| Date | Tweet |
|---|
| 2026-09-30T20:39:12 | $GOOGL Gemini 4 Argon benchmarks got released.
Against GPT-6 Astra + Anthropic Fable 5.1 / Opus 5.5.
Still coughing nonstop, so will comment on $MU / $JBL earnings later.
I've always thought Google's internal models were stellar, but anecdotally, they seem to get hard nerfed shortly after publi… → · 1028 likes · 218,051 views |
| 2026-09-14T11:20:27 | $IREN CEO on Anthropic call for frontier slowdown:
“Even if models never improved from here…
just rolling out what they can already do would take more compute than the world can build for years”
I agree, and current narrative is reminiscent of the $NVDA DeepSeek selloff or the $GOOGL TurboQuant s… → · 1881 likes · 502,765 views |
| 2026-09-13T13:23:10 | Tech people in real life: I have shares in “ $TSLA, $GOOGL, $SPCX. “
People on my X feed/comments:
- Leveraged Micron, Sk Hynix calls all the way from $1M to $28M down to $4M
- calls on short dated tanker freight futures because $AXTI 3000% 1Y returns wasn’t enough.
- Long $PLTR short $LULU beca… → · 1688 likes · 552,973 views |
| 2026-09-11T07:03:16 | Yep, I'm personally high conviction on the AI trade (especially photonics/memory) despite macro.
- $NVDA gave forecasts for $1.3T hyperscaler capex ($100B+ above BofA analyst expectations)
- $SPCX Wells Fargo forecasts are ~$263B for 2027.
- $127B spend in 2027 for Anthropic/OpenAI model training… → · 1335 likes · 445,289 views |
| 2026-09-09T22:31:28 | Anthropic's Economic Scenario publication was a pretty interesting read:
1. Anthropic's "extreme" scenario has GDP growth reaching 15.4% in 2030
So around 7.3x current rates (~2.1% Y/Y), which is consistent with what Elon Musk is saying about outgrowing the national debt with AI.
2. Almost all … → · 1566 likes · 301,966 views |
| 2026-09-04T14:31:24 | Let me get this straight chat… you have:
$NVDA 70% supply constrained revenue growth projections (would be 100%+)
$AVGO AI revenue growing 100%+ Y/Y for next 2 years from mid ~$50B -> $230B
OpenAI Astra blowing away AGI benchmarks and starting to train itself.
$MSFT / $GOOGL / $AMZN stating comp… → · 2155 likes · 460,407 views |
| 2026-09-01T08:30:14 | Just some TLDR news I found interesting:
1. $GOOGL (missed this) also invested in Mediatek alongside $NVDA for their $3.9B raise.
Google/Nvidia are goats with investments you look at $SPCX to Anthropic.
2. Samsung Electro-Mechanics discloses $778.9M MLCC deal / $CAPA (new MLCC ETF) also gives e… → · 808 likes · 309,997 views |
| 2026-08-31T10:02:55 | “Memory is a bubble.”Explain this then, KOSPI bears:
Samsung has reportedly reserved ~70% of its memory production capacity through 2031 via LTAs with $NVDA, $MSFT, and $GOOGL as main counterparties.
Five years of demand visibility… https://t.co/GUGWTkXkMc → · 1679 likes · 328,292 views |
| 2026-08-23T19:43:52 | After watching clips of China's humanoid Olympics...
I think we're cooked chat.
Still can't believe $GOOGL sold Boston Dynamics, don't think we have another humanoid that can backflip. https://t.co/uERCqW85F5 → · 1437 likes · 424,599 views |
| 2026-08-19T15:49:36 | $MRVL gives $GOOGL options to buy $12.2B of the company.
"The Marvell-Google deal covers a broad range of technologies used with TPUs, including processors that run AI models, manage data storage and move information across networks."
Which could translate into ~$120 billion in revenue throu… → · 1211 likes · 353,875 views |
| 2026-08-08T18:27:18 | Today I'm writing a weekend guide on how to do DD when shorting $NBIS:
First, you look at hyperscaler earnings for AI cloud read through:
> $GOOGL: reports record AI cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings
> $AMZN: reports record AI Cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from … → · 2734 likes · 626,569 views |
| 2026-07-31T19:16:17 | As a earnings recap: $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, and $MSFT guided a 2026 combined capex forecast to ~$720-$745 Billion.
Up from $695-$725B Billion previously.
