in turn will sign a 2 GW deal to buy AMD’s latest chips, worth tens of billions of dollars.
Looks like they’re copying the $NVDA playbook with Anthropic last year. https://t.co/SXBUq65u6P → · 1257 likes · 315,597 views |
| 2026-07-21T09:14:20 | It's slightly more nuanced. Basically, $AMD SF event is tomorrow, Wed/Thurs (July 22, 23).
From Jefferies client note, AMD is expected to provide additional disclosures around their likely scale-up CPO roadmap + MI500.
If they confirm CPO route, would positive thematically since it's not just $NV… → · 989 likes · 560,369 views |
| 2026-07-20T21:38:14 | If you’re curious why $NBIS is up after hours.
$NVDA disclosed it owns 9.3% beneficial ownership of Nebius via SEC filings.
Not exactly too new since it dates back to Nvidia’s existing share position of 1.19M shares + $2B prefunded warrant of ~21M shares.
But great for sentiment having Nvidia be … → · 2029 likes · 421,501 views |
| 2026-07-17T14:52:40 | Agreed! It’s nice to remember your thesis during a market crash.
From my own personal thesis, if $AAOI hits $1.4B quarterly revenue start of Q3 2027. Which is annualized $5.6B off a $8B MC.
Is it “over” for the company if that revenue ramp hasn’t even shown up in the quarterly earnings… when it’s… → · 1653 likes · 1,746,716 views |
| 2026-07-15T14:54:52 | $NVDA CEO, Jensen Huang in Tokyo today said:
"The reports are not true. Vera Rubin is already in production. Giant amounts of production incoming"
As a flat denial to the accusation that their AI servers would be delayed.
Jensen appears to be using the Umbrella term for Rubin Ultra/Kyber, then p… → · 1415 likes · 403,595 views |
| 2026-07-15T02:22:13+00:00 | It's nuanced, $AEHR implications was more toward broader silicon photonics related ramp.
Which could include 800g/1.6T pluggables, or CPO.
If they directly named CPO, Msscorps would be a very clean readthrough. It just got hit really hard recently from that delay claim (even after $NVDA refuted … → · 83 likes · 20,455 views |
| 2026-07-14T01:51:24 | So Jensen himself went out to do damage control with $NVDA delays reports apparently:
1. Jensen Huang said no delays:
- 800V and rack-to-rack optical interconnects is progressing fully in line with the original plan with no material delay.
- Debunked the rumor that the next-generation flagship,… → · 1595 likes · 725,169 views |
| 2026-07-13T00:45:13 | Just a semi recap TLDR:
- $GLW glass bridge per Morgan Stanley has potential, but hard to displace FAU (like FOCI) in short term
- $SPCX Starlink Gen 3 is scaling to 100,000 units (10x prev gen) creating possible capacity constraints for suppliers of switches to CCL.
- PCB supply shortages are pr… → · 2031 likes · 676,996 views |
| 2026-07-12T11:25:10 | Apparently there’s a new popular trend to bearpost trillion dollar companies.
Like $NVDA or $TSM.
By finding isolating technical details, then blowing it out of proportions by claiming their whole program is delayed.
-> if the company doesn’t respond, stock prices/sentiment are damaged.
-> if t… → · 1906 likes · 1,057,936 views |
| 2026-07-11T19:47:54 | Apparently, Korean Beauty was where all the alpha is.
APR (278470.KS) is up 529% over the past 2Y, wildly outperforming both $NVDA and $INTC.
Every female I know talks about their "Medicube" stick, then buying products... where you put a whole salmon's family tree on your face for better skin.
T… → · 1955 likes · 584,539 views |
| 2026-07-07T19:49:55 | Hesai Technology, a Chinese lidar maker faces US national scrutiny over its expanded partnership with $NVDA and lidar sensors.
For $OUST, $AEVA, and Western lidar bros, this is generally positive if competitors get regulated out.
Since there were warnings that:
Sensors could be disabled or expl… → · 1024 likes · 429,950 views |
| 2026-07-07T08:54:13 | Be Samsung at $1.24T:
> market: we don’t think you can keep hiking memory prices
> proceeds to hikes dram by 20%
> releases earnings
> most profitable company in the world beating $NVDA and $AAPL
> operating profits growing 1803% Y/Y
market: sells off Samsung -7% → · 3578 likes · 591,392 views |
| 2026-07-07T08:10:39 | One of the dumbest thematic selloffs I’ve seen to to date off:
- $META compute news that’s not new
- CPO delay report 1, that got refuted by $NVDA
- CPO delay report 2, that got refuted by $NVDA
High confidence, institutions will end up going long on the same names they’re bearposting after retail… → · 2391 likes · 656,513 views |
| 2026-07-07 | I personally think so. It feels like markets started selling off after that misleading Bloomberg $META compute article, and a couple of SemiAnalysis bear posts on $NVDA supply chains.
