| Date | Tweet |
|---|
| 2026-07-15T15:53:21 | $AAPL looks to acquire AI chip companies for running AI (Source: The Information)
Right now, $MSFT, $META, Amazon, Google are carrying AI capex spend.
But what if Apple joined the others after M&A?
A possible scenario is that they revise capex largely upward for their own AI buildout.
Since th… → · 1035 likes · 366,836 views |
| 2026-07-14T14:57:21 | $NBIS signs $1B+ compute agreement with Reflection AI, for GB300 access through 2029.
Reflection also signed a multi-billion dollar agreement with $SPCX earlier.
Interesting to say the least, seeing Nebius drop -5% off the news today.
Also... counterparty to get this done kinda reminds me of Op… → · 1522 likes · 479,260 views |
| 2026-07-04 | @frank_be $MSFT was underwater DCs.
These are floating DCs https://t.co/oOEyTEBJ5z → · 89 likes · 25,726 views |
| 2026-06-19 | Yes, choosing the right theme is extremely important.
Even if $POET doesn't really do anything, it still gets brought up thematically due to $LITE, $COHR, and others.
Even if $RDDT outperforms extremely hard, it still gets brought down from $META, $MSFT, $CRM, and other software basket names. → · 142 likes · 24,592 views |
| 2026-04-24 | I'm amused by Swedish culture at this point.
That their retail/journalists are crying every day when someone posts a supply chain mapping of $SIVE lasers to:
-> $MRVL CPO
-> $AMD CPO
-> $JBL 1.6T LRO
-> $NVDA
-> $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT
-> Tencent, Baidu, Alibaba for ELS.
Then they go crying e… → · 1158 likes · 296,894 views |
| 2026-04-24 | Just putting out there...
Would have been +15.02% in 2W equal-weighted return.
On 30 different stocks... mostly medium-large cap.
1. $INTC +29.62%
2. $MRVL +40.95%
3. $TSM +4.72%
4. $COHR +18.9%
5. $RKLB +26.76%
6. $DRAM +12.29%
7. $AVGO +18.32%
8. $AMZN +9.17%
9. $ARM +36.6%
10. $TSEM -1.25%
11… → · 1643 likes · 317,745 views |
| 2026-04-23 | There's stuff I trade, and stuff I invest in.
I haven't sold a single $SIVE share since I bought it last month. I expect this to be the next $LITE if they play their cards right, and this is a long term investment.
As for stuff like $AXTI, I'm up over 1000%+ but I'm still holding. For multi-year s… → · 225 likes · 43,803 views |
| 2026-04-23 | All the hyperscalers $SIVE likely ends up in 2027-2028 is staggering at a $900m MC.
Markets don't understand what's coming.
From speculative mapping:
> $SIVE -> $POET -> $MRVL ->
1. $AMZN (purchase agreement/warrants with photonic fabric from celestial)
2. $MSFT (maia)
3. $GOOGL (recent dev… → · 2152 likes · 465,760 views |
| 2026-04-22 | Yeah I own some $ASMC. They're a large beneficiary of the "Defense Production Act" yesterday since they have links to "advanced conductors" and "power control electronics.".
Found links to $MSFT for HTS technology for their HTS wire segment. Grid segment should be a beneficiary too. → · 49 likes · 19,988 views |
| 2026-04-22 | Bro everyone was doubting me on names like $IQE.
Yet how come… all these institutions from UBS or Point72 buy in after my thesis posts?
Not sure if Swedish media bearposting $SIVE realized who found $AXTI?
I’m very confident institutions will likely follow-in soon given Sivers lasers power $MRV… → · 705 likes · 258,174 views |
| 2026-04-21 | Bullish on $ARM, given the new bottleneck shifting back to CPUs. MS shows stuff like Orchestration/RAG requiring CPUs.
But I'm predicting parts of localized inference to be handled by CPUs more and more... as models like Gemma get lightweight in the future.
Not every robot needs to be able to s… → · 1126 likes · 1,421,043 views |
| 2026-04-20 | How are there people still long on an F-tier Neocloud like $IREN.