Amazon: $220B
Google: $195B-$205B
Meta: $130B-$145B
Microsoft: $175B
We've already seen significant deleveraging and retail/institutional margin… → · 1191 likes · 355,921 views |
| 2026-07-31T10:10:30 | Just a TLDR of this week:
Media: Hyperscalers overbuilt and are selling excess compute.
-> $GOOGL, $MSFT, $META, and $AMZN: Demand for compute far exceeds capacity. Capex go brrr.
Institutions: Emergency rate hike or 3x rate hikes, it's all over.
-> Kevin Warsh: No rate Hike.
Retail/Media: AI is … → · 1931 likes · 344,964 views |
| 2026-07-31T07:14:23 | Few earnings TLDRs with my favorite $AXTI and $AMZN:
Amazon:
- Raised 2026 capex to $220B vs. prior $200B (partly due to higher memory costs, which is bullish on $MU to Samsung)
- Even at $220B, Amazon will not have enough capacity to meet all 2026 demand; Jassy expects the same in 2027.
- Most in… → · 1142 likes · 335,095 views |
| 2026-07-29T23:13:55 | Just some takeaways from $META | $MSFT earnings calls:
Microsoft:
- Expected to be FCF positive in 2027, despite the increase in capex (extremely positive for AI buildout that it's funded by operating income)
- "Free cash flow was $19.6 billion, reflecting higher capital expenditures"
- Quartely ca… → · 1750 likes · 650,524 views |
| 2026-07-28T22:25:27 | I personally see it as extreme short term deleveraging that overshot many individual names.
- $BE to $TER reported blowout results, with Bloom reporting 166% Y/Y rev growth + expanding margins + raised 2026 guidance... Teradyne reported 104% Y/Y revenue growth with 300%+ EPS growth.
Your leading… → · 2571 likes · 990,192 views |
| 2026-07-28 | @wannabepanacea I've been out if it recently, just recovering from 2 rounds of surgery.
Drop was been surprising to say the least given $GOOGL hiked capex guidance last week.
Will need to check on rate hike odds, but my guess is just deleveraging. → · 335 likes · 52,489 views |
| 2026-07-24T20:22:41 | There you have it, $GOOGL Waymo to explore split with $UBER per FT.
My view last year was that Uber partnering with Waymo was a bad choice… since Uber would just serve as a distribution funnel that Google needed as they scale up.
And that $NBIS Avride, other neutral players, or vertical integratio… → · 910 likes · 693,069 views |
| 2026-07-22T21:02:27 | $GOOGL updates FY 2026 capex guidance:
To $195B-$205B. Up from $180B-$190B.
Google is also expected to significantly increase capex in 2027.
This is perhaps the most bullish read through on upstream semis from a hyperscaler. https://t.co/dXiI0Ien8X → · 2356 likes · 422,682 views |
| 2026-07-22T20:45:31 | $GOOGL now has 950M monthly Gemini users and processes 22B API tokens/min.
Compared to 750M back in February.
Absurd growth adding 200 million more users in a few months. Kinda explains why they ran out of compute, then cut allocations to $META and others.
Very unlikely AI capex will slow dow… → · 2099 likes · 594,576 views |
| 2026-07-22T20:27:50 | $GOOGL reported earnings today:
EPS: $9.11 actual vs $2.91 expected - retail reactions to EPS blowout is kinda just accounting noise, since $SPCX, Anthropic, and others were likely large contributors.
Revenue: $119.7B actual vs. $116.98B expected
Google Cloud Revenue: $24.77B +82% Y/Y, vs. 63-65… → · 2073 likes · 913,907 views |
| 2026-07-15T16:02:14+00:00 | @SVTrivo No leaks yet on what companies $AAPL is buying.
Regardless, my guess is that they're trying to become more self-reliant after what happened with $GOOGL + $META and OpenAI.
Which would signal AI capex hikes, which markets definitely aren't expecting from someone like Apple. → · 83 likes · 24,014 views |
| 2026-07-11T10:45:46 | Contrarian take, but Sam Altman / OpenAI is doing something right if he's pissing off every Mag7 like $AAPL.
By building their own ecosystem instead of being sucked into another.
It's been awhile since $GOOGL, Apple, Microsoft, and others had some genuine disruptors. → · 1746 likes · 520,325 views |
| 2026-07-05 | Yep, $AMZN looks like the clear winner in physical AI shift.