Since algos + headline interpretation of “Meta excess compute” was cutting capex + dropping out of AI race.
Combin… → · 290 likes · 44,320 views |
| 2026-07-06T19:31:28 | It’s interesting to witness psychology around valuation anchoring + scarcity.
Retail, for example, are buying Figure, last valued at ~$39B through CEFs…
At $158B, since it’s private, round 4x valuations.
Then Agility Robotics $CCXI, which has broader commercialization.
Is at ~$4.3B pre-money a… → · 966 likes · 394,897 views |
| 2026-07-06T16:34:45 | $NVDA refuting recent Kyber delay claims:
“Our roadmap is intact”.
lol, damage has already been done with stocks in many markets (esp. in Taiwan/Japan/Soutj Korea) crashing after the “report” https://t.co/ijHggRm1fu → · 1413 likes · 501,386 views |
| 2026-07-06T09:29:29 | Kelper upgrades $XFAB to "Buy" citing:
- Melexis demand strengthening “week-after-week, day-after-day” (their lead customer).
- AI giving XFAB a structural growth leg with SiC, GaN, and photonics offsetting auto cyclicality.
- Scarce Western speciality foundries like $SILEX commanding higher mult… → · 671 likes · 270,673 views |
| 2026-07-06T08:25:00 | I personally think $SIVE can be the next $LITE.
In the past few months alone, we've seen:
1. Partnerships with O-Net pushing ELS into mass production
2. $JBL 1.6T LRO mass production signals with "relatively dramatic moats" for pluggables using Sivers.
3. $GFS SCALE reference level laser for hype… → · 1932 likes · 839,521 views |
| 2026-07-06 | Let’s just say I don’t think markets view them as objective anymore.
There’s been tendencies to post overreaching claims over a nuanced technical details. Like how $MU had no HBM4 share with $NVDA few months back.
I’m personally just listening to $NVDA direct statements and roadmap. → · 171 likes · 28,817 views |
| 2026-07-03T06:53:07 | Be SemiAnalysis:
- Post a scathing piece on CPO delays + optical company valuations, causing a crash.
Which $NVDA, analyst desks, and major optical companies refuted
- Launch an institutional photonics ETF after optical names dropped 40-60%. → · 2990 likes · 1,476,171 views |
| 2026-07-03 | @softmaxedx I blame Semianalysis for crashing the entire photonics market for misleading CPO delay reporting that $NVDA refuted.
Alongside global journal $META recent misleading reporting…
But I think they realized everything was crashing along with it, so they needed a macro bull post. → · 201 likes · 34,760 views |
| 2026-07-02T17:57:47 | Agility Robotics is literally the #1 humanoid player in the US in terms of commercialization today imo.
Personal Rankings:
1. Agility Robotics via $CCXI
2. $TSLA Optimus ($1T+ company)
3. Figure at $39B from 2025, likely higher now.
With Tesla likely taking the lead a year from now. So at $16,… → · 1364 likes · 1,054,776 views |
| 2026-07-02T16:56:31 | Photonics is backed by actual revenue numbers and it's an architectural shift championed by $NVDA.
Quantum barely has any revenue.
$LITE is completely sold out for the next 2 years (per $POET AGM) likely starting into 2029. Lumentum is so strained that they buy CW lasers off competitors (earnings … → · 2238 likes · 731,391 views |
| 2026-07-02 | What's this PTSD about SPACs? I only care about the company fundamentals.
$NVDA, Softbank, $AMZN and others don't just back some random crapco. And Foxconn is funding the PIPE.
It's just for faster listing, especially giving US investors alternatives to the extremely anticipated up Unitree IPO c… → · 69 likes · 19,230 views |
| 2026-07-02 | Are you stupid?
1. $JBL mass producing 1.6T LRO is revenue.
2 O-Net mass producing ELS is revenue.
3. $GFS using $SIVE as reference laser for the hyperscalers is revenue.
4. Ayar joining $NVDA NVLink for CPO and using $SIVE for mass production is revenue.
5. Other pluggable players, potentially… → · 268 likes · 27,529 views |
| 2026-07-01T17:09:49 | Just dropping these 3 slides from Agility Robotics ( $CCXI ) presentations.
For the US robotic program doomposters:
1. “75% of parts” - sourced from the USA
2. Just eyeballing the graph, looks like <$30k BOM mass production.
People were just looking at the ~$145K cost.
3. 10,000 RoboFab capaci… → · 1493 likes · 1,176,469 views |
| 2026-07-01T11:07:07 | Just a random thought, leading US humanoid players strangely me of the current LLM dynamics:
Agility ( $CCXI ) kinda feels like Anthropic for robotics.
With $AMZN and $NVDA heavily backing it, ingrained with $GOOGL Deepmind (like TPUs). And it starts off with enterprise commercialization.
Optimus… → · 1353 likes · 415,113 views |
| 2026-06-30T16:34:58 | Yep! Agility Robotics is currently my favorite humanoid/robotics position.