Amid a $6,000,000,000 dilution?
When $NBIS is up there with $ORCL and $MSFT looking derisked? https://t.co/vIdzdk4Hqi → · 1475 likes · 306,417 views |
| 2026-03-26 | The US tech selloff from $MSFT, $GOOGL and $META looks really overdone now?
Mag7 roughly down:
Microsoft down -21.9% YTD
Google down -7.69% YTD
$AMZN down -7.36 YTD
Meta down -8.54% YTD
What makes things worse is SpaceX IPOing at $1.7T if they get fast-index inclusion.
Mega-IPOs typically serv… → · 662 likes · 110,150 views |
| 2026-03-24 | @TheVantaBlack Not yet, but leaps on $MSFT, especially with OpenAI liquidity unlock feels more compelling here?
Same with $META with blowout earnings, delaying Avocado launch doesn’t materially change earnings much short term since they sell ads but does impact optics. → · 44 likes · 13,807 views |
| 2026-03-24 | Feel like Mag7 selloff from $META at $593 to $MSFT at $373…
Has gone a bit too far?
At this point, risk/reward feels on hyperscaler spend vs. ROI vs. macro climates, feels compelling.
And we should see capital rotations back into the American tech sector soon. https://t.co/KBCi7gMfGT → · 1107 likes · 368,448 views |
| 2026-03-24 | If you didn't know by now $SIVE is important to US national security via CHIPS act.
But especially, as the light source for hyperscaler AI supply chains.
They got two CHIPS acts grants ~$11.6M so far:
1. FR3 beamformer ICs with $ERIC and Raytheon $RTX.
2. EW Tech with $BA (LSE) BAE Systems
With… → · 424 likes · 93,842 views |
| 2026-02-24 | $MU - ended up liking SK Hynix more but safer made in America play
$AXTI long way to go, 1 year wait until extreme shortage hits. Prob my favorite in photonics sector for return potential
$EWY - tail end of Vega expansion, IV will likely send it a tad higher. But if you’re buying calls do it becau… → · 43 likes · 4,745 views |
| 2026-02-22 | The biggest United States AI bottleneck:
Power and Grid Capacity.
This has been echoed by the CEOs of every major US AI company recently.
Here's the list from $MSFT to $AMZN:
Jensen Huang ( $NVDA ): "At the lowest level: energy. China has twice the amount of energy we have as a nation, and our … → · 609 likes · 138,408 views |
| 2026-01-19 | Companies like $NBIS or $CIFR are high conviction for 2026.
But it’s not the same as a small $50m niche company, suddenly being in over-demand from $NVDA or $MSFT stockpiling inventory.
You might get a 2-3x 1Y re-rating with DCs but it’s a different story than 2000%+ information discovery of a ne… → · 72 likes · 19,791 views |
| 2025-12-26 | Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:
1. $AXTI ($700M)
2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)
Which both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.
Future $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and receivers.
$AVGO, $… → · 4032 likes · 6,552,541 views |
| 2025-12-23 | Personal Research: $MSFT Maia 300 supply chain.
On a $MRVL report, UBS est. 1M+ Maia by 2027.
An est. of $18B+ is estimated to flow down to suppliers from Maia ASIC ramp.
Here's where it goes:
1. $MRVL - $8-12B revenue (~30-40% margin) as the prime beneficary. They design the digital plumbing… → · 139 likes · 40,795 views |
| 2025-12-23 | $AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.
From BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.
AAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.
InP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 as they’re the founda… → · 339 likes · 1,195,248 views |
| 2025-12-22 | Among $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, etc. I've found $LITE to be the most asymmetrical setup since it's central to ironwood (with OCS), blackwell, and other hyperscaler ASICs.
However, $AAOI is extreme alpha. Especially as a levered play on $AMZN Trainium, $MSFT Maia ASICs scale up + one of the only In… → · 37 likes · 5,717 views |
| 2025-12-22 | I only have $LITE and $AAOI lol. But how I'd frame it is $LITE and $COHR are basically duopolies in photonics.