I think the Amazon ecosystem... is probably going to the catalyst for robotics players compared to others in the Google/Meta ecosystems.
I kinda see parallels to the $GOOGL TPU effect on suppliers like $LITE or Mediatek, but for roboti… → · 116 likes · 29,927 views |
| 2026-07-01T13:42:30 | There’s a lot of disinformation going around about $META “cutting capex” because they “overbuilt”.
This is an “if” they have excess capacity.
And it looks like the opposite right now:
Hyperscalers like $GOOGL are so compute constrained that they had to cut allocations to Meta back in March.
Sinc… → · 1903 likes · 927,455 views |
| 2026-07-01T11:07:07 | Just a random thought, leading US humanoid players strangely me of the current LLM dynamics:
Agility ( $CCXI ) kinda feels like Anthropic for robotics.
With $AMZN and $NVDA heavily backing it, ingrained with $GOOGL Deepmind (like TPUs). And it starts off with enterprise commercialization.
Optimus… → · 1353 likes · 415,113 views |
| 2026-06-30T10:27:55 | Hard to see a world where US AI hyperscaler capex drops dramatically from $GOOGL to $META.
When China entities like 360 go and claim:
They now have a "AI cyber nuclear weapon" that can hack Western companies and governments.
(Zhou claimed Mythos was like an AI era cyber nuclear weapon, then claim… → · 1020 likes · 375,003 views |
| 2026-06-28T07:37:26 | Guess we finally found why $META signed massive agreements with Neoclouds like $NBIS back in March...
And why Gemini got super nerfed.
$GOOGL reportedly restricted Meta's capacity in March 2026 because of compute restraints.
Google's CEO said from last earnings computing power restrictions prev… → · 2368 likes · 650,626 views |
| 2026-06-24T05:36:52 | Don’t quite think “siphoned off” is the correct term.
It’s capex for massive revenue increase or margin increase down the line.
$AMZN is probably my favorite hyperscaler right now and example to give.
Amazon’s headcount is absurd, like ~1.57M. If the capex goes into automating their workforce wi… → · 955 likes · 584,039 views |
| 2026-06-15T01:24:47+00:00 | $NVDA and $GOOGL lead 800V DC ahead of schedule.
"Ahead of schedule", pulled up to Q3 2026 with small volume shipments starting .
- Delta Electronics (2308), $VRT
- Song Chuan Precision (7788)
- Schneider Electric, Eaton, Siemens.
All flagged as beneficiaries.
"Market https://t.co/UreBSHU53o → · 1351 likes · 933,637 views |
| 2026-05-22 | Feels like $FUTU and $TIGR are kinda screwed? The Chinese Gov is going after their historical revenues.
There's basically no fair law in China (esp. with IP), so if Gov wants something done, courts will be rigged against them.
So no chance of an appeal, unless they make a hidden deal. Also don't … → · 969 likes · 234,356 views |
| 2026-04-24 | I'm amused by Swedish culture at this point.
That their retail/journalists are crying every day when someone posts a supply chain mapping of $SIVE lasers to:
-> $MRVL CPO
-> $AMD CPO
-> $JBL 1.6T LRO
-> $NVDA
-> $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT
-> Tencent, Baidu, Alibaba for ELS.
Then they go crying e… → · 1158 likes · 296,894 views |
| 2026-04-24 | Just putting out there...
Would have been +15.02% in 2W equal-weighted return.
On 30 different stocks... mostly medium-large cap.
1. $INTC +29.62%
2. $MRVL +40.95%
3. $TSM +4.72%
4. $COHR +18.9%
5. $RKLB +26.76%
6. $DRAM +12.29%
7. $AVGO +18.32%
8. $AMZN +9.17%
9. $ARM +36.6%
10. $TSEM -1.25%
11… → · 1643 likes · 317,745 views |
| 2026-04-23 | The secret is that $AAPL 🍎 is using $SIVE InP laser arrays for mass production of consumer hardware (high confidence).
Launch date around late H2 2027 from estimates and the graph provided.
Imagine Apple mass producing consumer hardware with 50M+/units a year…
Off a $850m MC laser supplier lol. … → · 1253 likes · 608,367 views |
| 2026-04-23 | All the hyperscalers $SIVE likely ends up in 2027-2028 is staggering at a $900m MC.
Markets don't understand what's coming.