They're set to be listed on NASDAQ via $CCXI as early as September (per Digitimes).
Just for informational purposes: Their V4 humanoid robot is already operating in sites like Amazon. And have V5 slated for mass production … → · 1803 likes · 878,525 views |
| 2026-06-29T09:54:58 | $GM cuts 1,000 workers and replaces them with 50 robots (Jun 22nd report)
Reports also show GM is working on a deal with $NVDA on factory robotics.
This is industry validation for robotics, since it likely demonstrates increased opex margins + efficiency from employee automation.
Especially from… → · 1096 likes · 565,421 views |
| 2026-06-26 | Not really, I personally still think it's undervalued. It's about MC relative to forward revenue potential.
In just that tiny timeframe for $SIVE:
- $JBL announced 1.6T LRO with Sivers
- $GFS reference laser announcement with $SIVE
- $AMD went to $GFS for CPO
- $SIVE announced CW with TFLN
- Aya… → · 387 likes · 72,512 views |
| 2026-06-25T16:15:27 | oh i think u misunderstand... I'm actually more bullish than ever as prices go down.
$SIVE at ~$1.9B MC you have:
- $GFS reference laser
- laser for Ayar and others in $NVDA NVLink ecosystem for CPO scale up
- $POET and others for CPO scale out
- $JBL and others for 1.6T+ pluggable optical trans… → · 2213 likes · 859,023 views |
| 2026-06-23T12:38:16 | Nothing is more stupid than Bloomberg copying BofA playbook with KOSPI back in March.
And framing Taiwan’s $TSM ~23.6x forward p/e and $NVDA upstream supply chain as a “bubble”.
Then using the words going into “debt” instead of “margin” + comparing Taiwan’s market to the .com bubble.
Crap like t… → · 1542 likes · 413,456 views |
| 2026-06-23T03:16:44 | IMO photonics theme + CW laser chokepoint is goated.
It's legit like markets have short term memory loss and forgot how $LITE went from $3B -> $65B+ from 2024 to now.
Because $NVDA caused EML bottlenecks, and forced architectural changes.
We're literally seeing the same thing today with CW lase… → · 1609 likes · 985,547 views |
| 2026-06-22 | @Joey_TheFarmer My thesis hasn't changed with FOCI, they'll be part of the bottleneck with FAU + passive components in $NVDA $TSM ecosystem as that COUPE scales up. → · 73 likes · 29,161 views |
| 2026-06-21 | @eldan_0123 @CreatorNim Don’t think so. $JBL + $SIVE was known from OFC conference in person.
But it took an official PR for markets to know.
If there any release over the more higher confidence mapping to $NVDA cpo ecosystem, I’d expect it to rerate a lot more → · 121 likes · 17,666 views |
| 2026-06-21 | We're in a massive EML bottleneck right now and CW lasers are getting bottlenecked now too.
To my knowledge, $COHR is buying EMLs off $LITE because they can't make enough.
$LITE is majority allocated to EML, so they can't make enough CW lasers.
So they're buying CW lasers off competitors from … → · 102 likes · 24,260 views |
| 2026-06-19T12:19:38 | I think something to highlight also is not all my ideas are green, especially on short term timeframes!
My core three themes are Neoclouds (Energy), Memory, and Photonics.
And I'm glad I chose the literal top performers for each segment from $NBIS to $EWY leaps to $SIVE.
However, I still have p… → · 2374 likes · 853,958 views |
| 2026-06-16T23:57:48+00:00 | Mizuho Research: No delays on CPO or 800v dc.
Revised up optical engine projections from $NVDA demand ramp.
- Next phase in CPO for long term, believes InP DFB lasers remains the focus (hello $SIVE). VSCEL and microLED remain "unproven" in short distance in rack + chip to https://t.co/6tbqAILSF… → · 1331 likes · 653,039 views |
| 2026-06-16T07:54:44 | I did say $MU looked like the next $NVDA. Now we're at a $1.23T MC.
Started talking more about Samsung Electronics/Sk Hynix back in 2025.
Put more concentration into the memory theme like $SNDK and others, Jan of this year.
And I'm glad my prediction with Micron + memory is https://t.co/u23M2Xa… → · 2089 likes · 863,279 views |
| 2026-06-16T02:20:57 | New reports that $AMD is scrambling for CW laser supply.
And is negotiating large-scale purchase orders for CW Lasers to ensure its production capacity is not constrained by $NVDA (Trendforce)
Obvious CW laser beneficiaries:
- $SIVE (AMD went to GFS for CPO, Sivers reference https://t.co/EoVsVCe… → · 2068 likes · 642,891 views |
| 2026-06-16 | Still holding Foci/Nextronics. There was a CPO bear post from an analyst that said there would be delays (which $NVDA denied), which caused CPO related stocks to crash.