With $LITE extra leveraged on Google TPU growth.
Then there's $AAOI, extreme alpha + leverage call on $MSFT + $AMZN hyperscaler ASICs.
No action yet, no major runup (even down 12% this… → · 10 likes · 2,815 views |
| 2025-12-22 | $LITE is in the goldilocks moment where every single GOOGL TPU + hyperscaler ASIC + NVDA blackwell depends on it.
Right now they're supply constrained from demand (similar to Micron).
From what I understand, photonics right now is a duopoly ( $COHR and Lite).
However, for OCS, which is what Goo… → · 20 likes · 4,955 views |
| 2025-12-22 | "Late".
$LITE is a $26B MC in the center of every future $GOOGL TPU deployment, $NVDA/ $AMZN / other GPU/ASICs.
8-12% BOM share of every Google TPU v7. This is like saying $NVDA was "late" when price it was a $1T MC.
But if you want want another player, $AAOI.
$MSFT is using them for Maia ASI… → · 74 likes · 527,904 views |
| 2025-12-22 | The $LITE thesis: The hidden monopoly in the AI.
Lumentum is up 316% YTD, but might be 1000%+ by 2027.
Micron ($300B) or TSM ($1.5T) sit in the center of every TPU/GPU deployed.
But same with $LITE, but it's a $26B MC.
In Every, Single, TPU from Google, $LITE makes unbelievable amounts of pr… → · 571 likes · 780,036 views |
| 2025-12-21 | @itsthesquonky I’ll do some research today on it, thanks for the shout.
I’m already into quite a bit of micro caps like $AAOI which is leveraged $LITE imo just for the $MSFT Maia ramp.
There’s the conference Jan 6-8 I think which should be a catalyst if Microsoft reveals more news about it → · 3 likes · 1,309 views |
| 2025-12-21 | For me personally: A stock is "high conviction" when they are fundamentally de-risked and are going from that point to scale.
For example, $NBIS post-MSFT deal. I like $AAOI much better than $POET in the photonics space personally. But neither of them are "de-risked yet".
So Poet as you mentione… → · 13 likes · 6,443 views |
| 2025-12-19 | Nothings fundamentally changed (aside from improving) about companies like $NBIS. Aside from the sentiment flipping the switch.
But suddenly we have people like Dan Ives from Wedbush going out and saying "Nebius likely gets acquired by a hyperscaler like $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN " in 2026, which is in… → · 15 likes · 2,350 views |
| 2025-12-17 | Just now, the SPEED Act ADVANCES in the House.
This is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.
Here's why and a rundown:
The U.S. GOVERNMENT is set to support the AI data center buildout from Oracle down to Nebius on national security gr… → · 450 likes · 174,102 views |
| 2025-12-15 | Meant when $NBIS annnounced the Microsoft contract they were trading around $90-$100 before rallying to $140. Pre contract it was $65-$75.
Now we’re back at $80 after $MSFT 19B deal, $META $3B deal, Israel gov deal, Cursor/Accenture, $UBER avride robotaxi launch + $375m investment round, and so on.… → · 35 likes · 3,223 views |
| 2025-12-14 | Falling Knife or Dip Buy?
What a brutal Friday for stocks after $ORCL and $AVGO earnings.
Popular FinX names that dropped in just 1 day:
$FRMI | -34.1%
$SNDK | -15.89%
$SEI | -15.3%
$OKLO | -15.13%
$MOD | -14.67%
$ALAB | -14.31%
$FLNC | -13.96%
$LITE | -12.83%
$GLXY | -11.73%
$AAOI | -11.73%
$AV… → · 92 likes · 148,547 views |
| 2025-12-14 | Still bullish. People seem to forget the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size. They have great medium term defensibility, including all their enterprise users like Cursor or $NET.