From speculative mapping:
> $SIVE -> $POET -> $MRVL ->
1. $AMZN (purchase agreement/warrants with photonic fabric from celestial)
2. $MSFT (maia)
3. $GOOGL (recent dev… → · 2152 likes · 465,760 views |
| 2026-04-22 | Bro everyone was doubting me on names like $IQE.
Yet how come… all these institutions from UBS or Point72 buy in after my thesis posts?
Not sure if Swedish media bearposting $SIVE realized who found $AXTI?
I’m very confident institutions will likely follow-in soon given Sivers lasers power $MRV… → · 705 likes · 258,174 views |
| 2026-04-21 | Bullish on $ARM, given the new bottleneck shifting back to CPUs. MS shows stuff like Orchestration/RAG requiring CPUs.
But I'm predicting parts of localized inference to be handled by CPUs more and more... as models like Gemma get lightweight in the future.
Not every robot needs to be able to s… → · 1126 likes · 1,421,043 views |
| 2026-04-20 | It's legit coincidence that it's catalyst ( $JBL ) after catalyst (Nasdaq listing) after catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ), after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD ).
Alongside $NVDA investing into CPO everywhere.
I just timed my long after OFC but did not expect all of this lol. → · 95 likes · 8,268 views |
| 2026-03-26 | Lot of people were asking about my top 3 anime:
1) Eminence in Shadow - Kadokawa (TYO: 9468)
2. Classroom of the Elite - Kadokawa (TYO: 9468)
3. Re:Zero - Kadokawa (TYO: 9468)
Kadokawa YTD: 15.93%
Lesson learned:
You can outperform $GOOGL and $META + indexes if have good taste in anime? → · 342 likes · 81,822 views |
| 2026-03-26 | The US tech selloff from $MSFT, $GOOGL and $META looks really overdone now?
Mag7 roughly down:
Microsoft down -21.9% YTD
Google down -7.69% YTD
$AMZN down -7.36 YTD
Meta down -8.54% YTD
What makes things worse is SpaceX IPOing at $1.7T if they get fast-index inclusion.
Mega-IPOs typically serv… → · 662 likes · 110,150 views |
| 2026-03-25 | So just checked out the comments...
$P4O does look like a potential upstream $LITE supplier at a $34M MC.
How it likely maps:
-> Plan Optik $P4O (Glass Wafers)
-> Teledyne $TDY or Silek (Mem Foundries)
-> $LITE (OCS Switches)
-> $GOOGL (TPUs)
However, $LITE likely dual sources with Corning ( … → · 314 likes · 213,905 views |
| 2026-02-19 | Trade Idea: Long OTM $XLU leaps (2 years, Dec 2027/Jan 2028).
This feels like once-a-generation long due to AI.
XLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies.
Two reasons:
1. Paradigm shift due to AI DC electricity usage.
2. Low option IV (~14%) based on historical averages (flat since… → · 686 likes · 371,927 views |
| 2026-01-20 | There's a lot of panic about a potential market crash from
$OSS -6.1% to $ONDS -4.85% dropping ON.
But now, Trump is already starting to de-escalate as markets go red.
From the history of Trump's tariffs
We know one thing.
Trump cares too much about the market:
$1.5T in proposed defense spen… → · 328 likes · 97,879 views |
| 2025-12-26 | Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:
1. $AXTI ($700M)
2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)
Which both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.
Future $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and receivers.
$AVGO, $… → · 4032 likes · 6,552,541 views |
| 2025-12-22 | "Late".
$LITE is a $26B MC in the center of every future $GOOGL TPU deployment, $NVDA/ $AMZN / other GPU/ASICs.
8-12% BOM share of every Google TPU v7. This is like saying $NVDA was "late" when price it was a $1T MC.
But if you want want another player, $AAOI.
$MSFT is using them for Maia ASI… → · 74 likes · 527,904 views |
| 2025-12-22 | The $LITE thesis: The hidden monopoly in the AI.
Lumentum is up 316% YTD, but might be 1000%+ by 2027.
Micron ($300B) or TSM ($1.5T) sit in the center of every TPU/GPU deployed.
But same with $LITE, but it's a $26B MC.
In Every, Single, TPU from Google, $LITE makes unbelievable amounts of pr… → · 571 likes · 780,036 views |
| 2025-12-21 | Thanks for the $LITE shoutout. I didn't realize how instrumental it was to $NVDA blackwell, $GOOGL TPUs, and $AMZN Trainium chips.