Personally think Foci will end up a bottleneck for $TSM COUPE / $NVDA and Nextronics to be a beneficiary of optical components re… → · 105 likes · 20,916 views |
| 2026-06-16 | Other way around, $NVDA bottlenecked the entire industry for EML capacity.
And did the same with CW capacity ONCE AGAIN with $LITE, $COHR, and $MRVL (if they have LTA in place with Celestial)
I said this a few months ago, we'd see this exact same playbook. But $AMD, $AMZN, $META, and others are ju… → · 174 likes · 26,341 views |
| 2026-06-15T12:31:08 | $SIVE is the next SIVE.
Don’t think you’ll find another company.
That’s qualified and likely primary/sole source with:
- $JBL and other pluggable hyperscaler suppliers
- Ayar and the $NVDA NVLink CPO ecosystems
While being the foundational reference laser for $GFS and → · 1832 likes · 668,156 views |
| 2026-06-15T01:24:47+00:00 | $NVDA and $GOOGL lead 800V DC ahead of schedule.
"Ahead of schedule", pulled up to Q3 2026 with small volume shipments starting .
- Delta Electronics (2308), $VRT
- Song Chuan Precision (7788)
- Schneider Electric, Eaton, Siemens.
All flagged as beneficiaries.
"Market https://t.co/UreBSHU53o → · 1351 likes · 933,637 views |
| 2026-05-24 | When I do my supply chain mapping... $SIVE is just so critically important to so many frontier industries.
I'm not sure people are fully aware yet.
$SIVE -> $AAPL, $NOK, $RTX (us defense contractrs), $YSS (golden dome). Not including Ericcson + others.
Then you have $SIVE -> $AEVA -> Boston Dyn… → · 201 likes · 23,320 views |
| 2026-05-24 | Fun fact: Lot of the same companies are often used across different supply chains.
One likely example is: $SIVE as the upstream laser supplier to Boston Dynamics via:
Sivers -> $AEVA FMCW (CW DFB lasers) -> LG Innotek -> Boston Dynamics.
I actually personally liked Aeva for 4D AI first.
Just s… → · 979 likes · 363,149 views |
| 2026-05-24 | @Fletche33881557 Nope, $NVDA said $3-4T annual spend. Not value. https://t.co/sKg5gA2RZO → · 105 likes · 14,315 views |
| 2026-05-24 | AI capex spend is expected to go to "$3 to $4 trillion annually" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections.
You're not bullish enough.
And it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom:
-> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics.
-> $SOI controls the AI… → · 2665 likes · 549,651 views |
| 2026-05-24 | All right chat, crowdsourcing your #1 highest conviction (10x only) stock long for the Power Semi trade.
Especially given $NVDA pushing shift to 800 VDC.
Stuff like $NVTS or $WOLF, but high-beta, 10x potential only. Anywhere around the world.
What's your pick? https://t.co/Y10KR6HLVC → · 2822 likes · 2,902,594 views |
| 2026-05-23 | @_juicebox99_ I don't see FOCI becoming a $50B+ company.
They focus on one thing like optical components + FAU for $TSM / $NVDA, then do it at scale. So that would likely drives structural re-rating related to MC.
Not quite the same as the US model of TAM expanding into $100B+ companies. → · 44 likes · 7,397 views |
| 2026-05-21 | Just in case you want to frontrun the next major catalyst:
$NVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote should be heavily bullish Taiwan optical ecosystem?
Just like when I went long on $TSEM and others in Nvidia’s US event.
Shunsin, Foci, Nextronics, MSScorps, and a lot of my Nvidia photonics ecosy… → · 980 likes · 525,246 views |
| 2026-05-20 | If people don’t realize why I’m so interested in $SIVE M&A.
Sivers likely customers were:
Lightmatter when they were tiny -> became $4B+ company.
Lightelligence when they were tiny -> became $10B+ company.
Ayar when they were tiny -> now funded by $NVDA, $AMD, and others.
Celestial when they we… → · 1001 likes · 206,756 views |
| 2026-05-19 | $IREN back down -34% from $70 to $46.
I wonder if one of the dumbest communities on X finally learned to read?
$NBIS is objectively the better Neocloud, with actual financing.
-> Nvidia didn’t fund $IREN at all. They got a free purchase agreement to let IREN use their logos and dilute for GPUS.
… → · 1740 likes · 784,468 views |
| 2026-04-25 | Uh chat... is my timing insane or what?
Names like $TSEM are flat all year, I go long, then it doubles. The moment I go long on $AEHR, it almost triples.
People are starting to think I'm the catalyst because this keeps happening over and over... lol this is a $22B+ company.
Fun fact on how I get… → · 1448 likes · 407,508 views |
| 2026-04-25 | You had the media/banks/analysts going after $RKLB because everyone thought they couldn't compete against SpaceX.
Then you have the media going against $AMD because they couldn't compete against $INTC (and now $NVDA).