DCs in space is more near-term exploratory like q… → · 17 likes · 2,007 views |
| 2025-12-12 | Broadcom [ $AVGO ] earnings results and its effect on the AI sector like $LITE and $NBIS:
Broadcom's ER was "double beat" with $18.02B revenue (+28% Y/Y) and $1.95 EPS, beating consensus.
But AVGO dropped -11.64% and brought down the AI sector.
Is this a buying opportunity?
Yes.
Broadcom is se… → · 130 likes · 29,196 views |
| 2025-12-12 | Yeah I really, really like $LITE but it’s already priced in with a premium.
I only have relatively small positions in $AAOI though just because of execution risk in case a hyperscaler drops purchase orders + competition from Jabil.
That being said it’s priced as a small cap component manufacturer … → · 4 likes · 1,737 views |
| 2025-12-11 | NP! If we look at mag7 ASICs, $GOOGL TPU v7 Ironwood suppliers had a run after the $META deal.
$AMZN Trainium is going to ramp up soon like $GOOGL and the recent hyperscaler $AAOI order was likely from them.
The alpha for $AAOI is that $MSFT Maia 200 orders were more of R&D spend and they dela… → · 7 likes · 1,908 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I was actually looking into $AMZN Trainium benchmarks from a semianalysis post and at Amazon's supply chain. And some friends like @yianisz post about it earlier, so I decided to look deeper at it.
But it has ~$4B spend from $AMZN as a backstop as they ramp up Trainium/Inferentia clusters, spend … → · 5 likes · 3,010 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I've looked into $POET but didn't like it as much compared to $AAOI given AAOI already has direct hyperscaler customers with $MSFT and $AMZN.
$POET had Celestial that got acquired $MRVL, where Celestial used poet’s interposer to connect tpus/trainium, and Marvell sells that to hyperscalers.
B… → · 10 likes · 2,568 views |
| 2025-12-11 | Yep that’s a good example. If you look at convertible offerings for $NBIS and $IREN both their interest rates were 1-2.5% roughly because $MSFT (mag7) is their shared backlog.
A lot of Neoclouds are affected by OpenAi though and even by two hops like $APLD from $CRWV(main tenant), which had to sell… → · 13 likes · 2,225 views |
| 2025-12-11 | They did. A large part of it was OpenAI fears.
eg. OpenAI -> one of $CRWV anchor tenant. $ALPD selling junk bonds -> credit tightening.
Sector selloff after.
Obviously it's multifacted (eg. broader selloff from carry trade unwind), ATM offerings/convertible notes + more dilution for some -> mar… → · 5 likes · 2,087 views |
| 2025-12-11 | The alpha is knowing what types of contracts lead to isolation from current fears and where there's mispricing on individual components in the sector. Compute capacity contracts are take or pay for $MSFT, $META, and others.
Companies like $NBIS, $IREN and others are effectively de-risked due to … → · 36 likes · 3,871 views |
| 2025-12-11 | The AI DC sector is extremely nuanced.
$ORCL is building capacity from debt based on backlog/credit worthiness of OpenAI which is the tenant.
OpenAI does not have the funds at the moment to fulfill its obligations and it's looking less likely to get it.
$CIFR is building out for $GOOGL, $AMZN.
… → · 22 likes · 2,900 views |
| 2025-12-11 | Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:
Oracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.
Oracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.
Here's why:
The sell-off w… → · 564 likes · 295,459 views |
| 2025-12-11 | I’ve been putting $ORCL on avoid and this earnings was the reason why on the 11% drop.
I need more time to look into it but it’s not just capex spend that’s worrying, a large part of it is because of OpenAi (which doesn’t have the funding for the backlog) that a lot of the spend is for.
Other neoc… → · 6 likes · 851 views |
| 2025-12-05 | A short seller firm @Hedgeye is now shorting Nebius $NBIS. The stock price is now $97.8.
Their claim? Nebius is Coreweave 2.0.
Coreweave [ $CRWV ]:
- Small diversification in customers, mainly hyperscalers, ~quarter of their backlog is OpenAI.