Insane how it's part the core of single GPU/TPU/ASIC from every hyperscaler (hence why it's high-conviction)
As for $CRDO, similar ground to $ALAB regarding hig… → · 7 likes · 3,758 views |
| 2025-12-19 | Nothings fundamentally changed (aside from improving) about companies like $NBIS. Aside from the sentiment flipping the switch.
But suddenly we have people like Dan Ives from Wedbush going out and saying "Nebius likely gets acquired by a hyperscaler like $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN " in 2026, which is in… → · 15 likes · 2,350 views |
| 2025-12-17 | $HUT has just signed a new Triple lease deal with Anthropic through Fluidstack for at least 245 MW and up to 2,295MW capacity.
The deal is valued at $7 Billion over 15 years with $GOOGL backstopping the deal.
Hut8 is up 25.28% on the news and now trades at a $3.98B market cap https://t.co/50O28EsJ… → · 119 likes · 57,793 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Agreed.
Companies like $CIFR are trading like the $AMZN, $GOOGL deals never happened.
In the whole Neocloud sector, we’re seeing a crash despite de-risking and long term revenue visibility across the board with Mag7 contracts.
$ORCL, $CRWV, and some individual names made sense given OpenAI expo… → · 21 likes · 4,449 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Disagree, but it’s nuanced. Robotaxis will ruin $UBER’s business model if it’s Waymo.
Uber likely realizes that every link with Waymo will eventually funnel into Waymo’s direct app that will replace/sidestep Uber one day. $GOOGL has no problems subsidizing utilization.
Hence $NBIS Avride Texas lau… → · 13 likes · 6,342 views |
| 2025-12-14 | Falling Knife or Dip Buy?
What a brutal Friday for stocks after $ORCL and $AVGO earnings.
Popular FinX names that dropped in just 1 day:
$FRMI | -34.1%
$SNDK | -15.89%
$SEI | -15.3%
$OKLO | -15.13%
$MOD | -14.67%
$ALAB | -14.31%
$FLNC | -13.96%
$LITE | -12.83%
$GLXY | -11.73%
$AAOI | -11.73%
$AV… → · 92 likes · 148,547 views |
| 2025-12-12 | Broadcom [ $AVGO ] earnings results and its effect on the AI sector like $LITE and $NBIS:
Broadcom's ER was "double beat" with $18.02B revenue (+28% Y/Y) and $1.95 EPS, beating consensus.
But AVGO dropped -11.64% and brought down the AI sector.
Is this a buying opportunity?
Yes.
Broadcom is se… → · 130 likes · 29,196 views |
| 2025-12-11 | NP! If we look at mag7 ASICs, $GOOGL TPU v7 Ironwood suppliers had a run after the $META deal.
$AMZN Trainium is going to ramp up soon like $GOOGL and the recent hyperscaler $AAOI order was likely from them.
The alpha for $AAOI is that $MSFT Maia 200 orders were more of R&D spend and they dela… → · 7 likes · 1,908 views |
| 2025-12-11 | They did. A large part of it was OpenAI fears.
eg. OpenAI -> one of $CRWV anchor tenant. $ALPD selling junk bonds -> credit tightening.
Sector selloff after.
Obviously it's multifacted (eg. broader selloff from carry trade unwind), ATM offerings/convertible notes + more dilution for some -> mar… → · 5 likes · 2,087 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I expect a bad day for Neocloud stocks just because $ORCL / $CRWV are "sector leaders".
But this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector:
Due to the market missing the nuance that $ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty.
Bu… → · 11 likes · 2,416 views |
| 2025-12-11 | The AI DC sector is extremely nuanced.
$ORCL is building capacity from debt based on backlog/credit worthiness of OpenAI which is the tenant.
OpenAI does not have the funds at the moment to fulfill its obligations and it's looking less likely to get it.
$CIFR is building out for $GOOGL, $AMZN.
… → · 22 likes · 2,900 views |
| 2025-12-11 | Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:
Oracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.
Oracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.
Here's why:
The sell-off w… → · 564 likes · 295,459 views |
| 2025-12-08 | Stock position updates:
Sitting on high-conviction longs like $NBIS and writing options, relatively lax weekend.
Minor position adds updates from last week:
$LITE - $316.5 (+5.53%) -> ~$335.91
Lite benefits from $NVDA Blackwell + $GOOGL v7 TPU rampup
$AMKR - $37.6 (+18.4%) ~$44.5
Benefits fro… → · 88 likes · 41,970 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Probably around $6B now as per the seeking alpha report benchmarked vs Nuro.