They were genuinely the leaders in the space, as seen with Rocketlab success wit… → · 96 likes · 13,257 views |
| 2026-04-24 | Hi, appreciate the more productive discussion.
But I've never seen anyone aside from Europeans complain about 2.5% $13M dilution to get listed on NASDAQ.
Over in the US... we have random Bitcoin miners with $6B+ dilution (over half the MC) just to attempt a pivot and buy GPUs. So the amount to … → · 90 likes · 6,685 views |
| 2026-04-24 | I'm amused by Swedish culture at this point.
That their retail/journalists are crying every day when someone posts a supply chain mapping of $SIVE lasers to:
-> $MRVL CPO
-> $AMD CPO
-> $JBL 1.6T LRO
-> $NVDA
-> $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT
-> Tencent, Baidu, Alibaba for ELS.
Then they go crying e… → · 1158 likes · 296,894 views |
| 2026-04-23 | Not the best idea to feel FOMO about the new “bottleneck” in every news cycle.
It’s going from:
$NVDA GPUs -> $MU Memory -> $IREN Power -> $LITE EMLs -> $SNDK Memory -> GPUs -> $AAOI transceivers -> Advanced Packaging -> Transformers -> $INTC CPUs… etc
And next would be stuff like $LPK glass sub… → · 2812 likes · 339,954 views |
| 2026-04-23 | All the hyperscalers $SIVE likely ends up in 2027-2028 is staggering at a $900m MC.
Markets don't understand what's coming.
From speculative mapping:
> $SIVE -> $POET -> $MRVL ->
1. $AMZN (purchase agreement/warrants with photonic fabric from celestial)
2. $MSFT (maia)
3. $GOOGL (recent dev… → · 2152 likes · 465,760 views |
| 2026-04-23 | CPU "serious supply shortage"
It's still funny to see CPUs become more like memory day-by-day with the price hikes like $SNDK.
"Server CPUs have jumped between 10% and 20% since March" with
$INTC and $AMD planning to further price hikes Q3.
"CPU supply is likely to remain tight through 2026 and… → · 1055 likes · 159,454 views |
| 2026-04-22 | Just a shower thought... it’s extremely patriotic and positive sum to be investing in American National Security and supply chains like $AMSC or $NVTS.
For the longest time hedge funds shorted domestic American sectors like energy + Solar to the point of bankruptcy...
By betting with China on th… → · 1267 likes · 335,895 views |
| 2026-04-22 | @daniel_koss thanks! small positions on $NVTS though. I find photonics theme more compelling overall.
People don't need to get exposure to every story that pops up with $NVDA. → · 97 likes · 27,794 views |
| 2026-04-22 | $NVDA actively pushing to 800V, and today was a pretty big signal.
"On April 22, 2026, NVIDIA has initiated discussions with major South Korean power equipment companies to explore designing DC infra based on an approximately 800V direct current (DC) system"
Previous named Nvidia partners include… → · 909 likes · 788,096 views |
| 2026-04-20 | It's legit coincidence that it's catalyst ( $JBL ) after catalyst (Nasdaq listing) after catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ), after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD ).
Alongside $NVDA investing into CPO everywhere.
I just timed my long after OFC but did not expect all of this lol. → · 95 likes · 8,268 views |
| 2026-03-26 | So there's deep investors (like you), then there's traders (like myself).
What investors miss is what causes a stock like $SIVE to go up.
For me, I timed it around $NVDA GTC + OFC conference, since there's likely new news around Nvidia pushing CPO architectures.
The reason for the parabolic ris… → · 70 likes · 6,188 views |
| 2026-03-25 | FYI: I went long on $ARM at $139.
Genuinely a compelling long at $143B MC as markets shift more from training -> inference.
Then $ARM AI CPUs cannibalize the market for inference and $NVDA market share.
Especially as LLMs get more lightweight.
The projections to $25B/revenue (5x revenue) are… → · 637 likes · 502,110 views |
| 2026-03-25 | @QuantumDom It’s like $NVDA, there’s a whole ecosystem but sometimes the largest beneficiary is the direct GPU or Laser supplier like $SIVE or $LITE.
Instead of the $POET, $FN type companies.
There’s some high margin exceptions like Eoptolink → · 43 likes · 6,116 views |
| 2026-03-25 | @AdityaInvests90 People should look at fundamentals and marketcap over how high the chart went.
Otherwise you'll miss the next $NVDA. → · 64 likes · 6,015 views |
| 2026-03-24 | Much better opportunities out than $IREN.
If you want the same sector, $NBIS is objectively better when you look at how they finance capex ( $NVDA $2B funding )…
Then there’s others like $AAOI that leapfrogs $IREN revenue + profit, with less capex.
But if you still want to hold $IREN, probably b… → · 89 likes · 14,520 views |
| 2026-02-22 | The biggest United States AI bottleneck:
Power and Grid Capacity.