- $1.8B in cash left
- $1.3B+/yearly in debt inte… → · 211 likes · 135,696 views |
| 2025-12-05 | "Revenue doesn't scale past depreciation" is wrong, you're not stating unit pricing (which degrades) vs. operating leverage (which scales) correctly.
In the "front loading" phase, you have the assets (depreciation is active) but not the full rev yet. As you turn on clsuters for the $MSFT/ $META … → · 6 likes · 1,448 views |
| 2025-12-05 | Okay so from my perspective
$NBIS - Highest asymmetrical upside possible because they have 4 subsidaries like robotaxis growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside their core operational DC business. It's just a waiting game until market prices in parts (eg. $UBER rose a ton from self driving cars with Avride, but… → · 7 likes · 1,348 views |
| 2025-12-05 | My stance changed on $AMD after LLMs like opus 4.5 beat gpt codex models in coding, gemini 3 models beat out chatgpt models in image generation, etc.
A large part of my initial bullishness on $AMD was expecting OpenAI to maintain its dominance in LLMs, IPO, and find a way to generate that $1T+ in c… → · 13 likes · 2,193 views |
| 2025-11-26 | Prob just fedramp providers like $ORCL and traditional hyperscalers like $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $MSFT given how critical the data is.
$CRWV is probably the most likely Neocloud but they’re still in application phase. $NBIS is unlikely.
That being said, other Neocloud sector members are indirect benefi… → · 3 likes · 817 views |
| 2025-11-25 | The main fear I have in the "AI Bubble" is OpenAI and their $1T capex promises. That is a clear bubble (and private valuations of LLMs). Most other things, no.
Any company directly reliant to them $ORCL, $CRWV might be in trouble given how AI models leapfrogged GPT. So the simple thing to do is st… → · 8 likes · 1,007 views |
| 2025-11-24 | I'm not going to be a blind shill like some specific $BMNR or $IREN investors that can say a green light on the street means bullish for the company.
So I would lean coincidental. Since it looks like $AMZN, $GOOGL tends to favor colo models (since they can plug in their own TPUs, Trainium chips in … → · 7 likes · 1,389 views |
| 2025-11-24 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] is the most undervalued growth company right now.
And it has the potential to become the next $GOOGL at a $21B market cap. There's one simple reason:
It's portfolio companies are mindblowing.
The most incredible example on this concept is the company $FTX. Here's the story:
Whe… → · 489 likes · 228,217 views |
| 2025-11-22 | @AustranSkolSwft Which one is insulting? $WULF with tens of billions of backlog from $GOOGL/Anthropic or $IREN with $9B+ from $MSFT.
Posting that with no explanation is not very helpful. → · 17 likes · 8,251 views |
| 2025-11-22 | So just a quick qualitative reply, $IREN does frontload connected capacity and if you go from that standpoint (eg. 1+ GW H1 2026) vs. 1 GW from $NBIS H2 2026, $IREN wins and should be using that time to sign more contracts.
Longer term, Nebius achieves capacity parity between the two and has highe… → · 1 likes · 1,205 views |
| 2025-11-22 | Sure, I put $NBIS as S tier from that capacity funding angle because it's isolated from credit tightening affecting other DC stocks like $APLD (that had to sell junk bonds).
From Q3 earnings, $CRWV is facing $1.21-$1.25B in interest expenses and only has $1.94 billion in cash equivalents.
Other… → · 21 likes · 3,475 views |
| 2025-11-22 | If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF.
With $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest.
While $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cut… → · 3 likes · 2,577 views |
| 2025-11-19 | $19.4B $MSFT 5 years $3.88B/year / 4 = $970m.
$3B $META 5 years, $600M/year /4 = $150m
That's just two hyperscaler contracts. Their core business are enterprises like Shopify, Cursor, Accenture + Governments and so on. (eg. $1.1B ARR this year, growing very rapidly).
$1.12B/quarter from just M… → · 3 likes · 612 views |
| 2025-11-19 | Because individual stock fundamentals matter more than macro.
$ETH, $SOL crypto markets are a whole different beast with cascading 50x leverage margin liquidations, but with stocks you have FCF/earnings backing up the market cap.