But I'd say Avride is crown jewel of $NBIS, not clickhouse, especially when robotaxi companies like Waymo scaled to a $100B+ valuation in a short time.
$TSLA gained hundreds of billions in value just due robotaxi launch … → · 17 likes · 2,950 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Okay so from my perspective
$NBIS - Highest asymmetrical upside possible because they have 4 subsidaries like robotaxis growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside their core operational DC business. It's just a waiting game until market prices in parts (eg. $UBER rose a ton from self driving cars with Avride, but… → · 7 likes · 1,348 views |
| 2025-11-26 | Feel free to dispute the point that $TSLA is FSD SAE level 2 automation.
Tesla is classified as level 2, because in their robotaxis, you have people remotely behind the wheel at all times.
Elon is pursuing a more ambitious plan with cameras + non-geofenced solution so it's not an apples to apples… → · 10 likes · 952 views |
| 2025-11-26 | 🎯 Spot on commentary of my point. People see robotaxis as a trillion + dollar market.
$GOOGL Waymo is expanding rapidly and has first mover advantage. $TSLA is banking on low cost + cameras to achieve FSD robotaxis at scale but aren't quite there yet.
And people buy $TSLA or $GOOGL for that self-… → · 9 likes · 1,117 views |
| 2025-11-26 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] core business is insanity. 700%+ Y/Y growth to $7-9B+ ARR in 1Y.
What's more insane is this.
Their subsidiary can outgrow their main business 🤯
Here's why:
$GOOGL Waymo, $TSLA, $AMZN Zoox, Motional, $NBIS Avride are the only 5 FSD US Robotaxi companies right now.
Yes $NBIS… → · 346 likes · 196,421 views |
| 2025-11-26 | Prob just fedramp providers like $ORCL and traditional hyperscalers like $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $MSFT given how critical the data is.
$CRWV is probably the most likely Neocloud but they’re still in application phase. $NBIS is unlikely.
That being said, other Neocloud sector members are indirect benefi… → · 3 likes · 817 views |
| 2025-11-25 | lol $TSLA feels like marketing snake oil currently.
Waymo ( $GOOGL ) -Level 4
Cruise ( $GM ) - Level 4
Avride - Level 4
Tesla FSD - Level 2
$TSLA still has humans remotely monitoring every drive since it's level 2 right now and it's just snake oil marketing FSD (with disclaimers that you must be a… → · 5 likes · 736 views |
| 2025-11-25 | The main fear I have in the "AI Bubble" is OpenAI and their $1T capex promises. That is a clear bubble (and private valuations of LLMs). Most other things, no.
Any company directly reliant to them $ORCL, $CRWV might be in trouble given how AI models leapfrogged GPT. So the simple thing to do is st… → · 8 likes · 1,007 views |
| 2025-11-25 | $NBIS core business is insane.
But what's even more insane is that potential for their subsidiaries to be worth more than their main business in a year lol. There's no public robotaxi companies right now. The only way to get exposure is $TSLA for their robotaxis and $GOOGL for Waymo.
And $NBIS h… → · 22 likes · 2,060 views |
| 2025-11-25 | It’s hard for anyone in the AI space not to be bullish.
Capex is ramping up. Exponentially.
And flowing directly down to:
Neoclouds: $CIFR, $NBIS, $WULF, $IREN,
Connectivity: $ALAB, $CRDO, $CLS.
Energy: $VST, $FLNC, $TE, $EOSe
Semi/foundries: $NVDA, $AMD, $GOOGL, $TSM
Memory: $SNDK, $MU, … → · 278 likes · 119,311 views |
| 2025-11-25 | Good question about risk, I enjoy talking about the downsides too.
1. Hyperscalers completely their own datacenter buildout with GPUs (TPUs with $GOOGL, Tranium with $AWS), energy, locations in 5+ years.
This is the analogy of Qualcomm with Apple. Apple just uses $QLCM, then builds it's own verti… → · 14 likes · 1,705 views |
| 2025-11-24 | I'm not going to be a blind shill like some specific $BMNR or $IREN investors that can say a green light on the street means bullish for the company.
So I would lean coincidental. Since it looks like $AMZN, $GOOGL tends to favor colo models (since they can plug in their own TPUs, Trainium chips in … → · 7 likes · 1,389 views |
| 2025-11-24 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] is the most undervalued growth company right now.