This has been echoed by the CEOs of every major US AI company recently.
Here's the list from $MSFT to $AMZN:
Jensen Huang ( $NVDA ): "At the lowest level: energy. China has twice the amount of energy we have as a nation, and our … → · 609 likes · 138,408 views |
| 2026-02-21 | Great question! Answer to that is macro/chips.
2023, 2024 when AI first started taking off, fed was jacking rates up to 5%+. Utilities are often kinda like bond proxies since they carry a lot of debt for infra buildout.
Best play then was $NVDA since silicon/chips were in shortage. Market didnt… → · 18 likes · 4,323 views |
| 2026-01-25 | @CrypticAether The "bottleneck" wasn't HBM3 memory or critical materials. It was childhood nostalgia.
We thought we needed 100k clusters of $NVDA H200s to find meaning in life. Turns out, we just needed teddy bears. → · 18 likes · 3,760 views |
| 2026-01-24 | The potential SiC (Silicon Carbide) Interposer bottleneck stack for $NVDA Rubin and Hyperscaler ASICs (if you didn't like $WOLF):
Downstream SiC:
$TSM - SiC for CoWoS interposers
$AMKR - S-SWIFT packaging for SiC integration
$ASX- VIPack platform and optical integration.
SiC Midstream:
$KLAC - Si… → · 231 likes · 83,464 views |
| 2026-01-24 | $WOLF ($464M) is the paradigm of the "Bear-Bull" Paradox.
Wolfspeed is the holy grail of AI with SiC wafers.
And this foundry just made the world’s first 300mm single-crystal SiC wafer last week.
$NVDA Rubin + architectures likely need 300mm SiC interposers and Wolfspeed is the only company in th… → · 305 likes · 168,060 views |
| 2026-01-23 | I've hold positions in the $MU that markets sleep on:
Unimicron.
This one is an incredible long at $16B as they're foundational for:
- $MU and Samsung memory substrates
- $NVDA Rubin/Blackwell
- TSMC for CoWoS process
- Apple (iPhones and M-series)
- Google TPUs
- AMZN/Hyperscaler ASICs
- Intel f… → · 454 likes · 112,732 views |
| 2026-01-23 | There were many reports Chinese tech (bytedance, $BABA, etc) were struggling with inference capacity.
China still hasn’t likely changed their domestic self-reliance goal but reality of inference limits likely forced their hand.
Just goes to show how dominant $NVDA is that AI firms can’t function … → · 63 likes · 19,394 views |
| 2026-01-23 | Nitto Boseki - $NBCLF | 3110:
The story of an extreme bottleneck for AI:
> Spin Yarn/Glass in 1923
> Be good at it
> Create "T-Glass" for tennis rackets
> Wait 100Y, everyone needs it
> $TSM for CoWoS
> $APPL for M-Series Ultra/Max
> $NVDA for Blackwell + Vera Rubin
> $TSLA for chips inside FSD ca… → · 225 likes · 35,967 views |
| 2026-01-22 | @Lotharinvest $MRAM does not sit inside the $NVDA / $MU HBM4 stack. → · 31 likes · 43,725 views |
| 2026-01-21 | So this is just an oversimplified bull case scenario for $MU.
There's obviously bear cases too, one being HBM4 qualification execution risk for stuff like $NVDA Rubin that @MarkosAAIG mentioned.
Similar thesis with $INTC here, Micron is in the US.
US government likely tarrifs on hynix/samsung to… → · 37 likes · 9,016 views |
| 2026-01-21 | @Thomas_james_1 Just reminds me of $NVDA during the rise to $4T+ valuation where everyone kinda knew it would go up.
Now it’s starting to feel the same with $MU in round 2. → · 26 likes · 6,935 views |
| 2026-01-21 | @Crypto_fox7 Yep. Not every day do you get a company backstopped by the White House like $INTC.
Both the government and all the Mag7 companies like $NVDA and $APPL are just pushing for Intel to succeed. → · 14 likes · 3,041 views |
| 2026-01-21 | @Whopzbet Just keep in mind SoftBank owned 4.9% of $NVDA in 2019 and exited. → · 12 likes · 3,969 views |
| 2026-01-19 | Companies like $NBIS or $CIFR are high conviction for 2026.
But it’s not the same as a small $50m niche company, suddenly being in over-demand from $NVDA or $MSFT stockpiling inventory.
You might get a 2-3x 1Y re-rating with DCs but it’s a different story than 2000%+ information discovery of a ne… → · 72 likes · 19,791 views |
| 2025-12-26 | Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:
1. $AXTI ($700M)
2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)
Which both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.
Future $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and receivers.
$AVGO, $… → · 4032 likes · 6,552,541 views |
| 2025-12-24 | @JonathanRoss321 Congrats on the $20B $NVDA acquisition.
I was sort of hoping you would be the disruptor and continue scaling the LPU independently but I guess when any company becomes a threat to the leader they get bought out. → · 25 likes · 3,028 views |
| 2025-12-23 | Personal Research: $MSFT Maia 300 supply chain.