With $NBIS for example, when you go from projected $2B ARR to $8B AR… → · 5 likes · 1,503 views |
| 2025-11-19 | Sure happy to explain further than the TLDR on why I've downgraded $IREN and upgraded $TSSI a strong buy. $TSSI has high upside on the drop from $30 to $7 since it was an overreaction to temporary Q3 operational scaling bottlenecks and factory cost not underlying demand.
It's well capitalized to … → · 25 likes · 7,781 views |
| 2025-11-18 | $IREN has extremely high upside if they get orchestration right on the infrastructure level and a $100B+ marketcap ($400) is a tad-overly ambitious but possible.
Vertically integrated, high connected GW capacity, and hyperscaler deals like $MSFT make $IREN a buy at $49.
However, execution risk is… → · 12 likes · 1,021 views |
| 2025-11-18 | My opinion is that $TSM forward earnings was the biggest indicator of the AI trade so far since they span from all hyperscalers such as $GOOGL TPU prod to $AMZN, as well as $NVDA, $AMD, and we've already seen them blow away earnings + margins.
Even if $NVDA forward revenue is quoted heavily downwa… → · 16 likes · 1,019 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Markets are seeing a drop in most growth stocks right now.
In the past 5 days:
· Cloudflare [ $NET ]: $192.99 (-15.23%)
· Rocketlab [ $RKLB ]: $42.50 (-19.35%)
· Iren [ $IREN ]: $46.6 (-28.74%)
· Hims [ $HIMS ]: $35.15 (-15.61%)
have lost their recent gains. Why?
Right now, we're seeing mechani… → · 159 likes · 323,830 views |
| 2025-11-18 | I think you might be confusing yourself and I'm just trying to clarify the terms. You were saying $ORCL is not full stack because they did DC leasing and $IREN is full stack in your first comment.
Now you're shifting from $ORCL and talking about $IREN.
And we're just going into semantic definitio… → · 2 likes · 547 views |
| 2025-11-18 | That's a correct with full-stack as software as a layer on top of GPUs, so $ORCL would fit that mark. Earlier you were conflating vertically integrated and full-stack offering, which are two distinct terms.
This is a very nuanced, with $NBIS, $CRWV you're confusing you're confusing "straight GPU le… → · 3 likes · 727 views |
| 2025-11-18 | So think you're confusing the terms a bit, let me clarify.
Full stack offering = AI Cloud $NBIS $IREN $CRWV
Bare Metal = $CIFR, $WULF type offerings (AWS plugs in their own GPUs into $CIFR)
$IREN is pivoted to doing a full stack offering AI cloud when they decided to buy billions in GPU for the $M… → · 2 likes · 728 views |
| 2025-11-18 | Every high beta/“risk”/growth asset from $RKLB, $HOOD, $BTC (89k now), $HIMS is being obliterated.
It’s a great reset from cascading margin liquidations and capitulation (based on semi-valid concerns) despite seeing improving fundamentals across the board.
$IREN retail is selling off for example j… → · 9 likes · 1,973 views |
| 2025-11-17 | Nobody said here $NBIS would do $8B realized revenue in 2026. Not quite sure what you're trying to say or argue.
I've been consistent on $8B midpoint ARR after earnings with likely ~$3.6B-4.2B realized revenue and ~$2.1B quarterly revenue Q4.
$NBIS is ramping up from $146M quarterly revenue -> $… → · 23 likes · 4,017 views |
| 2025-11-17 | $CIFR is actually next favorite Neocloud sector pick.
I made a tierlist earlier and $NBIS was S+ and $CIFR was S.
But here's the difference and nuance people might not know:
Nebius captures the entire value chain of the AI cloud business. $IREN said it themselves in their ER call that they did f… → · 15 likes · 3,152 views |
| 2025-11-17 | Nebius [ $NBIS ] at $86.69 is the purest Neocloud and AI-infra asymmetry left.