And it has the potential to become the next $GOOGL at a $21B market cap. There's one simple reason:
It's portfolio companies are mindblowing.
The most incredible example on this concept is the company $FTX. Here's the story:
Whe… → · 489 likes · 228,217 views |
| 2025-11-22 | @AustranSkolSwft Which one is insulting? $WULF with tens of billions of backlog from $GOOGL/Anthropic or $IREN with $9B+ from $MSFT.
Posting that with no explanation is not very helpful. → · 17 likes · 8,251 views |
| 2025-11-22 | If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF.
With $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest.
While $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cut… → · 3 likes · 2,577 views |
| 2025-11-22 | I did, rated $DGXX D tier. Originally put it in U like $CLSK, but forgot to edit them out when I looked into them further.
Correct me if I'm wrong but $DGXX $65m revenue is unsecured, there's no anchor tenant like $CIFR is to $GOOGL or $CORZ is to $CRWV.
There's also more execution risk on pivot… → · 32 likes · 26,732 views |
| 2025-11-20 | bruh, $CIFR just signed a $830m 10y contract with $GOOGL through Fluidstack. More likely $22+ next month than sub $10.
Long-term hyperscaler revenue visibility, so it's pretty de-risked. Just slower revenue ramp compared to full-stack offerings + BTC price drag since it holds Bitcoin on its balance… → · 5 likes · 1,910 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Appreciate, @accounting_ds for summarizing my opinion. I'll post a deeper dive into everything tomorrow.
$NBIS, $CIFR are my favorite two in the Neoclouder sector. CIFR sits right below Nebius though.
Nebius is top because it owns the full AI-cloud value chain for higher revenue potential and stro… → · 8 likes · 715 views |
| 2025-11-18 | My opinion is that $TSM forward earnings was the biggest indicator of the AI trade so far since they span from all hyperscalers such as $GOOGL TPU prod to $AMZN, as well as $NVDA, $AMD, and we've already seen them blow away earnings + margins.
Even if $NVDA forward revenue is quoted heavily downwa… → · 16 likes · 1,019 views |
| 2025-11-17 | $CIFR is actually next favorite Neocloud sector pick.
I made a tierlist earlier and $NBIS was S+ and $CIFR was S.
But here's the difference and nuance people might not know:
Nebius captures the entire value chain of the AI cloud business. $IREN said it themselves in their ER call that they did f… → · 15 likes · 3,152 views |
| 2025-11-15 | For $NBIS it's a validation of high-demand for full-stack infrastructure, not a limitation.
They have 2.5 GW contracted capacity and sold out of current capacity. The capacity ramp is a reflection of their $7-$9B ARR estimate.
Again they can contract more and increase their ARR and I'd expect the… → · 3 likes · 948 views |
| 2025-11-14 | @KobeissiLetter Another $40B in capex going to neoclouds like $WULF / $CIFR and the data center buildout by $GOOGL.
Meanwhile markets are selling off indiscriminately for the wrong reasons. https://t.co/S9wmV8d1XD → · 111 likes · 9,539 views |
| 2025-10-22 | Subsidiaries aside and just the core business, I think $NBIS is undervalued.
It is mindblowing how Nebius is growing from $100m ARR to $1B-1.5B in just 1Y.
And this is a generational chance for small companies to power the infrastructure of $GOOGL Cloud, $MSFT Azure, $AMZN Web Services and o… → · 16 likes · 1,234 views |
| 2025-10-22 | I respectfully disagree, "fair value" should be higher. There's been new $NBIS data centers for ARR boost, 3x rate cuts which is a huge catalyst.
Just now, Anthropic might sign a $20B+ dollar deal with $GOOGL, which is bullish for Clickhouse, $WULF, $IREN, and Neoclouds. $META x $CRWV deals.
Goog… → · 32 likes · 4,889 views |
| 2025-10-17 | We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain.
In terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades:
$NBIS - $105-$110
$TSM - $170-$175
$BTC - ~<$100K
$RKlB - $35-$40
$ALAB - $100-$120
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Special shoutout to Ama… → · 246 likes · 121,617 views |
| 2025-10-16 | Thanks, it's just that there's been an absolute surge in demand for AI compute (Data Centers, Power) from Mag7, and institutional ownership in a lot of these companies are extremely low (eg. $NBIS 38% when usually sweet spot is 60-75%).
Retail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or… → · 18 likes · 2,349 views |