On a $MRVL report, UBS est. 1M+ Maia by 2027.
An est. of $18B+ is estimated to flow down to suppliers from Maia ASIC ramp.
Here's where it goes:
1. $MRVL - $8-12B revenue (~30-40% margin) as the prime beneficary. They design the digital plumbing… → · 139 likes · 40,795 views |
| 2025-12-22 | Yeah $LITE is incredible after seeing how it's in every single ASIC + $NVDA blackwell deployments.
Then once you do BOM analysis and model TPU/GPU deployments, it looks undervalued even at ATHs.
Then there's $AAOI, which is similar to LITE but levered toward AMZN | MSFT ASICs. It's one of the onl… → · 9 likes · 2,434 views |
| 2025-12-22 | "Late".
$LITE is a $26B MC in the center of every future $GOOGL TPU deployment, $NVDA/ $AMZN / other GPU/ASICs.
8-12% BOM share of every Google TPU v7. This is like saying $NVDA was "late" when price it was a $1T MC.
But if you want want another player, $AAOI.
$MSFT is using them for Maia ASI… → · 74 likes · 527,904 views |
| 2025-12-22 | The $LITE thesis: The hidden monopoly in the AI.
Lumentum is up 316% YTD, but might be 1000%+ by 2027.
Micron ($300B) or TSM ($1.5T) sit in the center of every TPU/GPU deployed.
But same with $LITE, but it's a $26B MC.
In Every, Single, TPU from Google, $LITE makes unbelievable amounts of pr… → · 571 likes · 780,036 views |
| 2025-12-21 | Thanks for the $LITE shoutout. I didn't realize how instrumental it was to $NVDA blackwell, $GOOGL TPUs, and $AMZN Trainium chips.
Insane how it's part the core of single GPU/TPU/ASIC from every hyperscaler (hence why it's high-conviction)
As for $CRDO, similar ground to $ALAB regarding hig… → · 7 likes · 3,758 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Just In: Amazon's $10B OpenAI Funding and The AI Supply Chain Ripple Effect.
$AMZN is set to invest $10B+ in OpenAI at a $500B+ valuation
Why this is a MASSIVE structural shift for AI stocks:
1. De-Risking the AI DC trade: ( $ORCL, $CRWV, $APLD, $CORZ )
With the SPEED Bill mentioned earlier, th… → · 89 likes · 87,243 views |
| 2025-12-14 | FinX is a bubble.
Same with traders on /r/wallstreetbets.
People own the same stocks $NBIS, $TE, $ASTS, $HOOD, $RKLB, $IREN, $KRKNF, $ONDS, $SOFI, $AMD, $TSLA and others.
However: It’s a positive thing.
I’ve seen this on repeat again and again throughout the years.
Short term when people buy … → · 359 likes · 188,938 views |
| 2025-12-12 | So my takeaway from $AVGO earnings is that it's mainly misunderstood backlog numbers.
Overall thesis on AI trade from $NVDA GPU ecosystem and Mag7 ASIC ecosystem is in-tact but the market is treating it like a bubble popping + terrible miss.
We're just going from AI is the next big thing -> Ai is… → · 6 likes · 1,155 views |
| 2025-12-12 | Broadcom [ $AVGO ] earnings results and its effect on the AI sector like $LITE and $NBIS:
Broadcom's ER was "double beat" with $18.02B revenue (+28% Y/Y) and $1.95 EPS, beating consensus.
But AVGO dropped -11.64% and brought down the AI sector.
Is this a buying opportunity?
Yes.
Broadcom is se… → · 130 likes · 29,196 views |
| 2025-12-09 | @IncrediBadly $ALAB is an amazing buy. Higher margins than $NVDA and growing triple digits Y/Y.
It's already down from it's $250 high, great recovery buy. Around here probably wouldn't do options but shares can't hurt for waiting. → · 4 likes · 2,140 views |
| 2025-12-08 | Stock position updates:
Sitting on high-conviction longs like $NBIS and writing options, relatively lax weekend.
Minor position adds updates from last week:
$LITE - $316.5 (+5.53%) -> ~$335.91
Lite benefits from $NVDA Blackwell + $GOOGL v7 TPU rampup
$AMKR - $37.6 (+18.4%) ~$44.5
Benefits fro… → · 88 likes · 41,970 views |
| 2025-12-05 | As of current prices, December 5th:
The ideal AI portfolio for the LLM + TPU/GPU ramp would look like this:
· 25% $NBIS
· 15% $TSM
· 12.5% $LITE
· 10% $ALAB
· 10% $SMCI
· 10% $AMKR
· 5% Samsung Electronics
· 5% SK Hynix
· 5% $CRDO
· 5% $CLS
· 5% $COHR
· 5% $NVDA Calls
· 2.5% $AVGO Calls
· 2.5% $… → · 272 likes · 63,839 views |
| 2025-11-25 | @nvidianewsroom $NVDA Press Release Translation:
"pls stop selling our stock" https://t.co/Mc0x8zpJqH → · 243 likes · 91,900 views |
| 2025-11-25 | Amazing question, so I have a really long nuanced thesis regarding Google TPUs.