This is the highest revenue Neocloud untouched by $CIFR | $WULF and colo providers that has no:
- Plaguing uncertainty that $IREN, $ORCL face from full-stack execution.
- High interest debt that $CRWV, $APLD, and ot… → · 407 likes · 1,760,741 views |
| 2025-11-16 | I think your comment just pointed out at how crazy $NBIS growth is going from $146m revenue this quarter to $2.1B+ next year a quarter.
So we look at future growth (next year), rather than current numbers based on $MSFT contract (~$19B, 5 years), $META ($3B, 5 years), and their regular clients (cur… → · 18 likes · 3,518 views |
| 2025-11-15 | Nebius ( $NBIS ) crashed -33.61% last month, falling to a $21B market cap.
Despite this, new 13F filing data shows $NBIS institutional ownership increase:
· 38.36% → 44.6% 🟢 (+6.24%)
with Fintel placing it closer to ~46.3%.
Nebius is a $21B MC full-stack Neocloud with:
· $7-9B forward ARR (70… → · 313 likes · 57,206 views |
| 2025-10-27 | @adenois @RJCcapital Yeah I could be wrong and the stock pulls a random 100% green candle but should just trust my gut about the $1.4B deal with a random SEA company next time.
Lot safer to look at hyperscaler $MSFT type contracts and just focus on $NBIS and co. → · 4 likes · 856 views |
| 2025-10-26 | $IREN has good margins for crypto mining and large GW capacity but that doesn’t translate directly into HPC.
They’re going the $CIFR $WULF route in the meantime with middleware orchestration funneling to hyper scalers but that cuts into margins a lot in the long run.
$NBIS is direct to $MSFT full … → · 17 likes · 4,495 views |
| 2025-10-26 | To settle the Neocloud debate:
$NBIS > $IREN + others.
Based on the $ORCL report, NBIS whitepaper, $CRWV acquisitions, and other factors,
I decided to consolidate millions into Nebius and sell off miners like $CIFR.
📏 Gross Margins > GW capacity
Here's the math + why:
We've had a huge spe… → · 525 likes · 222,679 views |
| 2025-10-25 | Yep, there's probably ~12-16 month-ish revenue lag for full recognition but quarterly revenue with $MSFT deal would likely be realized Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
With that Q revenue would increase over 1000%+ Y/Y to $1.225B/quarter (~$4.9B ARR) if Nebius stopped growing completely.
But of course thi… → · 14 likes · 1,613 views |
| 2025-10-23 | 1. No i said there’s likely some revenue lag on $NBIS $MSFT ramp up but the contract will play out by late 2026 and into 2027 and their existing numbers + MSFT is at the base case $4.9B ARR, which id estimate is +62.5% from here MC wise if there were no growth.
I use 0 growth as an example just to… → · 4 likes · 1,580 views |
| 2025-10-22 | I said this earlier but 24B market cap for $NBIS... which is scaling quarterly revenue 1000%+ to 4-6B+ ARR in just 1 year by powering $MSFT azure and other hyperscalers. While doing 70%+ gross margins, having $5B+ in cash, and billions in assets that go up over time in hyper-growth portfolio compani… → · 28 likes · 2,593 views |
| 2025-10-22 | @MktMavPro @Lazoumance1 @AnaCintra24 Hmm, nothing wrong with developing conviction after the $MSFT deal.
I had $NBIS sub $40 but only developed conviction after 17B+ from a hyperscaler de-risked the company.
That said everyone is entitled to their own opinion, I just think Nebius is undervalued a… → · 7 likes · 677 views |
| 2025-10-22 | Subsidiaries aside and just the core business, I think $NBIS is undervalued.
It is mindblowing how Nebius is growing from $100m ARR to $1B-1.5B in just 1Y.
And this is a generational chance for small companies to power the infrastructure of $GOOGL Cloud, $MSFT Azure, $AMZN Web Services and o… → · 16 likes · 1,234 views |
| 2025-10-20 | Great question!
Hyperscalers signed confirmed utilization + spend, for example with $NBIS deal with $MSFT, Microsoft is spending 17-20B over 5 years.