SUMMARY: The thing to be worried about is if TPUs and AMD outperform $NVDA long term, so people **PREFER** other GPUs and buy them instead. Not because they ran out of $NVDA GPUs to buy and are forced to go get altern… → · 5 likes · 797 views |
| 2025-11-25 | It’s hard for anyone in the AI space not to be bullish.
Capex is ramping up. Exponentially.
And flowing directly down to:
Neoclouds: $CIFR, $NBIS, $WULF, $IREN,
Connectivity: $ALAB, $CRDO, $CLS.
Energy: $VST, $FLNC, $TE, $EOSe
Semi/foundries: $NVDA, $AMD, $GOOGL, $TSM
Memory: $SNDK, $MU, … → · 278 likes · 119,311 views |
| 2025-11-25 | Good question about risk, I enjoy talking about the downsides too.
1. Hyperscalers completely their own datacenter buildout with GPUs (TPUs with $GOOGL, Tranium with $AWS), energy, locations in 5+ years.
This is the analogy of Qualcomm with Apple. Apple just uses $QLCM, then builds it's own verti… → · 14 likes · 1,705 views |
| 2025-11-24 | I'm not going to be a blind shill like some specific $BMNR or $IREN investors that can say a green light on the street means bullish for the company.
So I would lean coincidental. Since it looks like $AMZN, $GOOGL tends to favor colo models (since they can plug in their own TPUs, Trainium chips in … → · 7 likes · 1,389 views |
| 2025-11-24 | Uh this approach would cost millions into building custom financial data pipelines into the LLM (which I don't want to spend).
Prob a challenge for @demishassabis, @sama, @elonmusk, @DarioAmodei, @ylecun, @arthurmensch, @aidangomez or a startup with the resources.
Definitely a billion dollar ques… → · 6 likes · 606 views |
| 2025-11-23 | So the four macro points I talked about was the larger reason for the selloff.
There was a huge amount of option interest expiring last Friday, and my guess post $NVDA earnings was that it was purely algorithmic driven (and still doesn't make much sense).
The larger overhang about the cascading cr… → · 11 likes · 903 views |
| 2025-11-23 | Markets just suffered their worst deleveraging shock in recent history.
High-beta assets are collapsing:
• $NBIS, $IREN, AI stocks are down ~40%+ from peaks
• $MSTR, $BTC plunged 30-40%+ in the past month
• Crypto erased over $1.2 trillion in value
This wasn’t normal, it was a forced unwind acr… → · 251 likes · 106,508 views |
| 2025-11-22 | If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF.
With $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest.
While $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cut… → · 3 likes · 2,577 views |
| 2025-11-20 | Yeah market wide reversal caught me by surprise. $NBIS ended up dropping from $103 to $84 for little reason.
Rubner from Citadel was saying it was a purely algorithmic selloff despite $NVDA massive earnings beat for "derisking" purposes. Just so happens tons and tons of open interest expiring tom… → · 10 likes · 1,448 views |
| 2025-11-19 | @soulbiri1 Yeah stuff like $CIFR is up 17% after hours.
Doesn’t mean the price will hold market open, but market just needs an excuse for things to rally sometimes.
Fundamentals are already in-tact for $NBIS to $CIFR but $NVDA earnings just point toward accelerated demand. https://t.co/oZqWb7jrL7 → · 8 likes · 1,024 views |
| 2025-11-19 | @harjaprama76404 Yeah $NVDA growth is wild, especially at their market cap lol → · 8 likes · 791 views |
| 2025-11-19 | Accident! I didn’t feel like editing my post when I read it over again. So $CRWV is weird since it’s oversold, $55B backlog (think $22B of which is OpenAI), Neocloud sector leader, spare capacity backstopped by $NVDA.
Miss on recent earnings due to revenue lag from delays but this shouldn’t matter … → · 2 likes · 466 views |
| 2025-11-18 | My opinion is that $TSM forward earnings was the biggest indicator of the AI trade so far since they span from all hyperscalers such as $GOOGL TPU prod to $AMZN, as well as $NVDA, $AMD, and we've already seen them blow away earnings + margins.
Even if $NVDA forward revenue is quoted heavily downwa… → · 16 likes · 1,019 views |
| 2025-10-20 | Great question!
Hyperscalers signed confirmed utilization + spend, for example with $NBIS deal with $MSFT, Microsoft is spending 17-20B over 5 years.
It's not exactly risking high-capex, since they're spending to pay for capacity since there's a bottleneck. They're still spending tens of billion… → · 12 likes · 3,250 views |