It's not exactly risking high-capex, since they're spending to pay for capacity since there's a bottleneck. They're still spending tens of billion… → · 12 likes · 3,250 views |
| 2025-10-20 | More hyperscaler contracts coming in. But you're spot on with earnings + rate cuts (+ Nov/Dec seasonality) as the biggest near-term catalysts.
Usually companies get rerated after earnings when they release more insight into forward projections.
When $META signed with $CRWV that's extremely bullis… → · 5 likes · 986 views |
| 2025-10-18 | Extremely poorly written and zero-contextualization article. Intentional no-contextualization led to broader selloffs last time they published an Oracle hit-piece @SEC @secpaulsatkins
The core point - “Escalating compute demands could result in overbuilt servers without sufficient financial returns… → · 133 likes · 61,228 views |
| 2025-10-16 | Thanks, it's just that there's been an absolute surge in demand for AI compute (Data Centers, Power) from Mag7, and institutional ownership in a lot of these companies are extremely low (eg. $NBIS 38% when usually sweet spot is 60-75%).
Retail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or… → · 18 likes · 2,349 views |
| 2025-09-27 | Probably fastest runup in the next 8-12 months since most people and markets still don't see the opportunity with all these tiny 3-5B companies powering AI compute for Google Cloud or Microsoft Azure yet until one of their earning reports.
These are contracts already locked in like 5Y for 17 Billio… → · 9 likes · 2,865 views |
| 2025-09-25 | @SwangGambles Yeah I had small positions back at $30 but I would never put $1M into it since it was too speculative.
Raising $4.1B and $17B from $MSFT was a derisking event for $NBIS and why I was confident at $86
Congrats to the earlier holders though → · 5 likes · 1,040 views |
| 2025-09-22 | @mvcinvesting Congrats on getting into $NBIS early, it’s never easy to spot the right speculative plays.
I joined a bit later and built a position after the $MSFT deal. I see the potential for it to be a $100B company. → · 17 likes · 2,638 views |
| 2025-09-22 | @IlanG05512373 You're asking a random X user over $MSFT that did their due diligence and handed $NBIS a 17B contract? → · 6 likes · 529 views |
| 2025-09-21 | $ALAB went from $96 to $244, a 154% increase since I called it out 2 months ago (though a tad overvalued now)
Similar thesis with $NBIS is happening now with backing from $MSFT + $NVDA.
NBIS has a clear path to $60b+ marketcap from $24b and why I’m taking a $1M position. → · 38 likes · 9,195 views |
| 2025-09-21 | It's not because of a price rally. It's because since then, $NBIS has 17B from $MSFT for multiple years, $4.1B+ now raised for capex last week on good terms, with additional rate cut tailwind projected from 3 days ago.
We've also seen MSFT be compute strained and OpenAI go to $GOOGL. With other hyp… → · 8 likes · 934 views |
| 2025-09-19 | I agree, hyperscaler chips is the biggest threat to $NVDA's 4T+ empire + GPU providers. But, $NBIS and $CRWV are NVIDIA's solution to protecting it's moat and GPU margin compression.
So they're supporting companies like NBIS on purpose to diversify demand from hyperscalers and prevent margin compr… → · 13 likes · 1,574 views |
| 2025-07-28 | The reason why $ALAB is taking off is because Astera is the only small cap company in existence with systemic exposure to 5 of the Mag7.
1. ALAB's customer base is literally Mag 7: $GOOGL, $MSFT, $NVDA, $META, and $AMZN.
2. They're growing at astounding rates ~150%+ y/y, with 76% margins (with… → · 6 likes · 8,382 views |
| 2025-07-28 | For WSB charts I posted:
On $GOOGL, realized profit was $101,428+, and lots of unrealized profit since I expect GOOGL to hit $220+ EOY if tech rally continues ( $META $APPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $SPOT)
Earnings were a complete blowout and they still have 70B+ in buybacks https://t.co/G6jrKAyumE → · 9 likes · 5,262 views |